Almagro vs Chacarita Prediction, H2H Stats & Statistical Bets 10 October 2026
🔊 In the final stretch of the season, Almagro face Chacarita Juniors - two sides coming into this match with very different objectives. The hosts have no particular need for points and sit comfortably clear of the danger zone. The visitors, meanwhile, are in the relegation zone, just one point behind safety, which puts them under considerable pressure. Neither side has been consistent recently: Almagro rarely win, while Chacarita Juniors have been losing frequently in their latest matches.
Chacarita Juniors vs Almagro: Where Are the Goals Coming From?
Chacarita Juniors beat Almagro 1-0 at home in a Primera B Nacional match 24 May 2026. Corners were level at five apiece, but the shot count was notably one-sided at 5-1, with Almagro failing to register a single shot on target.
Across 11 official meetings, Chacarita Juniors have won six, Almagro have won four, and one match ended in a draw. Chacarita Juniors have scored 14 goals to Almagro 10.
Head-to-head statistics Almagro - Chacarita
Almagro struggle up front and their defense remains shaky.
In their most recent Primera Nacional match on 4 October 2026, Almagro won away at San Martín 2-1, despite being outshot 7-18 and not winning a single corner compared to nine for the hosts. The score was 0-0 at half-time.
Almagro have had an inconsistent season: one win and four defeats in their last five matches. Over their last ten games, they have won just twice, losing five and drawing three. Their scoring rate is low on this run - just 0.8 goals per game - while their defence has been conceding around 1.4 on average. The club sit in the lower half of the table, but their season has no real edge to it at this point: there is no relegation battle to fight and no realistic prospect of moving up.
Match Results: Club Almagro
Chacarita Juniors: struggling up front and vulnerable at the back
In their previous Primera Nacional match on 4 October 2026, Chacarita Juniors beat Patronato Paraná 1-0 at home. They dominated possession with 69% and outshot their opponents 14-5, though the only goal came after a goalless first half.
Chacarita Juniors are under pressure: the club are in the relegation zone and every match is now critical for their survival. Their last five games have been unproductive - two wins and three defeats - though over a longer stretch the picture is worse: seven losses in ten attempts, with an average of just 0.6 goals scored per game and around one conceded per match. Away from home, they have been making defensive errors regularly, conceding at least one goal in seven consecutive matches.
Match Results: Chacarita Juniors
Prediction for the 1st half
Almagro have ended the first half level in 6 of their last 7 matches, which points to a frequent pattern of half-time draws. Both sides have low scoring numbers, particularly in recent fixtures, which further reduces the likelihood of an early goal. The bet on Half-Time Draw at 1.80* therefore looks reasonable.
Total Goals Prediction
In 8 of their last 9 away matches, Chacarita Juniors have seen under 2.5 goals. The average scoring figures for both teams also point in the same direction: Almagro average 1 goal per home match, while Chacarita Juniors average just 0.44 goals per away match this season. In their last 10 home matches, Almagro have scored just 0.6 goals per game, and Chacarita Juniors have scored just 0.2 goals per game in their last 10 away matches. These figures suggest a strong chance of a low-scoring game, so the pick is Total Goals - Under 2.5 at 1.40*.
Reliable Bet
Chacarita Juniors have scored under 1.5 goals in 20 of their last 21 away matches. The season statistics back this up: the team average just 0.44 goals per away match, and 0.2 goals across their last 10 away games. These figures support a bet on Chacarita Juniors Team Total - Under 1.5 at odds of 1.25*.
Correct Score Prediction
Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm identifies three most likely scorelines: 0-0 (14.84%), 1-0 (14.8%) and 1-1 (13.04%). A goalless draw has the highest probability, though the gap between the top three is minimal. This reflects expectations of low scoring and a very tight match.
*Odds are indicative and may vary depending on the bookmaker.
⭐ Editor's Prediction
Both teams are struggling to pick up points and create in attack, but Chacarita Juniors' high motivation could push the visitors to play more actively than usual in an attempt to save their season. At the same time, the visitors' defence is unstable away from home - a run of seven consecutive goals conceded is backed up by their season statistics and Almagro's recent home results, even with the league's generally low scoring. The editor's pick is Chacarita Juniors to Score: Yes.
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Betting Tips: Club Almagro - Chacarita Juniors
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