Univer. Cat. vs Deportes La Serena Prediction 26 July 2026
🔊 In matchday 16 of the Chilean championship, Universidad Católica host Deportes La Serena. A good chance for the home side to consolidate their place among the leaders - against a team with very different concerns in the table.
Head-to-Head
The last official encounter between the teams took place on 01 February 2026 and ended with a scoreline of 2:2. Here's a comparative breakdown of that match (home team - Deportes La Serena):
- ball possession percentage: 41% vs 59%;
- corner kicks: 0 vs 3;
- fouls: 19 vs 16;
- yellow cards: 3 vs 5;
- shots on target: 5 vs 4.
📊 Statistical preview of official matches between the teams Universidad Catolica and Deportes La Serena:
- played 11 matches;
- number of wins for the home team - 7, for the away team - 3, draws - 1;
- number of goals - 21 against 13;
- average total in the 1st half - 1.45, in the 2nd half - 1.64;
- average total goals in the match - 3.09.
Head-to-head statistics Univer. Cat. - Deportes La Serena

Universidad Catolica Team Overview
The team's most recent official match took place on as part of the Copa Chile tournament (home team - San Luis de Quillota, away team - Universidad Catolica). The match concluded with a scoreline of 4:0.
Here's the game statistics (Universidad Catolica vs San Luis de Quillota):
- ball possession: 83% vs 17%;
- corner kicks: 6 vs 3;
- fouls: 11 vs 20;
- yellow cards: 3 vs 3;
- shots on target: 6 vs 7.
At home, the Crusaders are near-flawless and score regularly. The team has been consistent in the league lately, picking up wins one after another - though a recent cup trip to San Luis ended in an ugly 4-0 defeat. The main target this year is the Chilean title and a direct spot in the Copa Libertadores. Dropping points at home to a mid-table side isn't an option for Universidad Católica.
Match Results: Universidad Catolica

Deportes La Serena Team Overview
The away team played their last official match on as part of the Copa Chile tournament (home team - Cobreloa, away - Deportes La Serena). The match concluded with a scoreline of 1:0.
Here are the match stats (Deportes La Serena vs Cobreloa):
- ball possession: 56% vs 44%;
- corner kicks: 5 vs 3;
- fouls: 15 vs 13;
- yellow cards: 4 vs 1;
- shots on target: 4 vs 3.
Deportes La Serena alternate between rare wins, defeats and draws - consistency isn't their thing. Away from home it's tough for them; the defence falls apart at times, like it did against Palestino (1-5). That said, in the first half of this season La Serena held their opponents at home, drawing 2-2 in a lively match.
Match Results: Deportes La Serena
Prediction for the 1st half
Head-to-Head Matches:
- Total encounters - 11;
- First-half wins at home for hosts - 3; for visitors away - 2; number of draws - 0;
- Average first-half total: 1.45;
- Today's home team scores on average 0.91, while the visitors net 0.55.
First-Half Stats: Universidad Catolica (home) vs Deportes La Serena (away)
- matches played in the tournament: 7 vs 7;
- wins: 3 (42.86%) vs 2 (28.57%);
- losses: 2 (28.57%) vs 2 (28.57%);
- draws: 2 (28.57%) vs 3 (42.86%);
- Average goals scored: 2.14 vs 1.29;
- Average goals conceded: 1 vs 0.71.
Last 10 Matches (Overall):
- wins: 5 vs 2;
- losses: 2 vs 3;
- draws: 3 vs 5;
- Average first-half total: 1.7 (scored - 1.1, conceded - 0.6) vs 1.3 (scored - 0.6, conceded - 0.7).
- Universidad Catolica scored in the 1st half in last 6 home games (Primera Division).
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- number of encounters - 11;
- home team wins - 7, away team wins - 3, draws - 1.
Statistics: Universidad Catolica vs Deportes La Serena
- matches played in the tournament: 15 vs 15;
- wins: 8 vs 4;
- win percentage: 53% vs 27%;
- losses: 5 vs 5;
- draws: 2 vs 6.
Last 10 matches:
- wins: 9 vs 3;
- losses: 1 vs 5;
- draws: 0 vs 2.
- Universidad Catolica have won in 9 of last 10 games.
- Universidad Catolica have won in last 5 home games.
Prediction on the over/under
H2H
- today's home team scores on average - 1.91, the guests - 1.18;
- average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 3.09;
- both teams scored: overall - 5; at the home team's field - 3.
Statistics: Universidad Catolica vs Deportes La Serena
- average total in the tournament: 3.67 vs 3.07;
- average total goals scored: 2.33 vs 1.4;
- average total in the 1st half: 1.07 vs 0.8;
- average total in the 2nd half: 1.27 vs 0.6;
- Universidad Catolica: average total at home in the tournament - 2.86;
- Deportes La Serena: average total away in the tournament - 1.14;
- last 10 matches (average total): 2.8 (home - 3.6) vs 1.4 (away - 1).
- Over 2.5 goals scored in last 9 Universidad Catolica games.
- Over 2.5 goals scored in last 6 Universidad Catolica home games (Primera Division).
Prediction on corners
Universidad Catolica: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 5.2; at home field - 4.57;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 5.6; at home field - 6.4.
Deportes La Serena: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 4.13, away - 4;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 4.5; away - 4.
- Universidad Catolica have taken over 5.5 corners in last 5 home games against Deportes La Serena.
Prediction on BTTS
H2H:
- number of encounters - 11;
- both teams scored all-time - 5 times;
- on the home team’s field - 3 times.
Statistics: Universidad Catolica vs Deportes La Serena
- number of matches played in the tournament: 15 vs 15;
- number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 10 vs 8;
- number of BTTS matches for Universidad Catolica at home - 6 (86%);
- number of BTTS matches for Deportes La Serena away - 4 (57%).
Last 10 matches:
- number of BTTS matches: 6 vs 6;
- BTTS matches for Universidad Catolica at home - 5 (100%);
- BTTS matches for Deportes La Serena away - 2 (50%).
- Universidad Catolica have scored and conceded in last 6 home games (Primera Division).
Correct score prediction
Statistics of frequent results (current season):
- most common score in the tournament: 1:0 (16/120, 13.3%);
- Universidad Catolica at home most often finish matches: 1:2 (2/7, 28.6%);
- Deportes La Serena away most often play: 0:1 , 1:0 , 1:1 , 2:2 , 3:3 , 4:0 , 5:1 (1/7, 14.3%).
Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top 3 outcomes:
2:1 - 9.68% (odds 6.5)
1:1 - 8.68% (odds 7)
2:0 - 8.26% (odds 6.5)
⭐ Editor's Prediction
Universidad Católica are clear favourites at home, and a win here feels like the natural outcome. They're in the title race, so the motivation to take all three points against a bottom-half side on their own ground will be through the roof. La Serena have been poor on the road - they keep getting exposed defensively against the top clubs. The quality gap is significant, and Católica should take control from the first whistle. Expect a confident home win built on pressing and clinical finishing. Predicted score: 3-1.