Earthquakes vs LA Galaxy Prediction 26 July 2026
San Jose Earthquakes sit second in their conference, while LA Galaxy are still fighting to get into the playoff spots. The hosts have plenty to play for near the top of the table; the visitors are just two points off the key zone. Mid-season, every result shifts the standings - which makes this one matter. Recent form from both sides points to defensive instability and goals at both ends.
Head-to-Head
The last official match between the two sides took place on 29 June 2025 and ended 1-1. Here's the comparative stats from that game (San Jose Earthquakes were the home side):
- possession: 49% vs 51%;
- corners: 3 vs 7;
- fouls: 9 vs 17;
- yellow cards: 2 vs 3;
- shots on target: 4 vs 5.
📊 Analytical breakdown of previous official meetings between San Jose Earthquakes and Los Angeles Galaxy:
- 49 matches played;
- home wins - 17, away wins - 19, draws - 13;
- goals scored (home/away) - 77 vs 82;
- average total goals per match - 3.24.
Head-to-head statistics Earthquakes - LA Galaxy
San-Jose Earthquakes Team Overview
The team's last official match took place in MLS (San Jose Earthquakes at home, Orlando City away). The final score was 0-4.
Match stats (San Jose Earthquakes vs Orlando City):
- possession: 52% vs 48%;
- corners: 3 vs 2;
- fouls: 20 vs 10;
- yellow cards: 4 vs 2;
- shots on target: 7 vs 8.
San Jose Earthquakes are sitting near the top of the table and still in the fight for first. They average 2.13 goals per game this season - solid attacking output across the board. Over the last ten matches, that number holds at 2.1 goals scored, with two conceded, though the recent stretch has been rougher: the return from the break didn't go well. The defense has been leaky - opponents keep finding ways through, which raises the chances of goals at both ends even against shakier visitors. Motivation is decent, kept up by how close they are to first place and the need to stay in the leading pack.
Match Results: San-Jose Earthquakes
Los Angeles Galaxy Team Overview
The away side's last official match took place in MLS (Los Angeles Galaxy at home, St. Louis City the visitors). The match ended 1-3.
Stats from that game (Los Angeles Galaxy vs St. Louis City):
- possession: 47% vs 53%;
- corners: 4 vs 7;
- fouls: 11 vs 16;
- yellow cards: 3 vs 1;
- shots on target: 3 vs 9.
Los Angeles Galaxy are still in the playoff picture - just two points off the cut. Over their last ten competitive matches, they've won three, drawn three and lost four, averaging 1.3 goals scored and 1.7 conceded per game. Plenty of goals, plenty of defensive problems. July was rough: they lost every competitive match, and none of them were close. The over 2.5 has landed in six of their last seven away games, which tells you something about how open their matches tend to be.
Match Results: Los Angeles Galaxy
Prediction for the 1st half
First Half Statistics: San-Jose Earthquakes (Home) vs Los Angeles Galaxy (Away)
- Number of matches played in the tournament: 8 vs 8;
- Number of wins: 4 (50%) vs 2 (25%);
- Number of losses: 3 (37.5%) vs 3 (37.5%);
- Number of draws: 1 (12.5%) vs 3 (37.5%);
- Average total goals scored: 1.63 vs 1.5;
- Average total goals conceded: 0.63 vs 0.88.
Last 10 Matches (Overall):
- Number of wins: 4 vs 1;
- Number of losses: 3 vs 4;
- Number of draws: 3 vs 5;
- Average first half total: 1.8 (scored - 0.9, conceded - 0.9) vs 1.6 (scored - 0.5, conceded - 1.1).
- San-Jose Earthquakes scored in the 1st half in 6 of last 7 games (MLS).
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- number of encounters - 49;
- home team wins - 17, away team wins - 19, draws - 13.
Statistics: San-Jose Earthquakes vs Los Angeles Galaxy
- matches played in the tournament: 16 vs 17;
- wins: 10 vs 5;
- win percentage: 63% vs 29%;
- losses: 4 vs 7;
- draws: 2 vs 5.
Last 10 matches:
- wins: 4 vs 3;
- losses: 4 vs 4;
- draws: 2 vs 3.
- Los Angeles Galaxy won with a +1.5 handicap in 6 of last 7 away games (MLS).
Prediction on the over/under
H2H
- today's home team scores on average - 1.57, the guests - 1.67;
- average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 3.24;
- both teams scored: overall - 32; at the home team's field - 18.
Statistics: San-Jose Earthquakes vs Los Angeles Galaxy
- average total in the tournament: 3.31 vs 3;
- average total goals scored: 2.13 vs 1.35;
- average total in the 1st half: 1 vs 0.65;
- average total in the 2nd half: 1.13 vs 0.71;
- San-Jose Earthquakes: average total at home in the tournament - 2;
- Los Angeles Galaxy: average total away in the tournament - 1.5;
- last 10 matches (average total): 2.1 (home - 2.4) vs 1.3 (away - 1.6).
- Over 2.5 goals scored in 6 of last 7 Los Angeles Galaxy away games.
Prediction on corners
San-Jose Earthquakes: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 7.19; at home field - 9.75;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 7.3; at home field - 8.
Los Angeles Galaxy: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 5.29, away - 4.63;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 4.7; away - 3.6.
Prediction on BTTS
H2H:
- number of encounters - 49;
- both teams scored all-time - 32 times;
- on the home team’s field - 18 times.
Statistics: San-Jose Earthquakes vs Los Angeles Galaxy
- number of matches played in the tournament: 16 vs 17;
- number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 9 vs 14;
- number of BTTS matches for San-Jose Earthquakes at home - 3 (38%);
- number of BTTS matches for Los Angeles Galaxy away - 7 (88%).
Last 10 matches:
- number of BTTS matches: 8 vs 8;
- BTTS matches for San-Jose Earthquakes at home - 4 (80%);
- BTTS matches for Los Angeles Galaxy away - 4 (80%).
- San-Jose Earthquakes have scored and conceded in 9 of last 10 games (MLS).
- Los Angeles Galaxy have scored and conceded in 13 of last 15 games (MLS).
- Los Angeles Galaxy have scored and conceded in 7 of last 8 away games.
Correct score prediction
Statistics of frequent results (current season):
- most common score in the tournament: 1:1 (21/238, 8.8%);
- San-Jose Earthquakes at home most often finish matches: 3:0 (2/8, 25%);
- Los Angeles Galaxy away most often play: 1:2 (2/8, 25%).
Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top 3 outcomes:
1:1 - 9.68% (odds 8)
2:1 - 9.14% (odds 9)
2:2 - 7.04% (odds 11)
⭐ Editor's Prediction
The form of both sides points to a high-scoring match. San Jose Earthquakes average more than two goals per game across the season but give up plenty at the back too. LA Galaxy concede even more - 1.7 per game over their last ten - while still finding the net regularly. The hosts need to attack to hold their place near the top of the table, and the visitors are chasing a playoff spot, so they can't afford to sit back either. Away games for Galaxy have been almost consistently open affairs. The pick here is total goals over 2.5.
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Betting Tips: San-Jose Earthquakes - Los Angeles Galaxy
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Comparison of Teams Stats
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