Mushuc Runa vs Libertad Loja Prediction 27 July 2026
🔊 Mushuc Runa and Libertad are both sitting in the lower half of the table, and the quality of football reflects that. Neither side has been consistent - in their last ten matches, neither managed more than three wins. Defensively, both are leaky: each concedes more than a goal per game on average. There's still something to play for in the standings, though, which at least gives both teams a reason to push.
Head-to-Head
The last official encounter between the teams took place on 07 April 2026 and ended with a scoreline of 2:2. Here's a comparative breakdown of that match (home team - Libertad Loja):
- ball possession percentage: 57% vs 43%;
- corner kicks: 3 vs 4;
- fouls: 12 vs 9;
- yellow cards: 2 vs 1;
- shots on target: 4 vs 4.
📊 Head-to-head stats from official meetings between Mushuk Runa and Libertad:
- 8 matches played;
- home wins - 4, away wins - 2, draws - 2;
- goals - 13 vs 11;
- average first-half total - 1.63, second-half - 1.38;
- average match total - 3.
Head-to-head statistics Mushuc Runa - Libertad Loja
Mushuc Runa Team Overview
The team's last official match was played on in Serie A (Emelec at home, Mushuc Runa away). It ended 1-1.
Match stats (Mushuc Runa vs Emelec):
- possession: 46% vs 54%;
- corners: 7 vs 11;
- fouls: 11 vs 7;
- yellow cards: 1 vs 1;
- shots on target: 3 vs 4.
Mushuc Runa are still in the mix for the upper half of the table, but they need to be more consistent. Two wins, two losses and a draw in their last five - that's not enough. In the ten matches before that, they won just twice, and the numbers tell the story: 1.2 goals scored and 1.9 conceded per game. The defence leaks regularly, and the attack isn't exactly prolific either. Clean sheets are rare. Goals tend to happen in their matches even when neither side is particularly dominant.
Match Results: Mushuc Runa
Libertad Loja Team Overview
The away side's last official match took place in Serie A (Libertad at home, Delfin the visitors). It finished 1:0.
Match stats (Libertad vs Delfin):
- Possession: 52% vs 48%;
- Corners: 4 vs 5;
- Fouls: 13 vs 16;
- Yellow cards: 2 vs 2;
- Shots on target: 7 vs 3.
Libertad still have ambitions of climbing the table, but consistency has been a problem. In their last five matches, they've won two, drawn one and lost two. Over the past ten games, it's three wins and five defeats - a run that tells you plenty about their struggles to pick up points. They're averaging 0.9 goals scored per game in that stretch, and conceding 1.1 - low output up front, reasonably solid at the back compared to their opponents. They need to be better. Only finding that balance will get them moving up the table.
Match Results: Libertad Loja
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- number of encounters - 8;
- home team wins - 4, away team wins - 2, draws - 2.
Statistics: Mushuc Runa vs Libertad Loja
- matches played in the tournament: 21 vs 21;
- wins: 6 vs 6;
- win percentage: 29% vs 29%;
- losses: 8 vs 9;
- draws: 7 vs 6.
Last 10 matches:
- wins: 2 vs 3;
- losses: 5 vs 5;
- draws: 3 vs 2.
- Libertad Loja won with a +1.5 handicap in last 8 games against Mushuc Runa.
- Libertad Loja won with a +1.5 handicap in 10 of last 11 games.
- Libertad Loja won with a +1.5 handicap in 9 of last 10 games (Serie A).
- Libertad Loja won with a +1.5 handicap in last 6 away games.
- Libertad Loja won with a +1.5 handicap in last 5 away games (Serie A).
Prediction on the over/under
H2H
- today's home team scores on average - 1.63, the guests - 1.38;
- average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 3;
- both teams scored: overall - 7; at the home team's field - 4.
Statistics: Mushuc Runa vs Libertad Loja
- average total in the tournament: 2.76 vs 2.14;
- average total goals scored: 1.29 vs 0.9;
- average total in the 1st half: 0.67 vs 0.29;
- average total in the 2nd half: 0.62 vs 0.62;
- Mushuc Runa: average total at home in the tournament - 1.4;
- Libertad Loja: average total away in the tournament - 0.73;
- last 10 matches (average total): 1.2 (home - 1.2) vs 0.9 (away - 1).
- Over 2.5 goals scored in last 6 Mushuc Runa games against Libertad Loja.
- Over 2.5 goals scored in last 5 Mushuc Runa games against Libertad Loja (Serie A).
Prediction on BTTS
H2H:
- number of encounters - 8;
- both teams scored all-time - 7 times;
- on the home team’s field - 4 times.
Statistics: Mushuc Runa vs Libertad Loja
- number of matches played in the tournament: 21 vs 21;
- number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 14 vs 10;
- number of BTTS matches for Mushuc Runa at home - 5 (50%);
- number of BTTS matches for Libertad Loja away - 6 (55%).
Last 10 matches:
- number of BTTS matches: 8 vs 5;
- BTTS matches for Mushuc Runa at home - 4 (80%);
- BTTS matches for Libertad Loja away - 4 (67%).
- Mushuc Runa have scored and conceded in last 6 games against Libertad Loja.
- Mushuc Runa have scored and conceded in last 5 games against Libertad Loja (Serie A).
- Mushuc Runa have scored and conceded in 8 of last 9 games (Serie A).
- Mushuc Runa have scored and conceded in last 5 games.
Correct score prediction
Statistics of frequent results (current season):
- most common score in the tournament: 1:0 (30/168, 17.9%);
- Mushuc Runa at home most often finish matches: 0:0 , 1:0 (2/10, 20%);
- Libertad Loja away most often play: 2:1 (3/11, 27.3%).
Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top 3 outcomes:
1:0 - 15.62% (odds 3.3)
1:1 - 10.32% (odds 7)
0:0 - 9.69% (odds 2.75)
- Mushuc Runa won 2:1 in 3 of last 4 home games against Libertad Loja.
⭐ Editor's Prediction
Both sides here make defensive errors regularly and neither has shown much consistency over a long run of games. Both still have something to play for, which pushes things toward a more open match. The key factors are Mushuc Runa's shaky backline and Libertad's poor finishing - and the head-to-head record backs this up: total goals over 2.5 has landed six times in a row, and both teams are conceding more than one goal per game on average. We think this one sets up for an exchange of goals, with both sides taking risks to get a result. The bet - total goals over 2.5.
No comments
Betting Tips: Mushuc Runa - Libertad Loja
in 15 of last 17 home games.in 19 of last 20 away games.in 17 of last 18 away games (Serie A).
in last 8 games against Libertad Loja.in last 7 games against Libertad Loja (Serie A).in 22 of last 23 home games.in 21 of last 22 home games (Serie A).in 10 of last 11 games.in 9 of last 10 games (Serie A).in 12 of last 13 Libertad Loja away games.in 10 of last 11 Libertad Loja away games (Serie A).in last 8 games against Libertad Loja.in last 7 games against Libertad Loja (Serie A).in 8 of last 9 games (Serie A).in 8 of last 9 away games.
Comparison of Teams Stats
Other predictions
