Deportivo Cuenca vs Emelec Prediction 28 July 2026
🔊 Deportivo Cuenca come into this match on the back of a rough run, and it's showing in their numbers. The table is tight enough at the top that every point matters. Emelec are still in the mix too, though they're a fair way back. The key contrast here is the difference in current form between the teams and Deportivo Cuenca's struggles to pick up points.
Head-to-Head
The last official encounter between the teams took place on 05 April 2026 and ended with a scoreline of 0:2. Here's a comparative breakdown of that match (home team - Emelec):
- ball possession percentage: 55% vs 45%;
- corner kicks: 4 vs 5;
- fouls: 9 vs 13;
- yellow cards: 2 vs 1;
- shots on target: 3 vs 4.
📊 Head-to-head stats from official meetings between Deportivo Cuenca and Emelec:
- 58 matches played;
- home wins: 15, away wins: 34, draws: 9;
- goals: 50 vs 93;
- average first-half total: 1, second-half: 1.47;
- average match total: 2.47.
Head-to-head statistics Deportivo Cuenca - Emelec
Cuenca Team Overview
The team's last official match was played on in Serie A (home side - Macara, away side - Deportivo Cuenca). The match ended 3-0.
Match stats (Deportivo Cuenca vs Macara):
- possession: 53% vs 47%;
- corners: 3 vs 4;
- fouls: 11 vs 9;
- yellow cards: 2 vs 2;
- shots on target: 2 vs 6.
Deportivo Cuenca are going through a rough patch. Four defeats and a draw in their last five matches, and only one win in the ten before that. They're averaging barely 0.5 goals per game - a low bar for a side with genuine ambitions. They're still in the hunt for international football, just one point off the pace, but that pressure isn't helping them going forward. A long run without scoring twice in a match says a lot about their attacking options, and defensively they're conceding more than one a game on average.
Match Results: Cuenca
Emelec Team Overview
The away side's last official match was played in Serie A (home side - Emelec, away side - Mushuc Runa). It ended 1-1.
Match stats (Emelec vs Mushuc Runa):
- possession: 54% vs 46%;
- corners: 11 vs 7;
- fouls: 7 vs 11;
- yellow cards: 1 vs 1;
- shots on target: 4 vs 3.
Emelec have had an inconsistent season, but over the last ten matches they look more organized than their opponents. Three wins, five draws, two defeats. Conceding just 0.9 goals per game points to a reasonably solid backline - even if the attack hasn't been much to write home about at the same rate. The gap to the leading group is still significant, though closing it remains the target. With scoring output modest on both ends, keeping things tight at the back is where Emelec's focus lies.
Match Results: Emelec
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- number of encounters - 58;
- home team wins - 15, away team wins - 34, draws - 9.
Statistics: Cuenca vs Emelec
- matches played in the tournament: 21 vs 21;
- wins: 8 vs 7;
- win percentage: 38% vs 33%;
- losses: 9 vs 7;
- draws: 4 vs 7.
Last 10 matches:
- wins: 1 vs 3;
- losses: 6 vs 2;
- draws: 3 vs 5.
- Cuenca have not won in 9 of last 10 games.
- Emelec have not lost in 9 of last 10 games.
- Emelec have not lost in 8 of last 9 games (Serie A).
Prediction on the over/under
H2H
- today's home team scores on average - 0.86, the guests - 1.6;
- average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 2.47;
- both teams scored: overall - 23; at the home team's field - 10.
Statistics: Cuenca vs Emelec
- average total in the tournament: 2.14 vs 2;
- average total goals scored: 0.9 vs 0.86;
- average total in the 1st half: 0.33 vs 0.43;
- average total in the 2nd half: 0.57 vs 0.43;
- Cuenca: average total at home in the tournament - 1.1;
- Emelec: average total away in the tournament - 0.56;
- last 10 matches (average total): 0.5 (home - 0.8) vs 0.9 (away - 0.8).
- Under 2.5 goals scored in 8 of last 9 Cuenca games (Serie A).
- Under 2.5 goals scored in 6 of last 7 Cuenca games.
- Under 2.5 goals scored in 12 of last 13 Emelec games.
- Under 2.5 goals scored in 11 of last 12 Emelec games (Serie A).
- Under 2.5 goals scored in 9 of last 10 Emelec away games.
- Under 2.5 goals scored in 8 of last 9 Emelec away games (Serie A).
Prediction on corners
Cuenca: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 4.24; at home field - 4.9;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 4.7; at home field - 5.
Emelec: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 4.81, away - 3.56;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 5.3; away - 4.
Prediction on BTTS
H2H:
- number of encounters - 58;
- both teams scored all-time - 23 times;
- on the home team’s field - 10 times.
Statistics: Cuenca vs Emelec
- number of matches played in the tournament: 21 vs 21;
- number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 9 vs 8;
- number of BTTS matches for Cuenca at home - 7 (70%);
- number of BTTS matches for Emelec away - 2 (22%).
Last 10 matches:
- number of BTTS matches: 3 vs 4;
- BTTS matches for Cuenca at home - 2 (40%);
- BTTS matches for Emelec away - 2 (40%).
Correct score prediction
Statistics of frequent results (current season):
- most common score in the tournament: 1:0 (30/168, 17.9%);
- Cuenca at home most often finish matches: 1:1 (3/10, 30%);
- Emelec away most often play: 2:0 (3/9, 33.3%).
Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top 3 outcomes:
0:0 - 15.44% (odds 2.3)
1:0 - 15.25% (odds 3.75)
0:1 - 12.12% (odds 4.33)
⭐ Editor's Prediction
The stats and recent form both point the same way: Deportivo Cuenca have failed to score more than one goal in nine consecutive matches. Their average over the last ten games is just 0.5 goals per match, and their overall season tally is still below one per game. Emelec's defence has been solid throughout, conceding under a goal per game across the last ten, which only makes things harder for the hosts going forward. The table situation demands a response from Deportivo Cuenca, but that kind of pressure tends to make them even more cautious in attack. The bet is Deportivo Cuenca total goals under 1.5.
Betting Tips: Cuenca - Emelec
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