Chengdu vs Beijing Guoan Prediction 26 July 2026
🔊 On July 26, the league leaders host Beijing in Chengdu. The gap in standings and quality is real, but both sides come into this with plenty to play for. Chengdu want to end their winless run, while the visitors are looking to keep their good form going and close the gap on the top of the table.
Head-to-Head
The last official match between the sides took place on 12 April 2026 and ended 1-2. Here's the comparative stats from that game (Beijing Guoan were the home side):
- possession: 53% vs 47%;
- corners: 2 vs 10;
- fouls: 11 vs 17;
- yellow cards: 1 vs 4;
- shots on target: 2 vs 5.
📊 The head-to-head record is one of the most competitive in the league. In the last ten official meetings, Chengdu won three, Beijing Guoan won four, and three ended in draws. In the first leg this season, Chengdu won 2-1 away, scoring the winner after the 90th minute.
Head-to-head statistics Chengdu - Beijing Guoan
Chengdu Rongcheng Team Overview
The team's last official match was played on in the FA Cup (home side: Yunnan Yukun, away side: Chengdu). The match ended 3-3.
Match stats (Chengdu vs Yunnan Yukun):
- possession: 56% vs 44%;
- corners: 2 vs 3;
- fouls: 14 vs 10;
- yellow cards: 0 vs 3;
- shots on target: 9 vs 6.
Chengdu sit top of the table with 43 points from 19 games. Just two defeats all season - but results have been shakier lately. In the league, they've drawn three in a row: against Qingdao Hainiu, Chongqing Tonglianlun, and Qingdao West Coast. Then came the China Cup exit, losing to Yunnan Yukun on penalties.
A home match against one of their direct rivals is a good chance to end that winless run. The recent stumbles aside, Chengdu still have more points than anyone else in the division this season.
Match Results: Chengdu Rongcheng
Beijing Guoan Team Overview
The visiting side's last official match took place in the FA Cup (home side - Dalian Hayi, away side - Beijing Guoan). The match ended 1-2.
Match stats (Beijing Guoan vs Dalian Hayi):
- possession: 66% vs 34%;
- corners: 9 vs 1;
- fouls: 17 vs 9;
- yellow cards: 0 vs 0;
- shots on target: 3 vs 1.
Beijing Guoan sit seventh with 22 points from 18 matches - though that tally includes a five-point deduction handed down by the federation during the season. Recent form has been solid: wins over Shandong Taishan (2-0) and Wuhan Three Towns (1-0), plus a draw against Liaoning Tieren (1-1).
Since Nick Montgomery took charge, the team has tightened up defensively and kept their unbeaten run in the league going. They're picking up points regularly and still have a shot at climbing the table.
Match Results: Beijing Guoan
Outcome Prediction
Head-to-head:
- played - 10;
- home wins - 3, away wins - 4, draws - 3.
Stats: Chengdu vs Beijing Guoan
- matches in tournament: 19 vs 18;
- wins: 13 vs 7;
- win rate: 68% vs 39%;
- losses: 2 vs 5;
- draws: 4 vs 6.
Last 10 matches:
- wins: 4 vs 6;
- losses: 3 vs 1;
- draws: 3 vs 3.
- Beijing Guoan cover the +1.5 handicap in 9 of their last 10 head-to-head meetings.
- Beijing Guoan cover the +1.5 handicap in 26 of their last 27 matches.
- Beijing Guoan cover the +1.5 handicap in 19 of their last 20 matches (Super League).
- Beijing Guoan cover the +1.5 handicap away from home in 14 matches in a row.
- Beijing Guoan cover the +1.5 handicap away from home in 10 matches in a row (Super League).
Total Prediction
Head-to-head (average total):
- home team - 1.3, away team - 1.3;
- in head-to-head matches - 2.6;
- both teams scored: all time - 6 times; at the home team's ground - 2 times.
Average total stats: Chengdu vs Beijing Guoan
- in tournament: 3 vs 3;
- goals scored: 2.05 vs 1.67;
- 1st half: 0.84 vs 0.5;
- 2nd half: 1.21 vs 1.17;
- Chengdu: at home in tournament - 2.44;
- Beijing Guoan: away in tournament - 1.5;
- last 10 matches: 1.6 (home - 0.67) vs 1.9 (away - 2).
- Total goals under 3.5 has landed in 5 Beijing Guoan matches in a row.
Both Teams To Score Prediction
Head-to-head:
- played - 10;
- both teams scored all time - 6 times;
- at the home team's ground - 2 times.
Stats: Chengdu vs Beijing Guoan
- played in tournament: 19 vs 18;
- matches this season with both teams scoring (BTTS): 11 vs 12;
- Chengdu: BTTS at home - 4 (44%);
- Beijing Guoan: BTTS away - 5 (63%).
Last 10 matches:
- BTTS matches: 6 vs 8;
- Chengdu: BTTS at home - 1 (33%);
- Beijing Guoan: BTTS away - 4 (100%).
- Chengdu have scored and conceded in 5 matches in a row.
- Beijing Guoan have scored and conceded away from home in 5 matches in a row.
Correct Score Prediction
Most common results (current season):
- most frequent score in tournament: 1:1 (22/148, 14.9%);
- Chengdu's most common home results: 1:0, 5:1 (2/9, 22.2%);
- Beijing Guoan's most common away result: 2:1 (2/8, 25%).
Based on stats and probability distribution, the algorithm's top-3 predicted outcomes:
1:1 - 11.01% (odds 8)
1:0 - 10.66% (odds 10)
2:1 - 9.77% (odds 8.5)
- Chengdu have drawn 1:1 in 3 matches in a row (Super League).
⭐️ Editor's Prediction
Both sides have plenty to play for here. Chengdu need to end their winless run. Beijing Guoan haven't lost in six straight matches and have been scoring regularly. In five of their last five head-to-head meetings, both teams got on the scoresheet. Given all that, the pick is Both Teams To Score: Yes.
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Betting Tips: Chengdu Rongcheng - Beijing Guoan
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Comparison of Teams Stats
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