Boyaca Chico vs Atletico Nacional Prediction, H2H Stats & Statistical Bets 17 October 2026

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Key points

    🔊 In the opening round of the Clausura, one of Colombian football's top clubs, Atletico Nacional, travel to take on Boyaca Chico. The visitors won the Apertura regular season but couldn't carry that form into the playoffs, falling short in the final. The target now is clear - take this one. Against that kind of ambition, Boyaca Chico's chances of pulling off an upset look slim.

    Head-to-Head

    Atlético Nacional thrashed Boyacá Chicó 4-0 in the Primera A on 17 January 2026. The dominance was reflected in the shots too: 22 to 4, with 10 to 1 on target.

    Atlético Nacional have won 18 of their 31 official head-to-head matches against Boyacá Chicó, with 7 defeats and 6 draws. Even away from home, they have scored in every one of their 16 meetings with this opponent.

    Head-to-head statistics Boyaca Chico - Atletico Nacional

    22%
    7 Wins
    19%
    6 Draws
    59%
    19 Wins
    Total games
    32
    Avg. total goals
    3.44
    Both teams scored
    72%
    1.16
    Average total
    2.28
    Last matches
    17.10.26
    Liga Aguila
    Boyaca Chico
    Boyaca Chico
    Atletico Nacional Medellin
    Atletico Nacional Medellin
    -
    -
    5
    5
    13
    10
    2
    3
    1
    4
    0
    1
    1
    3
    -
    -
    5
    5
    13
    10
    2
    3
    17.01.26
    Liga Aguila
    Atletico Nacional Medellin
    Atletico Nacional Medellin
    Boyaca Chico
    Boyaca Chico
    -
    -
    7
    2
    13
    8
    3
    2
    4
    0
    1
    0
    3
    0
    -
    -
    7
    2
    13
    8
    3
    2
    06.10.25
    Liga Aguila
    Boyaca Chico
    Boyaca Chico
    1
    Atletico Nacional Medellin
    Atletico Nacional Medellin
    0.35
    1.8
    3
    10
    13
    8
    4
    3
    1
    1
    1
    0
    0
    1
    0.35
    1.8
    3
    10
    13
    8
    4
    3
    16.04.25
    Primera A
    Atletico Nacional Medellin
    Atletico Nacional Medellin
    Boyaca Chico
    Boyaca Chico
    2.48
    0.35
    6
    2
    12
    12
    0
    2
    4
    1
    1
    0
    3
    1
    2.48
    0.35
    6
    2
    12
    12
    0
    2
    29.09.24
    Primera A
    Atletico Nacional Medellin
    Atletico Nacional Medellin
    Boyaca Chico
    Boyaca Chico
    -
    -
    5
    9
    10
    9
    2
    0
    6
    2
    4
    1
    2
    1
    -
    -
    5
    9
    10
    9
    2
    0
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    Boyaca Chico Team Overview

    Boyacá Chicó lost at home to Cúcuta Deportivo 0-1 in their last Primera A match on 11 October 2026, despite having 65% possession and winning 11 corners to one. Of their 15 shots, only one was on target.

    Boyacá Chicó finished 18th in the Apertura - five wins, one of the worst sides in the division by any measure. Over 19 rounds they averaged 0.79 goals scored per match and conceded 1.68. There were some squad changes in the break, but whether that translates into any real improvement is something only the opening weeks of the Clausura will tell. A sharp jump in quality feels unlikely, though - Boyacá looked genuinely poor as recently as late May.

    Match Results: Boyaca Chico

    Last matches
    17.10.26
    Liga Aguila
    Boyaca Chico
    Boyaca Chico
    Atletico Nacional Medellin
    Atletico Nacional Medellin
    -
    -
    5
    5
    13
    10
    2
    3
    1
    4
    0
    1
    1
    3
    -
    -
    5
    5
    13
    10
    2
    3
    L
    11.10.26
    Liga Aguila
    Boyaca Chico
    Boyaca Chico
    Cucuta Deportivo
    Cucuta Deportivo
    -
    -
    11
    1
    14
    5
    3
    2
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    -
    -
    11
    1
    14
    5
    3
    2
    L
    03.10.26
    Liga Aguila
    Tolima
    Tolima
    Boyaca Chico
    Boyaca Chico
    -
    -
    10
    0
    17
    8
    2
    1
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    -
    -
    10
    0
    17
    8
    2
    1
    D
    25.09.26
    Liga Aguila
    Boyaca Chico
    Boyaca Chico
    Pasto
    Pasto
    -
    -
    0
    4
    18
    7
    1
    0
    3
    0
    0
    0
    3
    0
    -
    -
    0
    4
    18
    7
    1
    0
    W
    19.09.26
    Liga Aguila
    Millonarios
    Millonarios
    Boyaca Chico
    Boyaca Chico
    -
    -
    6
    5
    11
    9
    1
    3
    3
    0
    1
    0
    2
    0
    -
    -
    6
    5
    11
    9
    1
    3
    L
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    Atletico Nacional Medellin Team Overview

    Atlético Nacional's last home Copa Colombia match 15 October 2026 ended in a 3-2 victory over Independiente Medellín. With possession roughly equal, Nacional had the better of the shooting, hitting the target 11 times to their opponents' 5.

    Atletico Nacional dominated the Apertura season - 13 wins from 19 matches, just one defeat. Which made the two-legged playoff final loss to Juarez all the more painful. Still, fans had plenty to be happy about with the way the team played through most of the campaign. They averaged an impressive 1.96 goals per match and conceded just 0.84. That efficiency held up over the last ten games too. Unlike their current opponents, the Medellin club arrive at the Clausura opener in decent shape - they've had two matches in recent days. First a friendly win over Deportivo Tachira (2-1), then a 2-0 victory over Tigres in the domestic cup.

    Match Results: Atletico Nacional Medellin

    Last matches
    17.10.26
    Liga Aguila
    Boyaca Chico
    Boyaca Chico
    Atletico Nacional Medellin
    Atletico Nacional Medellin
    -
    -
    5
    5
    13
    10
    2
    3
    1
    4
    0
    1
    1
    3
    -
    -
    5
    5
    13
    10
    2
    3
    W
    15.10.26
    Cup
    Atletico Nacional Medellin
    Atletico Nacional Medellin
    Independiente Medellin
    Independiente Medellin
    -
    -
    8
    7
    12
    5
    1
    2
    3
    2
    2
    0
    1
    2
    -
    -
    8
    7
    12
    5
    1
    2
    W
    08.10.26
    Liga Aguila
    Atletico Nacional Medellin
    Atletico Nacional Medellin
    Tolima
    Tolima
    -
    -
    4
    6
    12
    11
    0
    2
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    -
    -
    4
    6
    12
    11
    0
    2
    D
    01.10.26
    Liga Aguila
    Atletico Nacional Medellin
    Atletico Nacional Medellin
    Atletico Junior
    Atletico Junior
    -
    -
    7
    5
    13
    16
    5
    5
    3
    1
    2
    1
    1
    0
    -
    -
    7
    5
    13
    16
    5
    5
    W
    26.09.26
    Club Friendlies
    Atletico Nacional Medellin
    Atletico Nacional Medellin
    Chapecoense
    Chapecoense
    -
    -
    3
    7
    -
    -
    0
    1
    1
    1
    1
    1
    0
    0
    -
    -
    3
    7
    -
    -
    0
    1
    D
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    Match Result Prediction

    Atlético Nacional have a strong head-to-head record against Boyacá Chicó, who have lost 6 of their last 7 meetings with this opponent. In the current season, Atlético Nacional have won 25 of their 36 matches, while Boyacá Chicó have lost 18 times and won just 8. Atlético Nacional also have a solid away record, with 10 wins from 21 away matches. On this basis, we're backing an Atlético Nacional win at odds of 1.59*.

    Reliable Bet

    In 13 of the last 14 head-to-head meetings, Boyacá Chicó have failed to beat Atlético Nacional, which points to a clear trend in favour of the visitors. Current season statistics and the difference in class between the two sides also support this option. The pick is the Double Chance: Atlético Nacional not to lose at odds of 1.15*.

    *Odds are indicative and may vary across different bookmakers.

    ⭐ Editor's Prediction

    The main argument here is Atletico Nacional's scoring record: they've hit at least two goals in almost every match this spring and there's little reason to think a clearly weaker opponent will stop that run. Boyaca simply don't have the squad quality to put up a serious fight - even at home - especially without competitive football since late May. We're going with Atletico Nacional total goals over 1.5.

    Atletico Nacional Medellin Total goals Over (1,5)
    Odds-130
    Published: 23/07/2026, 11:36
    Alexander Mihalchenko
    Alexander Mihalchenko
    Basketball expert
    57
    0
    63
    120 predictions
    Statistics for October 2026

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    Betting Tips: Boyaca Chico - Atletico Nacional Medellin

    Boyaca Chico have lost the 2nd half:
    boyaca-chico-fcatletico-nacional-medellinin 9 of last 10 games against Atletico Nacional Medellin.
    boyaca-chico-fcatletico-nacional-medellinin last 7 games against Atletico Nacional Medellin (Liga Aguila).
    2nd Half Atletico Nacional Medellin to Win
    Everygame
    -137
    Boyaca Chico have lost:
    boyaca-chico-fcatletico-nacional-medellinin 6 of last 7 games against Atletico Nacional Medellin (Liga Aguila).
    Atletico Nacional Medellin to Win
    Everygame
    -227
    Boyaca Chico have lost the 1st half:
    boyaca-chico-fcatletico-nacional-medellinin 6 of last 7 games against Atletico Nacional Medellin.
    1st Half Atletico Nacional Medellin to Win
    Bovada
    -110
    Boyaca Chico have not won:
    boyaca-chico-fcatletico-nacional-medellinin 13 of last 14 games against Atletico Nacional Medellin.
    boyaca-chico-fcatletico-nacional-medellinin last 11 games against Atletico Nacional Medellin (Liga Aguila).
    boyaca-chico-fcatletico-nacional-medellinin 7 of last 8 home games against Atletico Nacional Medellin (Liga Aguila).
    Atletico Nacional Medellin have not lost:
    atletico-nacional-medellinin 10 of last 11 games.
    atletico-nacional-medellinin 8 of last 9 games (Liga Aguila).
    Atletico Nacional Medellin will not lose
    Everygame
    -1000
    View more facts

    Comparison of Teams Stats

    10 matches
    3 - Wins
    3 - Draws
    4 - Losses
    Wins - 7
    Draws - 2
    Loss - 1
    10 matches
    Scored - 11
    Conceded - 13
    -2
    +14
    24 - Scored
    10 - Conceded
    3
    Wins
    7
    3
    Draws
    2
    4
    Losses
    1
    Goal difference
    11
    Scored
    24
    13
    Conceded
    10
    2.4
    Average total per match
    3.4
    1.1
    Goals scored per match on average
    2.4
    1.3
    Goals conceded per match on average
    1
    4
    Both teams scored
    6
    82'
    Minutes / Goal scored
    38'
    View all stats