Boyaca Chico vs Atletico Nacional Prediction 10 September 2026
🔊 In the opening round of the Clausura, one of Colombian football's top clubs, Atletico Nacional, travel to take on Boyaca Chico. The visitors won the Apertura regular season but couldn't carry that form into the playoffs, falling short in the final. The target now is clear - take this one. Against that kind of ambition, Boyaca Chico's chances of pulling off an upset look slim.
Head-to-Head
The last official encounter between the teams took place on 17 January 2026 and ended with a scoreline of 4:0. Here's a comparative breakdown of that match (home team - Atletico Nacional Medellin):
- ball possession percentage: 61% vs 39%;
- corner kicks: 7 vs 2;
- fouls: 13 vs 8;
- yellow cards: 3 vs 2;
- shots on target: 10 vs 1.
📊 Statistical preview of official matches between the teams Boyaca Chico and Atletico Nacional Medellin:
- played 31 matches;
- number of wins for the home team - 7, for the away team - 18, draws - 6;
- number of goals - 36 against 69;
- average total in the 1st half - 1.61, in the 2nd half - 1.77;
- average total goals in the match - 3.39.
Head-to-head statistics Boyaca Chico - Atletico Nacional
Boyaca Chico Team Overview
The team's last official match took place on as part of the Cup tournament (home team - Boyaca Chico, away team - Llaneros). The match concluded with a scoreline of 0:1.
Here are the game statistics (Boyaca Chico vs Llaneros):
- ball possession: 54% vs 46%;
- corner kicks: 3 vs 2;
- yellow cards: 3 vs 5;
- shots on target: 7 vs 4.
Boyacá Chicó finished 18th in the Apertura - five wins, one of the worst sides in the division by any measure. Over 19 rounds they averaged 0.79 goals scored per match and conceded 1.68. There were some squad changes in the break, but whether that translates into any real improvement is something only the opening weeks of the Clausura will tell. A sharp jump in quality feels unlikely, though - Boyacá looked genuinely poor as recently as late May.
Match Results: Boyaca Chico
Atletico Nacional Medellin Team Overview
The away team played their last official match on as part of the Cup tournament (home team - Atletico Nacional Medellin, away - Tigres Zipaquira). The match concluded with a scoreline of 2:0.
Here are the match stats (Atletico Nacional Medellin vs Tigres Zipaquira):
- ball possession: 62% vs 38%;
- corner kicks: 16 vs 0;
- fouls: 10 vs 7;
- yellow cards: 1 vs 2;
- shots on target: 6 vs 1.
Atletico Nacional dominated the Apertura season - 13 wins from 19 matches, just one defeat. Which made the two-legged playoff final loss to Juarez all the more painful. Still, fans had plenty to be happy about with the way the team played through most of the campaign. They averaged an impressive 1.96 goals per match and conceded just 0.84. That efficiency held up over the last ten games too. Unlike their current opponents, the Medellin club arrive at the Clausura opener in decent shape - they've had two matches in recent days. First a friendly win over Deportivo Tachira (2-1), then a 2-0 victory over Tigres in the domestic cup.
Match Results: Atletico Nacional Medellin
Prediction for the 1st half
Head-to-Head Matches:
- Total encounters - 31;
- First-half wins at home for hosts - 4; for visitors away - 5; number of draws - 7;
- Average first-half total: 1.61;
- Today's home team scores on average 0.55, while the visitors net 1.06.
First-Half Stats: Boyaca Chico (home) vs Atletico Nacional Medellin (away)
- matches played in the tournament: 9 vs 13;
- wins: 4 (44.44%) vs 1 (7.69%);
- losses: 1 (11.11%) vs 5 (38.46%);
- draws: 4 (44.44%) vs 7 (53.85%);
- Average goals scored: 0.89 vs 1.15;
- Average goals conceded: 0.11 vs 0.77.
Last 10 Matches (Overall):
- wins: 2 vs 2;
- losses: 3 vs 2;
- draws: 5 vs 6;
- Average first-half total: 1.1 (scored - 0.3, conceded - 0.8) vs 1 (scored - 0.5, conceded - 0.5).
- Boyaca Chico have lost the 1st half in 6 of last 7 games against Atletico Nacional Medellin.
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- number of encounters - 31;
- home team wins - 7, away team wins - 18, draws - 6.
Statistics: Boyaca Chico vs Atletico Nacional Medellin
- matches played in the tournament: 19 vs 19;
- wins: 5 vs 18;
- win percentage: 26% vs 72%;
- losses: 12 vs 6;
- draws: 2 vs 1.
Last 10 matches:
- wins: 4 vs 7;
- losses: 4 vs 3;
- draws: 2 vs 0.
- Boyaca Chico have lost in 6 of last 7 games against Atletico Nacional Medellin (Liga Aguila).
- Atletico Nacional Medellin have won in 6 of last 7 games.
Prediction on the over/under
H2H
- today's home team scores on average - 1.16, the guests - 2.23;
- average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 3.39;
- both teams scored: overall - 22; at the home team's field - 14.
Statistics: Boyaca Chico vs Atletico Nacional Medellin
- average total in the tournament: 2.47 vs 2.8;
- average total goals scored: 0.79 vs 1.96;
- average total in the 1st half: 0.42 vs 0.6;
- average total in the 2nd half: 0.37 vs 1.36;
- Boyaca Chico: average total at home in the tournament - 1.44;
- Atletico Nacional Medellin: average total away in the tournament - 1.23;
- last 10 matches (average total): 1.1 (home - 1.8) vs 1.8 (away - 0.6).
- Atletico Nacional Medellin have scored over 1.5 goals in 6 of last 7 games against Boyaca Chico (Liga Aguila).
Prediction on corners
Boyaca Chico: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 3.68; at home field - 4.67;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 5.4; at home field - 6.2.
Atletico Nacional Medellin: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 4.96, away - 4.08;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 6.6; away - 3.
- Over 8.5 corners in last 8 Atletico Nacional Medellin games.
- Over 8.5 corners in last 7 Atletico Nacional Medellin games (Liga Aguila).
Prediction on BTTS
H2H:
- number of encounters - 31;
- both teams scored all-time - 22 times;
- on the home team’s field - 14 times.
Statistics: Boyaca Chico vs Atletico Nacional Medellin
- number of matches played in the tournament: 19 vs 19;
- number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 4 vs 10;
- number of BTTS matches for Boyaca Chico at home - 2 (22%);
- number of BTTS matches for Atletico Nacional Medellin away - 5 (38%).
Last 10 matches:
- number of BTTS matches: 1 vs 3;
- BTTS matches for Boyaca Chico at home - 0 (0%);
- BTTS matches for Atletico Nacional Medellin away - 1 (20%).
- Boyaca Chico have scored and conceded in 12 of last 13 home games against Atletico Nacional Medellin.
- Boyaca Chico have scored and conceded in last 8 home games against Atletico Nacional Medellin (Liga Aguila).
- Boyaca Chico have scored and conceded in 6 of last 7 games against Atletico Nacional Medellin.
Correct score prediction
Statistics of frequent results (current season):
- most common score in the tournament: 1:1 (32/204, 15.7%);
- Boyaca Chico at home most often finish matches: 0:1 (3/9, 33.3%);
- Atletico Nacional Medellin away most often play: 1:0 , 1:2 (4/13, 30.8%).
Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top 3 outcomes:
0:1 - 12.45% (odds 6)
1:1 - 11.76% (odds 7)
1:0 - 10.79% (odds 12)
- Boyaca Chico drew 1:1 in 3 of last 4 home games against Atletico Nacional Medellin (Liga Aguila).
⭐ Editor's Prediction
The main argument here is Atletico Nacional's scoring record: they've hit at least two goals in almost every match this spring and there's little reason to think a clearly weaker opponent will stop that run. Boyaca simply don't have the squad quality to put up a serious fight - even at home - especially without competitive football since late May. We're going with Atletico Nacional total goals over 1.5.
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