Alianza Valledupar vs Fortaleza Prediction 26 July 2026
🔊One of the opening matches of the Colombian Clausura sees Alianza take on Fortaleza Sipaquirá. Both sides had a rough Apertura - flat football, no results, and a finish in the bottom half that was hard to argue with. Fans aren't expecting much to change this time around. The budgets at both clubs are too tight for any serious squad upgrades. Still, the hosts go in as favourites - largely because of their home ground, where the heat and humidity tend to cause real problems for teams coming down from high-altitude Bogotá. Fortaleza are exactly that.
Head-to-Head
The last official encounter between the teams took place on 17 January 2026 and ended with a scoreline of 1:0. Here's a comparative breakdown of that match (home team - Fortaleza C.E.I.F):
- ball possession percentage: 59% vs 41%;
- corner kicks: 2 vs 2;
- fouls: 13 vs 11;
- yellow cards: 1 vs 1;
- shots on target: 6 vs 2.
📊 Statistical preview of official matches between the teams Alianza Valledupar and Fortaleza C.E.I.F:
- played 5 matches;
- number of wins for the home team - 1, for the away team - 1, draws - 3;
- number of goals - 5 against 5;
- average total in the 1st half - 1, in the 2nd half - 1;
- average total goals in the match - 2.
Head-to-head statistics Alianza Valledupar - Fortaleza
Alianza Valledupar Team Overview
The team's most recent official match took place on as part of the Cup tournament (home team - Alianza FC Valledupar, away team - CA Bucaramanga). The match concluded with a scoreline of 2:1.
Here's the game statistics (Alianza Valledupar vs CA Bucaramanga):
- ball possession: 50% vs 50%;
- corner kicks: 8 vs 5;
- fouls: 19 vs 16;
- yellow cards: 3 vs 2;
- shots on target: 9 vs 2.
Alianza had a terrible Apertura - just 3 wins from 19 games. Their attack was the worst in the league: 13 goals scored, 0.68 per game. All spring they played a deeply pragmatic game, sitting deep and waiting for counter-attacking moments. But the quality of the players wasn't there to make it work - Alianza not only looked miserable going forward but also conceded 27 goals. So when it comes to what they actually have going into this match against Fortaleza, it's basically the home stadium and the climate. Whether that's enough to get a win here is the question.
Match Results: Alianza Valledupar
Fortaleza C.E.I.F Team Overview
The away team played their last official match on as part of the Cup tournament (home team - Cucuta Deportivo, away - Fortaleza C.E.I.F). The match concluded with a scoreline of 0:0.
Here are the match stats (Fortaleza C.E.I.F vs Cucuta Deportivo):
- ball possession: 58% vs 42%;
- corner kicks: 3 vs 5;
- fouls: 11 vs 5;
- yellow cards: 2 vs 2;
- shots on target: 3 vs 6.
Fortaleza Sipakira finished 15th in the Apertura, with a slightly more consistent record than their opponents - five wins from 19 matches. Their average of 1.16 goals scored per game was higher than Alianza's, but that edge doesn't mean much given they conceded at the same rate (1.42). The style is also similar - defensive shape, waiting for the counter. That approach tends to show up even more in away games. So don't expect goals. And with no competitive match since late May, their sharpness is nowhere near where it needs to be.
Match Results: Fortaleza C.E.I.F
Prediction for the 1st half
Head-to-Head Matches:
- Total encounters - 5;
- First-half wins at home for hosts - 0; for visitors away - 1; number of draws - 1;
- Average first-half total: 1;
- Today's home team scores on average 0.4, while the visitors net 0.6.
First-Half Stats: Alianza Valledupar (home) vs Fortaleza C.E.I.F (away)
- matches played in the tournament: 9 vs 9;
- wins: 3 (33.33%) vs 0 (0%);
- losses: 2 (22.22%) vs 6 (66.67%);
- draws: 4 (44.44%) vs 3 (33.33%);
- Average goals scored: 0.89 vs 1.11;
- Average goals conceded: 0.44 vs 0.89.
Last 10 Matches (Overall):
- wins: 4 vs 3;
- losses: 2 vs 4;
- draws: 4 vs 3;
- Average first-half total: 0.8 (scored - 0.6, conceded - 0.2) vs 1.3 (scored - 0.7, conceded - 0.6).
- Fortaleza C.E.I.F conceded in the 1st half in 7 of last 8 away games (Liga Aguila).
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- number of encounters - 5;
- home team wins - 1, away team wins - 1, draws - 3.
- Fortaleza C.E.I.F have not won in last 12 away games.
- Fortaleza C.E.I.F have not won in last 10 away games (Liga Aguila).
Prediction on the over/under
H2H
- today's home team scores on average - 1, the guests - 1;
- average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 2;
- both teams scored: overall - 3; at the home team's field - 1.
Statistics: Alianza Valledupar vs Fortaleza C.E.I.F
- average total in the tournament: 2.11 vs 2.58;
- average total goals scored: 0.68 vs 1.16;
- average total in the 1st half: 0.37 vs 0.37;
- average total in the 2nd half: 0.32 vs 0.79;
- Alianza Valledupar: average total at home in the tournament - 0.78;
- Fortaleza C.E.I.F: average total away in the tournament - 0.89;
- last 10 matches (average total): 1.2 (home - 1.4) vs 1.3 (away - 0.5).
- Alianza Valledupar have scored under 1.5 goals in 18 of last 20 games (Liga Aguila).
- Alianza Valledupar have scored under 1.5 goals in 8 of last 9 home games (Liga Aguila).
Prediction on BTTS
H2H:
- number of encounters - 5;
- both teams scored all-time - 3 times;
- on the home team’s field - 1 times.
Correct score prediction
Statistics of frequent results (current season):
- most common score in the tournament: 1:1 (32/206, 15.5%);
- Alianza Valledupar at home most often finish matches: 1:1 (3/9, 33.3%);
- Fortaleza C.E.I.F away most often play: 1:1 (2/9, 22.2%).
Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top 3 outcomes:
1:0 - 14.4% (odds 6)
1:1 - 13.73% (odds 6)
0:0 - 11.95% (odds 6.75)
⭐ Editor's Prediction
Matches between these two are usually short on clear-cut danger. They're roughly level in quality, both prefer a tight, defensive approach, and Alianza, like Fortaleza, haven't played in two months. Expect the kind of rusty, low-tempo football you typically see in the opening round of the Clausura, with plenty of errors on both sides. The conditions won't help the visitors either, which only makes a high-scoring game less likely. We're going with total goals under 2.5.
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Betting Tips: Alianza Valledupar - Fortaleza C.E.I.F
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Comparison of Teams Stats
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