Dundalk vs Waterford Prediction 26 June 2026
🔊 Both teams enter this fixture with contrasting motivations and recent form. Dundalk are among the league’s frontrunners, but they trail the top spot by nine points, so their focus now shifts to securing a place in the Conference League race. Waterford, meanwhile, sit bottom of the table-five points adrift of ninth. The sides’ recent results tell different stories: the hosts are unbeaten in five straight matches, while the visitors have alternated between wins and setbacks.
Head-to-Head
The most recent official meeting between these sides took place on 04 May 2026 and ended in a thrilling 3-3 draw. Here’s a comparative breakdown of the key stats from that match (Waterford United played at home):
- Possession: 44% vs 56%;
- Corners: 10 vs 11;
- Fouls: 17 vs 10;
- Yellow cards: 3 vs 1;
- Shots on target: 7 vs 6.
📊 Statistical head-to-head preview: Dundalk vs Waterford United
- They have faced off 33 times in official competitions;
- The hosts have claimed 19 wins, the visitors 8, with 6 matches ending in a draw;
- Total goals scored: 57 for Dundalk, 32 for Waterford United;
- Average goals in the first half: 1.33; in the second half: 1.36;
- Overall average goals per match: 2.7.
Head-to-head statistics Dundalk - Waterford
Dundalk Team Overview
The team's most recent official fixture took place on in the Premier Division, with Bohemians Dublin hosting Dundalk. The match ended in a 2-1 victory for the visitors.
Here’s a breakdown of the key statistics (Dundalk vs Bohemians Dublin):
- Possession: 42% vs 58%;
- Corners: 4 vs 7;
- Fouls committed: 13 vs 14;
- Yellow cards: 1 vs 1;
- Shots on target: 5 vs 5.
Dundalk are enjoying a solid campaign without any glaring setbacks, and they’re currently on an impressive unbeaten run. Over their last five matches, they’ve picked up four wins and a draw. At home, Dundalk average 1.62 goals per game but concede 1.38 on average-defensive lapses remain an issue, particularly at Oriel Park: the side have allowed at least one goal in five of their last six home fixtures.
Match Results: Dundalk
Waterford United Team Overview
The visitors last played an official match on in the Premier Division, facing Waterford United away from home. Shamrock Rovers came out on top with a 2-0 victory.
Here’s a look at the key stats from the match (Waterford United vs Shamrock Rovers):
- Possession: 29% vs 71%;
- Corners: 4 vs 5;
- Fouls committed: 18 vs 4;
- Yellow cards: 4 vs 1;
- Shots on target: 2 vs 6.
Waterford are locked in a relegation battle, currently sitting at the foot of the table. With a five-point gap separating them from safety, they need to start closing the deficit immediately. The visitors have struggled for form, recording just two wins in their last ten outings, alongside four defeats and four draws. While their attack has shown some promise-averaging 1.7 goals per match over that stretch-their defensive frailties are evident, conceding nearly two goals per game and making every contest a high-scoring affair.
Match Results: Waterford United
Prediction for the 1st half
Head-to-head:
- Matches played - 33;
- First-half wins at home - 8; away - 3; draws - 5;
- Average first-half total: 1.33 goals;
- This season's home side average 0.85 goals in the first half, while the visitors score 0.48.
First-half stats: Dundalk (home) vs Waterford United (away)
- Games played in the competition: 10 vs 10;
- Wins: 4 (40%) vs 3 (30%);
- Losses: 2 (20%) vs 4 (40%);
- Draws: 4 (40%) vs 3 (30%);
- Average goals scored: 1 vs 1.9;
- Average goals conceded: 0.3 vs 1.1.
Last 10 matches (overall):
- Wins: 4 vs 2;
- Losses: 3 vs 5;
- Draws: 3 vs 3;
- Average first-half total: 1.1 (scored - 0.6, conceded - 0.5) vs 1.7 (scored - 0.7, conceded - 1).
- Waterford United have conceded in the first half in 10 of their last 11 Premier Division fixtures.
- Waterford United have allowed a first-half goal in five consecutive away matches in the Premier Division.
Match Outcome Prediction
Head-to-head record:
- Games played - 33;
- Home wins - 19, Away wins - 8, Draws - 6.
Stats: Dundalk vs Waterford United
- Matches in the competition: 21 vs 21;
- Wins: 9 vs 2;
- Win percentage: 43% vs 10%;
- Losses: 4 vs 11;
- Draws: 8 vs 8.
Last 10 matches:
- Wins: 4 vs 2;
- Losses: 4 vs 4;
- Draws: 2 vs 4.
- Waterford United have covered a +1.5 handicap away from home in 6 of the last 7 head-to-head meetings.
Total Goals Prediction
Head-to-head meetings (average total goals):
- Home side - 1.73, Away side - 0.97;
- Overall H2H average - 2.7;
- Both teams scored: all-time - 15 times; at the home ground - 5 times.
Average goals stats: Dundalk vs Waterford United
- In this competition: 3 vs 3.19;
- Goals scored: 1.62 vs 1.19;
- First half: 0.71 vs 0.52;
- Second half: 0.9 vs 0.67;
- Dundalk at home in this competition - 1.8;
- Waterford United away in this competition - 1.1;
- Last 10 matches: 1.2 (home - 1) vs 1.7 (away - 1.25).
- Dundalk have scored under 2.5 goals at home in 6 of their last 7 head-to-head encounters.
- Dundalk have netted under 2.5 goals in 11 of their last 12 Premier Division fixtures.
- Dundalk have scored fewer than 2.5 goals at home in 9 of their last 10 matches.
- Dundalk are on an eight-match run of scoring under 2.5 goals at home in the Premier Division.
- Dundalk have scored under 2.5 goals in seven consecutive outings.
Corner Kicks Prediction
Dundalk: Stats
- This season: average corners per match - 6.05; at home - 5.2;
- Last 10 games: average corners - 6.1; at home - 4.8.
Waterford United: Stats
- This season: average corners per match - 4.76; away - 4.5;
- Last 10 games: average corners - 4.3; away - 3.5.
Both Teams to Score Prediction
Head-to-head record:
- Games played - 33;
- Both teams found the net all-time - on 15 occasions;
- At the home ground - on five occasions.
Stats: Dundalk vs Waterford United
- Matches played in this competition: 21 vs 21;
- Games this season with both teams scoring (BTTS): 14 vs 12;
- Dundalk BTTS at home - 6 (60%);
- Waterford United BTTS away - 6 (60%).
Last 10 matches:
- BTTS matches: 6 vs 7;
- Dundalk BTTS at home - 3 (60%);
- Waterford United BTTS away - 3 (75%).
Correct Score Prediction
Most frequent results (current season):
- Most common scoreline in the league: 1-1 (14/108, 13%);
- Dundalk’s most frequent home results: 1-0, 2-1 (2/10, 20%);
- Waterford United’s most frequent away result: 2-0 (2/10, 20%).
Based on statistical analysis and probability distribution, the algorithm projects the top three likely outcomes:
2-1 - 9.87% (odds: 6.7)
2-0 - 8.8% (odds: 6.9)
1-1 - 8.65% (odds: 7.16)
⭐ Editor’s Prediction
Waterford’s recent matches have been defined by high-scoring affairs-over 2.5 goals have been scored in seven of their last eight league games. Dundalk’s stats reveal a consistent vulnerability at home, with the hosts frequently conceding at least once per match, which opens the door for Waterford’s attack despite their lower position in the table. The average goals scored and conceded by both sides further support the likelihood of an open contest, with chances expected at both ends.No comments
Betting Tips: Dundalk - Waterford United
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Comparison of Teams Stats
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