Tondela vs Nacional Prediction 25 April 2026
🔊 Tondela and Nacional de Madeira are set to clash in the next round of the Portuguese league. Tondela, currently sitting second from the bottom, are eager to turn their fortunes around after a string of disappointing performances. Meanwhile, Nacional de Madeira have been inconsistent in their recent outings, despite securing a few wins. Both teams have struggled to find the net, which could impact the final scoreline.
Head-to-Head
The last official clash between the teams took place on 15 December 2025 and ended with a 3-1 scoreline. Here's a comparative breakdown of the stats from that encounter (home team - Nacional de Madeira):
- possession: 44% vs 56%;
- corners: 3 vs 10;
- fouls: 11 vs 17;
- yellow cards: 5 vs 6;
- shots on target: 4 vs 5.
📊 Statistical preview of official encounters between Tondela and Nacional de Madeira:
- 16 matches played;
- home wins - 6, away wins - 7, draws - 3;
- goals scored - 19 for Tondela, 22 for Nacional;
- average total goals in the first half - 0.88, in the second half - 1.69;
- average total goals per match - 2.56.
Head-to-head statistics Tondela - Nacional
Tondela Team Overview
The team's last official match took place on in the Primeira Liga, with Porto as the hosts and Tondela as the visitors. The match ended with a 2-0 victory for Porto.
Here are the match statistics (Tondela vs Porto):
- possession: 40% vs 60%;
- corners: 3 vs 8;
- fouls: 11 vs 12;
- yellow cards: 5 vs 4;
- shots on target: 3 vs 8.
Tondela find themselves in a precarious position, sitting 17th in the standings. The team struggles with scoring, averaging just 0.72 goals per match. Their recent form highlights their instability, with three losses and two draws in their last five outings. Despite these challenges, Tondela perform more confidently at home, buoyed by fan support and a solid defense. However, their lack of offensive firepower and insufficient victories present a tough challenge as they aim to climb the league table while there's still time to make a change.
Match Results: Tondela
Nacional de Madeir Team Overview
The last official match for the current visitors took place on in the Primeira Liga, with Nacional de Madeira hosting Alverca. The game concluded with a 1-0 scoreline.
Here are the match statistics (Nacional de Madeira vs Alverca):
- possession: 50% vs 50%;
- corners: 4 vs 8;
- fouls: 15 vs 15;
- yellow cards: 2 vs 1;
- shots on target: 6 vs 4.
Nacional de Madeira sit 14th in the standings, which gives the team a measure of confidence but leaves no room for complacency. In their last five matches, they've secured two wins but suffered three losses. Nacional average 1.07 goals per game, highlighting a lack of consistency in attack. Away from home, they typically play cautiously and often focus on defense. However, they struggle to capitalize on opportunities, particularly against stronger opponents. Historically, Nacional find it challenging to score more than one goal away against Tondela.
Match Results: Nacional de Madeir
Prediction for the 1st half
Head-to-Head Matches:
- Total encounters - 16;
- First-half wins at home for hosts - 1; for visitors away - 0; number of draws - 7;
- Average first-half total: 0.88;
- Today's home team scores on average 0.44, while the visitors net 0.44.
First-Half Stats: Tondela (home) vs Nacional de Madeir (away)
- matches played in the tournament: 14 vs 15;
- wins: 1 (7.14%) vs 4 (26.67%);
- losses: 3 (21.43%) vs 5 (33.33%);
- draws: 10 (71.43%) vs 6 (40%);
- Average goals scored: 0.71 vs 0.93;
- Average goals conceded: 0.43 vs 0.53.
Last 10 Matches (Overall):
- wins: 1 vs 1;
- losses: 2 vs 4;
- draws: 7 vs 5;
- Average first-half total: 1.2 (scored - 0.5, conceded - 0.7) vs 0.6 (scored - 0.1, conceded - 0.5).
- Tondela have drawn in the 1st half in 7 of last 8 home games against Nacional de Madeir.
- Tondela have drawn in the 1st half in 6 of last 7 home games (Primeira Liga).
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- number of encounters - 16;
- home team wins - 6, away team wins - 7, draws - 3.
Statistics: Tondela vs Nacional de Madeir
- matches played in the tournament: 29 vs 30;
- wins: 4 vs 7;
- win percentage: 14% vs 23%;
- losses: 16 vs 16;
- draws: 9 vs 7.
Last 10 matches:
- wins: 1 vs 2;
- losses: 3 vs 6;
- draws: 6 vs 2.
- Tondela have drawn in 5 of last 6 home games (Primeira Liga).
Prediction on the over/under
H2H
- today's home team scores on average - 1.19, the guests - 1.38;
- average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 2.56;
- both teams scored: overall - 9; at the home team's field - 4.
Statistics: Tondela vs Nacional de Madeir
- average total in the tournament: 2.38 vs 2.43;
- average total goals scored: 0.72 vs 1.07;
- average total in the 1st half: 0.31 vs 0.4;
- average total in the 2nd half: 0.41 vs 0.67;
- Tondela: average total at home in the tournament - 0.79;
- Nacional de Madeir: average total away in the tournament - 0.8;
- last 10 matches (average total): 0.9 (home - 0.83) vs 0.5 (away - 0.25).
- Under 3.5 goals scored in 7 of last 8 Tondela home games against Nacional de Madeir.
- Under 3.5 goals scored in 22 of last 23 Nacional de Madeir away games (Primeira Liga).
- Under 3.5 goals scored in last 7 Nacional de Madeir away games.
Prediction on BTTS
H2H:
- number of encounters - 16;
- both teams scored all-time - 9 times;
- on the home team’s field - 4 times.
Statistics: Tondela vs Nacional de Madeir
- number of matches played in the tournament: 29 vs 30;
- number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 10 vs 15;
- number of BTTS matches for Tondela at home - 6 (43%);
- number of BTTS matches for Nacional de Madeir away - 8 (53%).
Last 10 matches:
- number of BTTS matches: 4 vs 2;
- BTTS matches for Tondela at home - 3 (50%);
- BTTS matches for Nacional de Madeir away - 1 (25%).
Correct score prediction
Statistics of frequent results (current season):
- most common score in the tournament: 1:1 (27/268, 10.1%);
- Tondela at home most often finish matches: 0:0 , 0:1 , 2:2 (3/14, 21.4%);
- Nacional de Madeir away most often play: 1:1 (4/15, 26.7%).
Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top 3 outcomes:
0:1 - 13.23% (odds 8.5)
1:1 - 12.6% (odds 6.5)
1:0 - 11.06% (odds 9)
⭐ Editorial Prediction
Both teams have struggled with scoring this season. Tondela face challenges in creating and converting goal-scoring opportunities. In their last five matches, they've only managed to score more than one goal in a game once. Nacional de Madeira, on the other hand, also adopt a cautious approach, often resulting in matches finishing with a total of fewer than 2.5 goals. Considering these factors and the prevailing trend of low scoring, it's reasonable to expect this pattern to continue in the upcoming match.
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Betting Tips: Tondela - Nacional de Madeir
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Comparison of Teams Stats
Other predictions
