Marseille vs Nice Prediction 26 April 2026

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The main thing

    🔊 How will the final match of the 31st round of the French football championship conclude? On Sunday, Marseille host Nice, who are fighting for survival this season. Bookmakers have the hosts as favorites, but is it really that straightforward? A detailed analysis of this encounter and a prediction on its outcome can be found below.

    Head-to-Head

    📊 The head-to-head encounters between Marseille and Nice have been unpredictable, making it difficult to identify any clear pattern. In the first round of their matchup, the "Southerners" came out on top with a decisive 5-1 victory.

    Head-to-head statistics Marseille - Nice

    53%
    21 Wins
    15%
    6 Draws
    33%
    13 Wins
    Total games
    40
    Total Goals Avg
    3.05
    Both teams scored
    57%
    1.75
    Total average
    1.3
    1.9
    Yellow cards
    1.9
    Last matches
    25.07.26
    Club Friendly Games
    Olympique Marseille
    Olympique Marseille
    Nice
    Nice
    -
    -
    7
    0
    -
    -
    0
    0
    0
    3
    0
    2
    0
    1
    -
    -
    7
    0
    -
    -
    0
    0
    26.04.26
    Ligue 1
    Olympique Marseille
    Olympique Marseille
    Nice
    Nice
    1.76
    1.37
    8
    1
    14
    7
    4
    1
    1
    1
    0
    0
    1
    1
    1.76
    1.37
    8
    1
    14
    7
    4
    1
    21.11.25
    Ligue 1
    Nice
    Nice
    Olympique Marseille
    Olympique Marseille
    1.13
    2.37
    8
    6
    9
    10
    2
    2
    1
    5
    0
    2
    1
    3
    1.13
    2.37
    8
    6
    9
    10
    2
    2
    26.01.25
    Ligue 1
    Nice
    Nice
    Olympique Marseille
    Olympique Marseille
    0.91
    0.38
    6
    12
    12
    9
    1
    0
    2
    0
    1
    0
    1
    0
    0.91
    0.38
    6
    12
    12
    9
    1
    0
    14.09.24
    Ligue 1
    Olympique Marseille
    Olympique Marseille
    1
    Nice
    Nice
    -
    -
    1
    2
    19
    4
    4
    2
    2
    0
    1
    0
    1
    0
    -
    -
    1
    2
    19
    4
    4
    2
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    Olympique Marseille Team Overview

    🔵 Marseille are navigating a challenging phase in the league, where collecting points has become a real struggle, and the competition at the top of the table has intensified significantly. Over their last four matches, Habib Beye's side have managed to secure just three points, and those came from a win against the season's main underdog, Metz (3-1).

    ⚪ Notably, Marseille encounter serious issues against stronger opponents. This was evident in their clashes with Lille (1-2), Monaco (1-2), and Lorient (0-2). In their latest match against Lorient, Marseille players managed only two shots on target. With such statistics, how do they plan to win? These setbacks have caused Habib Beye's team to slip to sixth place in the standings.

    Match Results: Olympique Marseille

    Last matches
    21.08.26
    Ligue 1
    Olympique Marseille
    Olympique Marseille
    Strasbourg Alsace
    Strasbourg Alsace
    1
    2.27
    0.29
    3
    4
    6
    12
    1
    3
    4
    0
    0
    0
    4
    0
    2.27
    0.29
    3
    4
    6
    12
    1
    3
    W
    14.08.26
    Club Friendly Games
    Olympique Marseille
    Olympique Marseille
    Atletico Madrid
    Atletico Madrid
    -
    -
    9
    1
    7
    13
    3
    2
    1
    2
    1
    1
    0
    1
    -
    -
    9
    1
    7
    13
    3
    2
    L
    09.08.26
    Club Friendly Games
    Olympique Marseille
    Olympique Marseille
    Athletic Bilbao
    Athletic Bilbao
    -
    -
    5
    1
    16
    21
    1
    3
    3
    1
    2
    1
    1
    0
    -
    -
    5
    1
    16
    21
    1
    3
    W
    05.08.26
    Club Friendly Games
    Olympique Marseille
    Olympique Marseille
    Al Shahaniya
    Al Shahaniya
    -
    -
    8
    3
    -
    -
    1
    0
    3
    0
    1
    0
    2
    0
    -
    -
    8
    3
    -
    -
    1
    0
    W
    30.07.26
    Club Friendly Games
    Olympique Marseille
    Olympique Marseille
    Nimes Olympique
    Nimes Olympique
    -
    -
    5
    3
    -
    -
    0
    0
    2
    1
    1
    1
    1
    0
    -
    -
    5
    3
    -
    -
    0
    0
    W
    Empty
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    Nice Team Overview

    ⚫ Nice have gone four league matches without a win, collecting just two points in that stretch. However, the "Eaglets" have found their stride in another competition, reaching the final of the Coupe de France after defeating Strasbourg 2-0 in the previous round. Can Claude Puel's men build on this success and secure their first league victory in a while? It's possible, given their opponent is currently on a losing streak and not in the best form.

    🔴 Notably, in their last two league outings, Nice drew with Le Havre (1-1) and Lille (0-0). Holding the "Dogs" to a draw can certainly be seen as an achievement, considering Lille's impressive form, and it was no small feat to withstand such pressure. However, the issue remains-Nice are still hovering around the relegation zone and urgently need points.

    Match Results: Nice

    Last matches
    22.08.26
    Ligue 1
    Nice
    Nice
    Lorient
    Lorient
    1.05
    1.51
    9
    3
    15
    8
    1
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    1.05
    1.51
    9
    3
    15
    8
    1
    0
    D
    15.08.26
    Club Friendly Games
    Hull City
    Hull City
    Nice
    Nice
    -
    -
    1
    0
    4
    7
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    -
    -
    1
    0
    4
    7
    0
    0
    D
    08.08.26
    Club Friendly Games
    Cagliari Calcio
    Cagliari Calcio
    Nice
    Nice
    -
    -
    4
    1
    9
    6
    1
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    -
    -
    4
    1
    9
    6
    1
    0
    D
    01.08.26
    Club Friendly Games
    Nice
    Nice
    Fleury 91
    Fleury 91
    1
    3
    1
    2
    0
    1
    L
    31.07.26
    Club Friendly Games
    Juventus Turin
    Juventus Turin
    Nice
    Nice
    -
    -
    3
    1
    12
    6
    0
    0
    2
    0
    1
    0
    1
    0
    -
    -
    3
    1
    12
    6
    0
    0
    L
    Empty
    There are no events
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    Latest news

    Olympique Marseille

    🎙 The Mayor of Marseille, Benoît Payan, has criticized the new emblem of the local club Olympique Marseille, which was unveiled in early April. The politician described the design as "ugly" and "horrible." "I don't think this logo truly represents the essence of Marseille. Some people tell me we'll get used to it. Sure, you can get used to anything, but I don't like this logo. Even Volkswagen mocked us by flipping the emblem and saying it looks just like theirs," Payan remarked.

    ❌ Marseille will be without Igor Paixão, one of their key forwards, for the upcoming match due to injury. The Brazilian striker picked up a knock in the last round and is not yet ready to return to the pitch. Additionally, Bilal Nadir, Geoffrey Kondogbia, and C.J. Egan-Riley are sidelined with injuries of varying severity.

    Nice

    ❌ Nice have doubts regarding the availability of three players who recently recovered from injuries: Youssouf Ndayishimiye, Mohamed Abdelmonem, and Dante. Among those definitely sidelined are Everton Pereira (ankle injury) and Moïse Bombito (leg injury) - both have been out for a while and are still far from full recovery.

    🟨 Yellow Card Prediction

    The main referee for the upcoming match is Willy Delajod. Over a span of 100 matches, he averages 3.61 yellow cards per game with 25 fouls. In Ligue 1, Marseille average 2.4 yellow cards per game, while Metz average 2.1. Both teams have frequently received cautions this season, so we recommend betting on over 3.5 total yellow cards.

    ⚽️ Goal Prediction

    Marseille's individual total in Ligue 1 is 1.9 goals per match on average, whereas Nice's is lower at 1.1. The goal-scoring rate in matches involving these teams is high: the hosts average 3.3 and the visitors 3. Considering this data, we suggest looking at a bet on over 2.5 total goals.

    🚩 Corner Prediction

    In recent Ligue 1 matches, Marseille have averaged 5.2 corners per game, while Nice have averaged 5.1. Both teams frequently earn set pieces from the corner and have slightly above-average league statistics, so we recommend a bet on over 9.5 total corners.

    Editor's Prediction

    The final match of Ligue 1's Round 31 promises to be a thrilling encounter, with Marseille pushing for a top-three finish while Nice are battling to avoid relegation from the top tier. The "Eagles" recently secured a spot in the cup final, which should boost their confidence and morale significantly. Meanwhile, Marseille are in a clear slump, having lost three of their last four matches, which leads us to suggest a bet on Nice with a +1.5 handicap. The predicted scoreline is a 2-2 draw.

    Nice Handicap (+1,5)
    Published: 25/04/2026, 16:25

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    Betting Tips: Olympique Marseille - Nice

    Olympique Marseille have not lost:
    olympique-marseille-1in 17 of last 19 home games (Ligue 1).
    olympique-marseille-1in 7 of last 8 home games.
    Nice have not won:
    ogc-nicein 10 of last 11 games (Ligue 1).
    Olympique Marseille will not lose
    Everygame
    -526
    Olympique Marseille have scored under 2.5 goals:
    olympique-marseille-1in 6 of last 7 games.
    Olympique Marseille Total goals Under (2,5)
    Everygame
    -303
    Nice have scored under 1.5 goals:
    ogc-nicein 6 of last 7 games (Ligue 1).
    Nice Total goals Under (1,5)
    Everygame
    -303
    Olympique Marseille conceded in the 2nd half:
    olympique-marseille-1in 6 of last 7 home games (Ligue 1).
    olympique-marseille-1in 5 of last 6 home games.
    2nd half, Nice will score goal
    +105
    View more facts

    Marseille - Nice Table position

    Ligue 1 25/26
    gWDLGDPForm
    4.
    Olympique Lyon
    Olympique Lyon
    341861053-4060
    5.
    Olympique Marseille
    Olympique Marseille
    341851163-4559
    6.
    Stade Rennes
    Stade Rennes
    34178959-5059
    15.
    Auxerre
    Auxerre
    348101634-4434
    16.
    Nice
    Nice
    347111637-6032
    17.
    Nantes
    Nantes
    33582029-5223

    Comparison of Teams Stats

    10 matches
    5 - Wins
    1 - Draw
    4 - Loses
    Wins - 2
    Draws - 6
    Loses - 2
    10 matches
    Scored - 15
    Conceded - 12
    +3
    +2
    10 - Scored
    8 - Conceded
    5
    Wins
    2
    1
    Draws
    6
    4
    Loses
    2
    Goal difference
    15
    Scored
    10
    12
    Conceded
    8
    2.7
    Match goals average
    1.8
    1.5
    Goals scored per match on average
    1
    1.2
    Goals conceded per match on average
    0.8
    5
    Both teams scored
    5
    60'
    Minutes / Goal scored
    90'
    View all stats