Estrela vs Porto Prediction 26 April 2026
🔊 The upcoming match promises to be an intriguing clash between two teams with different season objectives. Estrela are fighting for survival, sitting in 15th place in the standings, while Porto are confidently leading at the top of the league. The form of the opponents contrasts sharply: Estrela have lost four of their last five matches, whereas Porto display consistent performance, having suffered only one defeat in their last ten games.
Head-to-Head
The last official match between the teams took place on 15 December 2025 and ended with a 3-1 scoreline. Here's a comparative breakdown of the statistics from that encounter (with Porto as the home side):
- possession percentage: 65% vs 35%;
- corner kicks: 4 vs 0;
- fouls: 13 vs 17;
- yellow cards: 1 vs 5;
- shots on target: 7 vs 1.
📊 Statistical Preview of Official Encounters Between Estrela and Porto:
- 5 matches played;
- home wins - 1, away wins - 4, draws - 0;
- goals scored - 3 for Estrela, 8 for Porto;
- average goals in the 1st half - 1, in the 2nd half - 1.2;
- average total goals per match - 2.2.
Head-to-head statistics Estrela - Porto
Estrela Team Overview
The team's last official match took place on in the Primeira Liga, with Arouca as the home side and Estrela as the visitors. The match concluded with a scoreline of 1-0.
Here are the game statistics (Estrela vs Arouca):
- possession percentage: 50% vs 50%;
- corner kicks: 3 vs 4;
- fouls: 11 vs 15;
- yellow cards: 1 vs 5;
- shots on target: 3 vs 3.
Estrela are facing significant challenges this season, teetering on the brink of relegation. The team sit 15th in the standings and have been struggling for form, losing four of their last five matches. Their average of just 1.1 goals per game highlights their attacking woes. Defensively, they are equally shaky, conceding over 1.5 goals per match on average. Despite these struggles, the desire to avoid relegation might provide them with the extra motivation needed to put up a fight against the favorites.
Match Results: Estrela
Porto Team Overview
The visitors' last official match took place on in the Portuguese Cup, featuring Porto as the home side and Sporting as the visitors. The match ended in a goalless draw, 0-0.
Here's a breakdown of the game stats (Porto vs Sporting):
- possession: 51% vs 49%;
- corners: 6 vs 4;
- fouls: 22 vs 8;
- yellow cards: 3 vs 3;
- shots on target: 3 vs 1.
Porto are showcasing a confident display this season. The team consistently performs throughout the championship, suffering just one defeat in 30 matches. In their last five games, Porto have secured two wins and two draws, reflecting a high level of play. Their attack remains a formidable force, averaging over two goals per match. The defense also delivers excellent results, conceding only 0.47 goals per game. Against Estrela, Porto will aim to extend their dominant run and reaffirm their status as favorites.
Match Results: Porto
Latest news
Estrela
✅ The hosts do not have any significant absences ahead of the match.
Porto
🎙 Francesco Farioli shared his thoughts on the match against Sporting in the Portuguese Cup (0-0): "I am extremely proud of our performance. It was crystal clear what we achieved and what others did. We didn't score the goal we deserved, but we completely dominated Sporting throughout the game, whether playing with ten or eleven men. They came here to waste time, and we outclassed them on every level. Let me make this very clear: Porto are back! We lose a bit of clarity when we see what's happening, but I am very proud to coach this team of fantastic players. Aside from this round and the Europa League round where we were eliminated, I have yet to see a team better than us. We need to accept what happened on the field, but the result was not what we wanted."
❌ Porto will be without Luuk de Jong, Nehuén Pérez, and Samu. Martim Fernandes' participation is doubtful.
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- number of encounters - 5;
- home team wins - 1, away team wins - 4, draws - 0.
Statistics: Estrela vs Porto
- matches played in the tournament: 30 vs 30;
- wins: 6 vs 25;
- win percentage: 20% vs 83%;
- losses: 14 vs 1;
- draws: 10 vs 4.
Last 10 matches:
- wins: 2 vs 6;
- losses: 6 vs 1;
- draws: 2 vs 3.
- Porto have won in 13 of last 15 away games (Primeira Liga).
Prediction on the over/under
H2H
- today's home team scores on average - 0.6, the guests - 1.6;
- average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 2.2;
- both teams scored: overall - 1; at the home team's field - 0.
Statistics: Estrela vs Porto
- average total in the tournament: 2.73 vs 2.5;
- average total goals scored: 1.1 vs 2.03;
- average total in the 1st half: 0.53 vs 0.87;
- average total in the 2nd half: 0.57 vs 1.17;
- Estrela: average total at home in the tournament - 1.33;
- Porto: average total away in the tournament - 2;
- last 10 matches (average total): 0.9 (home - 1.4) vs 1.7 (away - 1.75).
- Porto have scored over 1.5 goals in last 7 games (Primeira Liga).
Prediction on BTTS
H2H:
- number of encounters - 5;
- both teams scored all-time - 1 times;
- on the home team’s field - 0 times.
Statistics: Estrela vs Porto
- number of matches played in the tournament: 30 vs 30;
- number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 13 vs 11;
- number of BTTS matches for Estrela at home - 6 (40%);
- number of BTTS matches for Porto away - 6 (40%).
Last 10 matches:
- number of BTTS matches: 3 vs 5;
- BTTS matches for Estrela at home - 1 (20%);
- BTTS matches for Porto away - 3 (75%).
Correct score prediction
Statistics of frequent results (current season):
- most common score in the tournament: 0:1 (27/269, 10%), 1:1 (27/269, 10%);
- Estrela at home most often finish matches: 0:1 , 0:2 , 2:2 (2/15, 13.3%);
- Porto away most often play: 0:1 (4/15, 26.7%).
Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top 3 outcomes:
0:1 - 13.27% (odds 6)
0:2 - 11.09% (odds 5.5)
1:2 - 10.63% (odds 8.5)
⭐ Editorial Prediction
In this match, Porto hold a clear advantage both in the standings and current form. The team confidently leads the league and showcases impressive scoring ability, netting over 1.5 goals in their last seven matches. Although Estrela will aim to leverage their home ground to improve their chances, their weak defense makes this an unlikely scenario. Taking all factors into account, Porto are expected to extend their dominant run and secure a comfortable victory. Our pick is Porto's individual total over 1.5 goals.No comments
Betting Tips: Estrela - Porto
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Comparison of Teams Stats
Other predictions
