Lyon vs Rennes Prediction 26 April 2025
🔊 Can an unmotivated Rennes pose a challenge away against an irate Lyon? In the 31st round of Ligue 1, Habib Beye's squad travels to the "Parc Olympique Lyonnais," having no season objectives left but showcasing excellent football in recent matches. Lyon need to secure maximum points in their remaining games to keep their Champions League hopes alive. However, the team might be psychologically shaken following two frustrating defeats. Let's see if Paulo Fonseca can rally his side.
Head-to-Head
📊 Statistical preview of the official encounters between Lyon and Rennes:
- 35 matches played;
- home victories - 12, away wins - 13, draws - 10;
- goals scored - 41 for Lyon, 48 for Rennes;
- average total in the first half - 1.03, in the second half - 1.51;
- average total goals per match - 2.54.
The last game took place on 18 August 2024 at Rennes' ground and ended with a 3-0 scoreline.
Head-to-head statistics Lyon - Rennes

Olympique Lyon Team Overview
⚪️ After a heartbreaking extra-time exit from the Europa League against Manchester United, Lyon suffered another tough loss in the Rhone derby to Saint-Étienne (1-2). As a result, Lille have claimed the vacant spot in the top four, pulling two points clear of Lyon. The remaining schedule is moderately challenging, featuring Rennes, Lens, and Angers at home, with a trip to Monaco. The key for Paulo Fonseca's side is to climb out of their emotional slump.
📣 Lyon's head coach Paulo Fonseca commented on the team's recent performances: “I feel we didn't play in our last match, especially in the first 45 minutes. We need to reflect on our recent displays. Football is largely about mental strength. What happened in Manchester was very tough. But for the derby, we needed to show a different attitude. After 120 minutes against Manchester, we couldn't field the same players. Perhaps I changed the team too much, but I had faith in everyone. However, in the first 45 minutes, we weren't ourselves.” He assessed the upcoming opponent: “They are a quality team that is improving. This season, they don't have much at stake, but they'll play without pressure. At the start of the season, they had ambitions similar to ours. They invested a lot but fell behind. It will be a very tough match. All matches at the end of the season are like that. The match against Saint-Étienne proved it.”
❌ First-choice goalkeeper Lucas Perry is ready for the match, as is holding midfielder Nemanja Matić. Paulo Fonseca's only concern is over Corentin Tolisso's condition, with a decision to be made just before the game. The team will be without injured backup forward Ernest Nuamah.
Match Results: Olympique Lyon

Stade Rennes Team Overview
⚫️ The "Red and Blacks" have no tournament objectives left to pursue. Rennes are likely to finish 10th or 11th in the league standings. Judging by their recent performances, this relaxed atmosphere seems to have positively impacted the players, as reflected in their results. They have secured 3 wins in their last four matches with a goal difference of 10:3. Head coach Habib Beye is taking advantage of this opportunity to prepare for the next season under competitive conditions.
📣 Habib Beye shared his thoughts on the upcoming match: “These are challenging times for clubs with high ambitions. In a single week, it can feel like everything is lost. I take a more pragmatic approach, telling myself that we will face the best version of Lyon. In clubs like these, pressure from fans, external factors, or even management inevitably leads to a response. They are top-class players and a formidable team. Scoring four goals at Old Trafford isn't something an average team can do. So we know what we're up against, but we also know that teams fear us. When you host Rennes, you don't do so comfortably; you do it knowing this team can hurt you and control the game. But when a team like Lyon loses two crucial matches, a reaction is inevitable, and we are ready to face this match, prepared for significant challenges.”
❌ The team is in good health overall. The only absentees are the backup center-back Mikayil Faye and the long-injured center-back Alidu Seidu.
Match Results: Stade Rennes
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- number of encounters - 35;
- home team wins - 12, away team wins - 13, draws - 10.
Statistics: Olympique Lyon vs Stade Rennes
- number of matches played in the tournament: 30 vs 30;
- number of wins: 15 vs 12;
- win percentage: 50% vs 40%;
- number of losses: 9 vs 16;
- number of draws: 6 vs 2.
Last 10 matches:
- number of wins: 6 vs 6;
- number of losses: 3 vs 4;
- number of draws: 1 vs 0.
- Stade Rennes won with a +1.5 handicap in 9 of last 10 away games against Olympique Lyon.
- Stade Rennes won with a +1.5 handicap in last 11 away games.
- Stade Rennes won with a +1.5 handicap in last 9 away games (Ligue 1).
- Stade Rennes won with a +1.5 handicap in last 5 games (Ligue 1).
Prediction on the over/under
H2H
- today's home team scores on average - 1.17, the guests - 1.37;
- average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 2.54;
- both teams scored: overall - 19; at the home team's field - 10.
Statistics: Olympique Lyon vs Stade Rennes
- average total in the tournament: 3.3 vs 2.83;
- average total goals scored: 1.93 vs 1.5;
- average total in the 1st half: 0.63 vs 0.7;
- average total in the 2nd half: 1.3 vs 0.8;
- Olympique Lyon: average total at home in the tournament - 2.14;
- Stade Rennes: average total away in the tournament - 1.57;
- last 10 matches (average total): 2.7 (home - 3) vs 1.8 (away - 2.8).
- Olympique Lyon have scored under 2.5 goals in 34 of last 35 games against Stade Rennes.
- Olympique Lyon have scored under 2.5 goals in 33 of last 34 games against Stade Rennes (Ligue 1).
- Olympique Lyon have scored under 2.5 goals in 17 of last 18 home games against Stade Rennes.
- Olympique Lyon have scored under 2.5 goals in 16 of last 17 home games against Stade Rennes (Ligue 1).
Prediction on corners
Olympique Lyon: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 5.27; at home field - 5.07;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 4.1; at home field - 3.
Stade Rennes: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 5.1, away - 4;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 5.5; away - 4.2.
- Olympique Lyon have taken over 4.5 corners in 6 of last 7 home games against Stade Rennes (Ligue 1).
Prediction on cards
H2H
- average Over/Under yellow cards in H2H matches - 3.02 (1.51 for home team and 1.51 for away team);
- average Over/Under yellow cards at the home team's field - 3.16 (1.33 for home team and 1.83 for away team).
Olympique Lyon: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 1.73; at home - 1.86;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 2; at home - 1.5.
Stade Rennes: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 1.87, away - 2.21;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 1.7; away - 2.
- Over 3.5 yellow cards in last 7 Olympique Lyon games.
Prediction on BTTS
H2H:
- number of encounters - 35;
- both teams scored all-time - 19 times;
- on the home team’s field - 10 times.
Statistics: Olympique Lyon vs Stade Rennes
- number of matches played in the tournament: 30 vs 30;
- number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 19 vs 13;
- number of BTTS matches for Olympique Lyon at home - 8 (57%);
- number of BTTS matches for Stade Rennes away - 7 (50%).
Last 10 matches:
- number of BTTS matches: 8 vs 3;
- BTTS matches for Olympique Lyon at home - 3 (75%);
- BTTS matches for Stade Rennes away - 1 (20%).
- Olympique Lyon have scored and conceded in 8 of last 9 games (Ligue 1).
- Olympique Lyon have scored and conceded in last 7 games.
Editor's Prediction
Both teams are in fine form and boast impressive scoring records both over the season and in recent fixtures. Based on the head-to-head stats from previous home encounters, we can anticipate a tense match with plenty of goals from both sides-the trend shows that the over 2.5 goals total has been hit in 6 of the last 7 such games. Considering all factors, the most reasonable bet is on over 2.5 goals.