Estrela vs Porto Prediction, H2H Stats & Statistical Bets 26 April 2025
🔊 An exciting match looms on the horizon between Estoril and Porto. Estoril are fighting for survival in the Primeira Liga, currently sitting in 15th place, and they need every point they can get. Meanwhile, Porto are aiming to climb back into the top three, looking to displace Braga from the third spot. The "Dragons" are considered the favorites, but will they live up to that status?
Head-to-Head
📊 Over the past 15 years, Estrela and Porto have faced off in three official matches. The stats are as follows:
- Goals: 0 for the home side and 5 for the visitors;
- Average total goals per match - 1.67.
The last encounter took place on 16 December 2024 at Porto's home ground and ended with a 2-0 scoreline.
Head-to-head statistics Estrela - Porto
Estrela Team Overview
🟢 Estrela are experiencing challenging times in the Primeira Liga, currently sitting 15th with disappointing recent performances. Over their last ten matches, they have managed just two wins, alongside three draws and five losses. The team's average goals scored stands at a mere 0.73 per match, highlighting their struggles in attack.
🔗 In 4 of their last 5 fixtures, Estrela have failed to score or secure any points, leaving them just two points clear of the relegation zone. With results like these, José Faria, who has been serving as interim head coach since September, is unlikely to secure a permanent role at the club.
❌ It's worth noting that the hosts have two players sidelined due to injuries: Miguel Lopes and Nilton Varela, both of whom have been out since April and are key starters for the team.
Match Results: Estrela
Porto Team Overview
🔵 Porto, a dominant force in Portuguese football, are experiencing a challenging season. In their last ten matches, the Dragons have secured six wins, one draw, and suffered three losses, which has seen them slip out of the top three. They average 1.9 goals per game, while defensively conceding an average of one goal per match.
📝 According to reports from A Bola, Juventus loanee Tiago Djaló was recently dropped from Porto's squad for breaching club rules. As a consequence, he was made to train alone at 7 a.m. It appears that the loan agreement is set to be terminated.
⚡️ In other transfer news, Porto's captain Diogo Costa is likely to make a move in the upcoming transfer window. Manchester City have shown keen interest, and the goalkeeper has reportedly agreed to the transfer.
❌ On the injury front, there are doubts over Costa's availability. Grujić and Souza are also dealing with injuries, while Gonçalo Borges will miss out due to a red card he received in the previous match against Famalicão (2-1).
Match Results: Porto
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- number of encounters - 3;
- home team wins - 0, away team wins - 3, draws - 0.
Statistics: Estrela vs Porto
- number of matches played in the tournament: 30 vs 30;
- number of wins: 6 vs 19;
- win percentage: 20% vs 63%;
- number of losses: 16 vs 6;
- number of draws: 8 vs 5.
Last 10 matches:
- number of wins: 2 vs 6;
- number of losses: 5 vs 3;
- number of draws: 3 vs 1.
- Estrela won with a +1.5 handicap in 12 of last 14 home games (Primeira Liga).
Prediction on the over/under
H2H
- today's home team scores on average - 0, the guests - 1.67;
- average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 1.67;
- both teams scored: overall - 0; at the home team's field - 0.
Statistics: Estrela vs Porto
- average total in the tournament: 2.17 vs 2.77;
- average total goals scored: 0.73 vs 1.9;
- average total in the 1st half: 0.3 vs 0.7;
- average total in the 2nd half: 0.43 vs 1.2;
- Estrela: average total at home in the tournament - 1.07;
- Porto: average total away in the tournament - 1.6;
- last 10 matches (average total): 0.4 (home - 0.25) vs 1.4 (away - 1.33).
- Estrela have scored under 1.5 goals in last 10 games (Primeira Liga).
Prediction on corners
H2H
- average Over/Under corners in H2H matches - 15 (6.67 - for home team and 8.33 - for away team);
- average Over/Under corners at home team's field - 16 (10 - for home team and 6 - for away team).
Estrela: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 4.03; at home field - 4.07;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 4; at home field - 5.5.
Porto: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 5.37, away - 4.27;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 3.6; away - 3.33.
- Under 10.5 corners in 6 of last 7 Estrela home games (Primeira Liga).
- Under 10.5 corners in 11 of last 12 Porto away games (Primeira Liga).
- Under 10.5 corners in last 8 Porto away games.
Prediction on cards
H2H
- average Over/Under yellow cards in H2H matches - 4.66 (2.33 for home team and 2.33 for away team);
- average Over/Under yellow cards at the home team's field - 8 (3 for home team and 5 for away team).
Estrela: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 2.77; at home - 2.73;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 3.4; at home - 3.75.
Porto: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 2.37, away - 2.8;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 2.8; away - 2.83.
Prediction on BTTS
H2H:
- number of encounters - 3;
- both teams scored all-time - 0 times;
- on the home team’s field - 0 times.
Statistics: Estrela vs Porto
- number of matches played in the tournament: 30 vs 30;
- number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 11 vs 12;
- number of BTTS matches for Estrela at home - 7 (47%);
- number of BTTS matches for Porto away - 5 (33%).
Last 10 matches:
- number of BTTS matches: 2 vs 5;
- BTTS matches for Estrela at home - 1 (25%);
- BTTS matches for Porto away - 2 (33%).
Editorial Prediction
Considering the current form and standings of the teams, the visitors are expected to dominate this encounter. Taking into account the trends of both sides, a bet on under 2.5 goals seems a well-founded choice for this match. This outcome has occurred in all three of their recent head-to-head meetings, as well as in four of Estrela's last five matches.
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Betting Tips: Estrela - Porto
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