Lecce vs Inter Prediction 26 January 2025

🔊 Will Lecce have enough strength to put up a decent fight against Inter? In their last 6 home matches, the "Salentians" have suffered only 1 defeat, and that was against Lazio due to an early red card (1-2). The reigning Italian champion cannot afford to drop points as they are in a fierce battle with Napoli for the title. In this situation, we will try to analyze all the details to provide you with an accurate prediction for the 22nd round Serie A match, which will take place at "Via del Mare".

📊 Head-to-head

Lecce is one of the most favorable opponents for Inter, especially in recent times. Since 2015, the teams have met on the field 7 times, and not once have the "Salentians" been able to please their fans with a victory (1 draw and 6 defeats). As for the game that took place in the first round, Simone Inzaghi's team did not face serious problems and won with a score of 2-0.

🟡 Lecce

Lecce is definitely not in the best mood. The team has performed very poorly in recent matches, and their standings in the league table are also not great - seventeenth place after the 21st round of Serie A. In the previous round, for example, the "Salentians" suffered another heavy defeat (the fifth case this season). Marco Giampaolo's team failed to show a decent game and lost to not the strongest Cagliari with a score of 1-4. Moreover, the game could have ended with a more humiliating difference, considering various statistics, including created goal-scoring opportunities (0-5). Yes, a direct red card to Ante Rebic in the 73rd minute made its adjustments, but by that time Lecce was already losing 1-2. As for the upcoming confrontation, the coaching staff will not be able to count on 7 players, including Hamza Rafia, Kialonda Gaspar, Antonio Gallo, and the previously mentioned Portuguese forward (all of whom are important parts of the starting lineup).

🔵 Inter

In January, Inter played 6 matches, winning 4 times, drawing once, and losing once. Yes, the results are satisfactory, but fans of this team should be concerned not so much about the number of points as about the quality of play. During this period, the "Nerazzurri" managed to show good football only in one match - against Atalanta in the Italian Super Cup semi-final (2-0). In other cases, Simone Inzaghi's team left many questions. Recently in the Champions League, Inter faced Sparta Prague (1-0), which even in their local championship is only in third place. The game turned out to be very even, and that colossal class difference everyone talked about was nowhere to be seen. Regarding the upcoming confrontation, 3 players will not be able to participate, including Hakan Calhanoglu. By the way, it was after the Turk's injury that the Milan club began having problems with their game.

⚽️ Prediction on Goals

Yann Sommer is one of the most interesting goalkeepers in Serie A for goal-line play. The Swiss goalkeeper not only makes many saves but also often keeps his goal intact. This season, only Napoli has conceded fewer goals than the "Nerazzurri" (14 against 18). Lecce, on the other hand, scores very little. The "Salentians" have managed to trouble opposing goalkeepers only 15 times, which is the worst indicator in the Italian championship. In this situation, a bet on both teams to score (no) seems maximally reliable.

🚩 Prediction on Corners

The number of goals scored is not the only statistical indicator where there are significant differences between Inter and Lecce. Corners also fall into this list. For example, the "Nerazzurri" are the best team in Serie A for approaches to the corner flag (6.2 times per match). Lecce, on the other hand, earns an average of 3.7 corners, with only Monza (3.5) and Venezia (3.3) having lower figures. In this situation, it makes the most sense to go with Inter's win on corners with a handicap (-2).

📝 Editorial Prediction

According to bookmakers, Inter should not face serious problems in the upcoming confrontation. Despite not playing convincingly lately, we see no reason to dispute them. Lecce is not a team that should obstruct the reigning Italian champion. Simone Inzaghi's team is head and shoulders above their opponent in all respects: from defense to attack, from experience to individual player skills. Even in the match that took place on August 24th (0-2), Lecce showed practically nothing on the field for 90 minutes (xG 0.38). We think that in the upcoming match, the "Nerazzurri" will achieve a clean sheet victory. For example, with a score of 0-1. However, we will take a more reliable bet to minimize risks - both teams to score (no).