Las Palmas vs Osasuna Prediction 24 January 2025

🔊 Can the "Yellows" achieve a victory over Osasuna for the first time in 6 years? The opening match of the 21st round of the Spanish Primera will feature a clash between Las Palmas and Osasuna at “Gran Canaria”. The team from the Canary Islands has not yet secured themselves from potential relegation, so a victory this coming Friday is extremely important for Diego Martinez's squad. Bookmakers predict mostly an even match, with a slight edge for the hosts: success for the “Palms” - 2.45, victory for the “Reds” - 3.1.

📊 H2H

Let's note that the teams have faced each other 31 times in the Spanish Primera. The outcome statistics are as follows: 9 victories for the “Yellows”, 10 draws, and 12 victories for the “Reds”. In the first-round match of the current season, Osasuna achieved a hard-fought victory at “El Sadar” (2:1). The last success of Las Palmas in the elite Spanish division dates back to the 2016/17 season (5:2).

🟡 LAS PALMAS

With Diego Martinez's arrival at Las Palmas, the “Palms” have become more diverse. At one point, the Canary Islands team had a 5-match unbeaten streak. The current 14th position in La Liga indicates that the Spanish specialist has managed to properly “test the waters” before fully implementing his tactical style. In general, Martinez's teams can be compared to Atletico Madrid. They also use a 4-4-2 formation in defense and place a significant emphasis on flank activity. It is important to note that there is an obvious asymmetry in Las Palmas. For instance, in a recent match against Real Madrid (1:4), Alex Munoz played significantly higher and more aggressively than Alex Suarez, who is responsible for the right flank. Playing with three central defenders during their own attack development often leads to a large number of sharp counterattacks from opponents. Players unavailable for the “Palms” ahead of the 21st round are Marvin (injury) and Benito Ramirez (suspension).

🔴 OSASUNA

Interestingly, Vicente Moreno also often resorts to significantly overloading one of the flanks. Thus, most of Osasuna's sharp attacks occur through the right flank, which is managed by Jesus Areso. The formation of triangles on the right side of the field facilitates an easier exit from counter-pressing and creates numerous opportunities for ball advancement. In the last La Liga round, the team from Pamplona added 1 point to their tally by drawing with Rayo Vallecano (1:1). A serious problem for the “Reds” after Jagoba Arrasate's departure is maintaining compactness and reliability in defense. Currently, Osasuna concedes 1.45 goals per match (14th in the league). Additionally, their away performance is quite mediocre - 7 points after 9 matches (15th in the league). Much hope is placed on Ante Budimir, who has already scored 10 times in this season's Primera.

⚽️ GOAL PREDICTION

The head-to-head matches between Las Palmas and Osasuna are consistently high in tension and maintain intrigue until the final whistle. In 9 out of the last 10 encounters, goals were scored by both sides. The “Palms” have conceded from the club from Pamplona in 13 consecutive meetings. Note that neither team is characterized by impeccable defensive efficiency: the “Yellows” concede about 1.7 goals per game, while the “Reds” concede 1.45. Our key bet is both teams to score (yes).

🚩 CORNER PREDICTION

Both Las Palmas (5.3) and Osasuna (5.5) allow a relatively large number of corner kicks at their own goal. This is largely due to regular exposure of one flank and low compactness and organization during transition phases. The average number of corners in head-to-head matches between these teams is 9.1 per game. We will go with a total corners over 8.5.

📝 MATCH PREDICTION

The last away victory for Osasuna in the Spanish Primera was at the end of October - against Real Sociedad (2:0). With Diego Martinez's arrival, the Canary Islands team has become much more convincing in home matches - 3 victories in their last 5 home games. At this stage of the season, it is extremely difficult to highlight a specific favorite, considering their rather similar stylistic models. Our editorial team favors a final score of 2:1. The key bet is Las Palmas to win with a handicap (0).