Genoa vs Monza Prediction 27 January 2025

🔊 What will the final game of the 22nd round of Serie A bring? On January 27, at the "Luigi Ferraris," a match will take place between Genoa, which has improved after the appointment of Patrick Vieira as head coach, and Monza, which continues to sink at the bottom of the standings but can surprise at any moment. We recommend checking out our prediction before placing a bet.

📊 Head-to-head

Recently, Genoa and Verona have hardly crossed paths on the football field. The teams have been playing in different strength divisions in Italy for a long time, so since 2007 they have played only 3 games. The last of them took place on August 24 last year. Back then, Genoa narrowly defeated their opponent away (1-0).

🔴 Genoa

On January 17, Genoa lost away to Roma (1-3). The "Griffin" left many questions with their play, achieving only 0.50 goals according to the xG metric and creating only one scoring chance at the opponent's goal. However, it is not worth judging the team too harshly for this defeat. This is only the second time Genoa has lost under Patrick Vieira's leadership. It is precisely thanks to the work of the French specialist that the club was able to improve its position and rise to the middle of the standings. And losing to such a Roma, which has significantly improved its play compared to the beginning of the season, is not shameful. As for the upcoming confrontation, the coaching staff will not be able to count on 4 players, including the main forward Vitinho.

⚪ Monza

Monza's brilliant victory over Fiorentina on January 13 (2-1) created the impression that the team had begun to progress. Indeed, on that day, the "Brianzoli" completely outplayed their formidable opponent, but they failed to build on this success. Just a week later, Monza returned to its usual course and lost without any chances to Bologna away (1-3). With statistics of 0.60-1.90 in xG, 3-18 in shots (1-7 on target), and 1-5 in created scoring chances, it's surprising that the team lost by only 2 goals. Salvatore Bocchetti's wards were lucky that their direct competitors for survival did not show their best game in the previous round, so the "Brianzoli" remain 7 points away from the saving 17th place, which can be regained with great desire. As for the upcoming confrontation, 4 players will be unable to participate, including main defenders Pablo Mari and Samuele Birindelli.

⚽️ Goal Prediction

It is difficult to say whether Monza will manage to draw at least in the upcoming match. But we have no doubt that the "Brianzoli" will trouble their opponent's goalkeeper. The team has not left the field without scoring for quite some time. Salvatore Bocchetti's wards have scored at least once in the last 7 matches. Even Juventus (1-2), Fiorentina (2-1), and Bologna (1-3) were caught off guard. Therefore, our betting option is simple - Monza will score.

🚩 Corner Prediction

Genoa and Monza are among the worst teams in Serie A in terms of average total corners earned. For example, the "Brianzoli" approach the corner flag 3.5 times per game, with only Venezia having lower numbers (3.3). Patrick Vieira's wards are not far behind either. The "Griffin" averages 4.0 corners, which is the sixteenth best in the Italian championship. Considering these statistics, the most logical decision would be to settle on an option with total corners under 9.5.

📝 Editor's Prediction

In the upcoming confrontation, bookmakers give a slight preference to Genoa, and we completely agree with their opinion. Unfortunately, the current Monza cannot compare with its version from last season when it regularly took points from Serie A giants. Now the "Brianzoli" are only losing, issuing defeats in wild series. Away from home, Monza scores points only on rare occasions (7). Before the start of the 22nd round of Serie A, only Roma (6) and Venezia (4) had worse numbers. Considering Patrick Vieira's wards' current form, the hosts should not experience significant problems in the upcoming match. But due to the need to reduce potential risks, we will settle on Genoa's win with a handicap (0). We also believe that the game will end with a score of 2-1.