Ufa vs Spartak Kostroma Prediction, H2H Stats & Statistical Bets 15 November 2026
🔉 Ufa go into this match in inconsistent form and without much to play for in the table, while Spartak Kostroma still have a chance to close the gap to the automatic promotion places. Both teams have lost more often than they have won in their last five matches, but the visitors have slightly better results over their last ten. Their position in the First League table gives Spartak Kostroma an incentive to pick up points, though the hosts cannot afford to relax completely either, despite being well behind the leaders.
Ufa are still unbeaten
17 August 2026 Spartak Kostroma and Ufa drew 1-1 in the PARI League. Spartak Kostroma had seven shots on target to Ufa’s none and won 11 corners to Ufa’s two.
📊 Ufa are unbeaten in five competitive matches against Spartak Kostroma, with three wins and two draws. Spartak Kostroma have scored in just one of those matches.
Head-to-head statistics Ufa - Spartak Kostroma
Just one win in the First League this autumn
Ufa lost 2-1 away to Shinnik in their most recent PARI League match on 7 November 2026. Despite having almost equal possession, Ufa managed four shots to Shinnik’s 13 and one shot on target to 11.
Ufa are going through a difficult spell: they have won just one of their last five matches and lost the other four. Over their last ten games, Ufa have also won only once, drawn four times and lost five times. Their scoring rate is low, averaging just 0.7 goals scored and 1 conceded per game across those ten matches. Their season averages are slightly higher but still unimpressive, at 1.12 goals scored and 1 conceded per game. There is little at stake in the league: they sit in mid-table, 12 points behind the automatic promotion places, which reduces the pressure to get a result.
Match Results: Ufa
Winless in four matches
Spartak Kostroma’s last match in the PARI League ended in a 4-0 home defeat to Nizhny Novgorod. By half-time on 8 November 2026, the score was already 3-0; Spartak Kostroma had 11 shots, but only four were on target.
Spartak Kostroma have won one of their last five matches and lost four, but their record over a longer period is better: four wins and five defeats in ten games. They have a slightly higher scoring rate, averaging 1.2 goals scored and 1.5 conceded per match over their last ten games. Their season averages are also higher than their opponents’: 1.29 goals scored and 1.18 conceded per game. They remain motivated in the standings: they are 6 points behind the automatic promotion places and continue to fight for a better position.
Match Results: Spartak Kostroma
Prediction for the 1st half
Ufa were level at half-time in 6 of their last 7 home matches in the First League. This is a direct argument for a half-time draw, although separate first-half statistics for the teams are unavailable. Spartak Kostroma scored in the first half in 8 of their last 9 matches in the competition, which adds uncertainty: a draw in that case would require Ufa to respond. The pick is a half-time draw at odds of 1.93*.
Match Result Prediction
Ufa have not lost in nine of their last 10 home matches. At home this season, they have four wins, four draws and one defeat. However, Ufa have failed to win eight of their last nine matches overall, so double chance is preferable to an outright win. The pick is Ufa to Win or Draw at odds of 1.36*.
Total Goals Prediction
Spartak Kostroma have scored fewer than two goals in five consecutive head-to-head matches. Ufa have conceded an average of 0.67 goals at home this season and 0.8 goals in their last ten home matches. Meanwhile, Spartak have scored an average of 1.25 goals in their last ten away matches and have found the net in 12 of their last 13 games, so a goal from them cannot be ruled out. The pick is Spartak Kostroma Team Total Goals - Under 1.5 at odds of 1.33*.
High-Risk Bet
Spartak Kostroma have scored in the first half in 8 of their last 9 First League matches. The trend directly supports the bet, but there are no additional first-half scoring statistics. Ufa have been level at half-time in 6 of their last 7 home matches, which does not rule out a goal for the visitors if the hosts also score. The bolder pick is Spartak Kostroma to score in the first half at odds of 2.54*.
Safer Bet
Over 1.5 total goals has landed in six consecutive Spartak Kostroma matches. Ufa have scored an average of 1.44 goals per home match this season, while Spartak Kostroma have averaged 1.22 away goals. In their last ten home matches, Ufa have conceded an average of 0.8 goals, which also leaves room for the visitors to score. The pick is Total Goals - Over 1.5 at odds of 1.51*.
Correct Score Prediction
According to the algorithm’s calculations, the top three scorelines are 1:1 (13.49%), 1:0 (11.6%) and 0:0 (11.41%). Of these, 1:1 is the most likely result. The probabilities of 1:0 and 0:0 are close.
*The odds are approximate and may vary between bookmakers.*
⭐ Editor’s Prediction
The match looks set to feature a moderate number of goals from the visitors and neither side has the most reliable defence. Spartak Kostroma regularly play in matches with two or more goals - their run of six consecutive games with over 1.5 goals confirms that trend. Ufa, despite their low scoring output, have not been consistent defensively, and the lack of a pressing league objective does not guarantee a particularly solid display at the back. Head-to-head meetings are usually tighter, but current form and the visitors’ trend point to at least two goals in this match. The bet is Total Goals - Over 1.5.
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Betting Tips: Ufa - Spartak Kostroma
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