Elfsborg vs Malmo Prediction, H2H Stats & Statistical Bets 23 October 2026
🔊 In July, Elfsborg beat Malmö away from home (2-1). Now Malmö make the return visit, sitting five points behind in the table. Getting revenge won't be straightforward: Elfsborg have kept a clean sheet in four consecutive Allsvenskan matches at home. But Malmö almost always score against this side - in 13 of their last 14 head-to-head meetings. Which of the two runs comes to an end on Friday?
Head-to-Head
Elfsborg beat Malmö 2-1 away in their most recent head-to-head match in Allsvenskan. Despite having 39% possession, the visitors had four shots on target to the hosts' one. All three goals were scored before half-time.
Across 41 official head-to-heads, Malmö have come out on top nearly twice as often, claiming 21 wins to Elfsborg’s 11. Nine encounters have ended in a draw. However, when the action shifts to Elfsborg’s home ground, the hosts hold the edge with eight victories compared to Malmö’s seven.
Head-to-head statistics Elfsborg - Malmo
Elfsborg Team Overview
In their most recent Allsvenskan fixture, Elfsborg drew with Sirius 2-2. They had a slight edge in shots on target, 6-5.
Elfsborg have barely put a foot wrong lately: in their last ten official matches they have lost just once, to Brommapojkarna in early September. They showed character in the previous round away at league leaders Sirius. Elfsborg were ahead at half-time but conceded twice in quick succession midway through the second half. Sirius scored their first goal from a corner that was awarded under the new eight-second rule, after goalkeeper Isak Pettersson held the ball for too long. Leo Östman rescued a point three minutes from the end, and the match finished 2-2. On 41 points, Elfsborg sit fifth, five points behind third-placed Hammarby.
Match Results: Elfsborg
Malmo Team Overview
Malmö lost at home to Häcken (0-1) in the latest Allsvenskan round. The hosts had 61% possession, managed 19 shots and won 13 corners, but failed to score.
Malmö's biggest problem right now is their attack: Gaute Helseth's side have scored more than one goal in just one of their last eight Allsvenskan matches. That exception was a heavy win over Ergrytte in September. In the previous round they lost at home to Häcken (0-1), conceding from a corner at the start of the second half and failing to find an equaliser.
"It's a shame the ball didn't go in," Helseth said after the match, also admitting to "poor defensive structure." Their squad is further weakened by injuries: three players are recovering from cruciate ligament injuries, including defender Pontus Jansson. Malmö have 36 points and sit seventh, with ten defeats - more than any other side in the top eight.
Match Results: Malmo
Total Goals Prediction
Malmö have scored two or more goals just once in their last eight matches. We don't expect them to reach a second here. The bet is Malmö Team Total - Under 1.5.
Corners Prediction
Against Elfsborg, Malmö have been generous with corners: they had fewer than five in only one of their last nine head-to-head meetings. The bet only needs five corners from the visitors. The pick is Malmö Team Total Corners - Over 4.5.
Correct Score Prediction
The three most likely scorelines are 1-1 (12.13%), 1-0 (9.85%) and 2-1 (9.33%). All three reflect the balance of power between the two sides.
⭐ Editor's Prediction
The last five head-to-head meetings in Allsvenskan have all produced goals at both ends, and the teams' current runs suggest more of the same. Elfsborg have scored in 18 of their last 19 home league matches. Malmö have the same reliability away from home, scoring in 14 of their last 15 Allsvenskan away games. The visitors' attack is struggling at the moment, but for our prediction one goal is enough. We're expecting both teams to score, as in July when Elfsborg won at Malmö's ground. The bet is Both Teams to Score - Yes. Predicted score: 2-1.
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Betting Tips: Elfsborg - Malmo
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