Brentford vs Liverpool Prediction
🔊 After enduring four consecutive defeats, Liverpool finally found their stride in the Champions League. Now, they aim to bounce back in the Premier League with an away trip to Brentford. The Bees have been inconsistent throughout the season, alternating between dropping and gaining points. However, at the Brentford Community Stadium, they've been solid, suffering just one loss this season. Can Liverpool build on their recent success, or will Brentford secure points in consecutive matches for the first time? Our editorial team provides an insightful prediction on the odds for both teams.
Head-to-Head
📊 Since Brentford's promotion in 2021, the teams have faced each other eight times. Unsurprisingly, Liverpool hold a significant advantage. The Reds have claimed victory in eight matches, while the Bees have managed just one win. The sides have drawn once. The aggregate score stands at 19-7 in favor of the Merseysiders.
H2H Stats Matches and Previous Teams Results
Brentford Team Overview
Since the first round of the Premier League, Brentford have been alternating their results. Every time they pick up points, a defeat inevitably follows. However, their recent victory over West Ham was particularly impressive with a 2-0 scoreline. Despite the away trip to London, Keith Andrews' side held their ground. Throughout the 90 minutes, they dominated possession (57% to 43%) and launched more than three times as many dangerous attacks (22 shots with 2.51 xG compared to 7 shots with 0.49 xG). The only competition where the Bees have managed back-to-back wins is the English League Cup, where they defeated Bournemouth (2-0) and Aston Villa (4-2 on penalties).
Undoubtedly, the standout player at the start of the season is Igor Thiago. After missing almost the entire previous season, the Brazilian is making a significant impact this time around. In eight Premier League matches, he's already netted five goals and has also shone in the English League Cup. We must also highlight the remarkable scoring form of midfielder Mathias Jensen. The Dane has scored twice in his last three appearances, coming off the bench. Remarkably, both goals came in matches where he was introduced in the 89th minute.
Match Results: Brentford
Liverpool Team Overview
The Champions League match against Eintracht allowed Liverpool fans to breathe a sigh of relief. Bookmakers have already started taking bets on Arne Slot's dismissal, placing him eighth among Premier League managers on the chopping block. However, the Reds took out their frustrations on the Bundesliga's bronze medalists with a 5-1 thrashing. The number of goals scored exceeded their output from the previous four matches combined. Liverpool looked like their early-season selves, when they were scoring more than even supercomputers predicted. Now, they need to carry that form into the Premier League, where their finishing has been lacking. In three losses, despite generating a combined 6.42 xG, the Reds only found the net three times.
The one player unaffected by the team's overall slump is Cody Gakpo. The Dutchman has hit a rich vein of form, scoring in three consecutive matches for Liverpool. Including his performances for the Netherlands in World Cup qualifiers, his scoring streak extends to five games. And of course, we can't overlook Florian Wirtz's performance. He finally ended a 10-match goal drought (excluding international fixtures) by providing two assists against Eintracht.
Match Results: Liverpool
Latest news
Brentford
📌 Brentford faced internet disruptions in their recent match against West Ham. Just four minutes before kickoff, Premier League officials confirmed that the AWS-powered semi-automated offside technology would be disabled. The AWS outage led to widespread issues on platforms globally. The English VAR system was also affected, forcing referees to revert to manually drawing lines for offside decisions. The impact was immediate: Brentford forward Igor Thiago's goal was disallowed, sparking debate over the fairness of the decision and whether automated technology would have reached the same conclusion.
❌ The international break did not benefit Brentford. Anthony Milambo and Aaron Hickey sustained injuries while on international duty. While Hickey has returned to full training, Milambo suffered an ACL tear and will miss most of the season.
Liverpool
🎙 Florian Wirtz shared his thoughts after the victory over Eintracht. "I've never given an interview right after a match. We were down 0-1, but we managed to come back and turn the game around. In the first half, I was getting in my own way, struggling to find the right spaces. In the second half, I tried to find better areas. I know I can do much more. I think the second half was really good, both for me and the entire team. So I'm pleased that we won and that I finally contributed to a goal," said the midfielder.
❌ Among Liverpool's key players, Alisson and Ryan Gravenberch have been absent in recent matches. The Champions League clash with Eintracht brought Arne Slot even more headaches. Alexander Isak and Jeremie Frimpong were unable to finish the game.
🟨 Referee and Yellow Cards
The match will be officiated by Simon Hooper. Over his last 20 Premier League games, he has averaged 4.7 yellow cards per match. Neither team can be described as peaceful. Liverpool have been particularly aggressive this season, picking up two or more cautions in 6 out of 8 matches. Brentford have also been involved in heated exchanges with the Reds, receiving more than two bookings in five consecutive encounters. The difference in class between the teams is irrelevant here; both have something to prove. We anticipate a high-intensity battle, with total yellow cards exceeding 3.5.
⚽️ Goal Prediction
From the start of the season, it's been clear that Liverpool are struggling to find defensive balance across all competitions. The Reds have conceded in every Champions League round, in eight consecutive Premier League games, and even against modest Southampton in the English League Cup. Brentford, on the other hand, have no issues finding the back of the net, scoring in 14 of their last 15 league matches. They are the second most prolific team in the lower half of the table, trailing only Brighton with 11 goals. A goal exchange seems likely here. Our bet: both teams to score (yes).
🚩 Corner Prediction
Brentford's corner statistics in home games this season compared to away fixtures are intriguing. There's a significant advantage for their away matches, averaging 7.25 corners compared to 3.5 at home. This is directly linked to their tough Premier League schedule, facing teams like Aston Villa, Chelsea, Manchester United, and Manchester City. On average, Keith Andrews' side had only 33% possession in these games. We expect Liverpool to take control here as well. In 7 of their last 8 head-to-heads, the Reds have not allowed more than four corners against them. Editorial prediction: Brentford total corners under 4.5.
Editorial Prediction
There's little doubt that Saturday promises an exciting match-up. Liverpool and Brighton are leading in terms of combined goals scored and conceded, with an average total of 3.1 goals per game in their encounters. Brentford are among the top three teams with an average of 2.8 goals per game. Both teams have consistently outperformed their expected goals metrics this season, with attacking players Hugo Ekitike and Igor Thiago in top form. All signs point towards a total goals over 2.5 outcome, as seen in seven of the last eight matches for the Reds. Following an impressive Champions League performance, we also give the edge to Liverpool (3-1).
Betting Tips: Brentford - Liverpool
in last 5 games against Liverpool (Premier League).
in 7 of last 8 games against Liverpool (Premier League).in last 8 games against Liverpool (Premier League).in 20 of last 22 home games (Premier League).in 7 of last 8 home games.in last 34 games (Premier League).in 22 of last 23 games.in last 17 away games (Premier League).in 14 of last 15 away games.in 6 of last 7 Brentford games against Liverpool (Premier League).in last 11 Brentford games.in last 9 Brentford games (Premier League).in last 5 Brentford home games.
in 19 of last 20 Simon Hooper games (in the Premier League).
Comparison of Teams Stats
Other predictions
