Malawi vs South Sudan Prediction 25 September 2026
📢 Malawi and South Sudan are beginning their qualifying campaigns for the 2027 Africa Cup of Nations. Both sides sit outside the top 100 in the FIFA rankings, so reaching the tournament itself would represent a significant achievement for either of them. Getting off to a winning start is particularly important in qualifying, and both teams will be looking to do exactly that.
South Sudan have yet to find success in their encounters with Malawi.
📊 Since 2016, Malawi and South Sudan have met just twice, both in Africa Cup of Nations qualifying. Malawi won both matches - 1-0 at home in 2019 and 1-0 away in 2021.
Head-to-head statistics Malawi - South Sudan
Malawi have yet to win a match in 2026.
Malawi come into the start of this qualifying campaign off the back of a poor run of results in 2026. They have not won any of their four matches, and managed to score only in the last of them. In March, they lost to Zambia U23 on penalties after a goalless draw (8-9), then lost to Botswana 0-1. In June, Malawi faced Ethiopia twice: losing 0-1 in the first meeting, then drawing 1-1 three days later.
Match Results: Malawi
One big win doesn’t necessarily signal progress for South Sudan just yet.
South Sudan's poor results meant they had to enter the Africa Cup of Nations qualification from the preliminary round, where they faced Djibouti over two legs. They won the away match 4-0, which proved enough to progress despite losing the home leg 1-0, and they advanced to the main qualifying stage. Before that, South Sudan had a very poor 2026 World Cup qualifying campaign, picking up just five points from ten matches and finishing bottom of their group.
Match Results: South Sudan
Total Goals Prediction
South Sudan have failed to score in 5 of their last 6 matches, which supports the case for this market. Malawi also concede an average of just 1 goal per home match, while South Sudan have averaged only 0.7 goals per game across their last 10 matches. These figures provide a strong basis for backing the visitors to go without a goal here. The pick is South Sudan Team Total - Under 0.5 Goals at odds of 1.91*.
*Odds are indicative and may vary across different bookmakers.
Correct Score Prediction
According to the algorithm's calculations, the most likely scorelines are 1-0 (16.15%), 0-0 (13.75%) and 0-1 (13.06%). A narrow home win has the highest probability, though a goalless draw is also rated fairly highly. The options are close in probability, pointing towards a low-scoring and tight match.
⭐ Editorial Prediction
Malawi are considered the favourites for this match and have the added advantage of playing at home. South Sudan have been losing regularly of late, even against lower-ranked opponents, and their away results look even less convincing. In these circumstances, it will not be easy for the visitors to hold their own against the hosts throughout the match. Our pick is therefore a Malawi win.
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Betting Tips: Malawi - South Sudan
in 10 of last 11 games (Cup of Nations, Qualification).
in 12 of last 13 away games.in 10 of last 11 games.in 19 of last 21 away games.in 13 of last 14 away games (Cup of Nations, Qualification).in 5 of last 6 home games (Cup of Nations, Qualification).Comparison of Teams Stats
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