China vs Vietnam Prediction 25 September 2026
🔊 China Women come into this Asian Games 2026 quarter-final as the considerably more consistent side, with a strong attacking record. Vietnam Women are going through a difficult spell. They scraped into the knockout stage without a single win and with a goal difference of -9.
China secure the win, but stop short of a rout
📊 China have won every head-to-head match against Vietnam. Big victories have been rare in recent meetings, though - in the last five matches, China's women have only once won by a margin of four or more goals.
Head-to-head statistics China - Vietnam

There are questions surrounding China Women's defensive solidity
China W are in solid form both in the short term and across their last ten matches. During that period they have won seven games, lost just one and drawn two. Their averages of 2.5 goals scored and only 0.8 conceded per game reflect a balance between a strong attack and an organised defence. They came through the group stage unbeaten, though they conceded in every match.
Match Results: China (W)

Vietnam Women miraculously advance to the playoffs
Vietnam Women are in poor form: they have lost three of their last four matches, with the one draw being the result that put them through to the play-offs. Their form over a longer stretch is also concerning - just three wins in ten official matches, with six defeats. They are averaging just 1.0 goal per game while conceding at a fairly high rate of 1.7 per match over their last ten games.
Match Results: Vietnam (W)
Total Goals Prediction
Total Goals - Under 4.5 has landed in 6 of Vietnam's last 7 official matches, pointing to the team's tendency towards low-scoring games even against stronger opposition. The last 10 matches of both sides also support a moderate scoring picture: China (W) average 2.5 goals scored, while Vietnam (W) concede an average of 1.7. The combined figures do not point to a clear high-scoring scenario. We're backing Total Goals - Under 4.5 at odds of 1.42.
Correct Score Prediction
According to the algorithm's calculations, the most likely outcomes are: 1-0 (19.74%), 2-0 (18.92%) and 3-0 (12.08%). All three scenarios reflect a clear advantage for China Women and a low scoring return from Vietnam Women. The 1-0 scoreline has the highest probability, though the gap between the first and second options is minimal.
Reliable Bet
China Women have scored in 28 of their last 29 matches, which reflects the team's consistent attacking output. Their average goals per game over the last 10 matches is 2.5. The pick is China Women Team Total - Over 1.5 at odds of 1.11.