Tobol vs Atyrau Prediction 26 July 2026
🔊How will the weather conditions and the state of the field affect the game? Today, the teams Tobol and Atyrau are meeting. The match is scheduled to start at 13:00. The tournament match OLIMPBET Kazakhstan Premier League will take place in the city of Kostanay at the Kostanay Central Stadium stadium. The odds for the teams' victories have been determined by bookmakers at and , respectively, with the team Tobol being the favorite of the match.
Head-to-Head
The last official encounter between the teams took place on 28 May 2026 and ended with a scoreline of 1:1. Here's a comparative breakdown of that match (home team - Atyrau):
- ball possession percentage: 43% vs 57%;
- corner kicks: 1 vs 3;
- fouls: 2 vs 8;
- yellow cards: 3 vs 0;
- shots on target: 4 vs 4.
📊 Statistical preview of official matches between the teams Tobol and Atyrau:
- played 52 matches;
- number of wins for the home team - 25, for the away team - 13, draws - 14;
- number of goals - 71 against 47;
- average total in the 1st half - 0.9, in the 2nd half - 1.37;
- average total goals in the match - 2.27.
Head-to-head statistics Tobol - Atyrau

Tobol Team Overview
The team's most recent official match took place on 23 July 2026 as part of the UEFA Europa Conference League tournament (home team - Panevezys, away team - Tobol). The match concluded with a scoreline of 1:1.
Here's the game statistics (Tobol vs Panevezys):
- ball possession: 62% vs 38%;
- corner kicks: 9 vs 6;
- fouls: 11 vs 16;
- yellow cards: 2 vs 4;
- shots on target: 7 vs 4.
- 5 wins,
- 9 losses,
- 4 draws.
📈Currently, Tobol stands at a mid-tier position within the OLIMPBET Kazakhstan Premier League standings, with a win percentage of 28% and a loss percentage of 50%.
⚽️Tobol has scored a total of 20 goals. On the defensive end, Tobol has allowed 26 goals over the season.
Match Results: Tobol

Atyrau Team Overview
The away team played their last official match on 18 July 2026 as part of the OLIMPBET Kazakhstan Premier League tournament (home team - Atyrau, away - Kairat Almaty). The match concluded with a scoreline of 1:3.
Here are the match stats (Atyrau vs Kairat Almaty):
- ball possession: 37% vs 63%;
- corner kicks: 1 vs 6;
- fouls: 18 vs 12;
- yellow cards: 1 vs 1;
- shots on target: 4 vs 10.
- 3 wins,
- 5 losses,
- 9 draws.
📈Currently, Atyrau stands at a mid-tier position within the OLIMPBET Kazakhstan Premier League standings, with a win percentage of 18% and a loss percentage of 29%.
⚽Atyrau has scored a total of 13 goals. On the defensive end has allowed 16 goals over the season.
Match Results: Atyrau
Prediction for the 1st half
Head-to-Head Matches:
- Total encounters - 52;
- First-half wins at home for hosts - 12; for visitors away - 5; number of draws - 9;
- Average first-half total: 0.9;
- Today's home team scores on average 0.58, while the visitors net 0.33.
First-Half Stats: Tobol (home) vs Atyrau (away)
- matches played in the tournament: 8 vs 9;
- wins: 2 (25%) vs 2 (22.22%);
- losses: 0 (0%) vs 3 (33.33%);
- draws: 6 (75%) vs 4 (44.44%);
- Average goals scored: 1 vs 1.22;
- Average goals conceded: 0.38 vs 0.78.
Last 10 Matches (Overall):
- wins: 3 vs 2;
- losses: 2 vs 4;
- draws: 5 vs 4;
- Average first-half total: 1.1 (scored - 0.6, conceded - 0.5) vs 1.3 (scored - 0.4, conceded - 0.9).
- Atyrau conceded in the 1st half in last 6 games (OLIMPBET Kazakhstan Premier League).
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- number of encounters - 52;
- home team wins - 25, away team wins - 13, draws - 14.
Statistics: Tobol vs Atyrau
- matches played in the tournament: 18 vs 17;
- wins: 5 vs 3;
- win percentage: 28% vs 18%;
- losses: 9 vs 5;
- draws: 4 vs 9.
Last 10 matches:
- wins: 3 vs 2;
- losses: 4 vs 3;
- draws: 3 vs 5.
- Atyrau won with a +1.5 handicap in 13 of last 14 games against Tobol.
- Atyrau won with a +1.5 handicap in 24 of last 26 games (OLIMPBET Kazakhstan Premier League).
- Atyrau won with a +1.5 handicap in 15 of last 16 away games.
- Atyrau won with a +1.5 handicap in 14 of last 15 away games (OLIMPBET Kazakhstan Premier League).
Prediction on the over/under
H2H
- today's home team scores on average - 1.37, the guests - 0.9;
- average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 2.27;
- both teams scored: overall - 20; at the home team's field - 10.
Statistics: Tobol vs Atyrau
- average total in the tournament: 2.56 vs 1.71;
- average total goals scored: 1.11 vs 0.76;
- average total in the 1st half: 0.56 vs 0.35;
- average total in the 2nd half: 0.56 vs 0.41;
- Tobol: average total at home in the tournament - 1.75;
- Atyrau: average total away in the tournament - 0.78;
- last 10 matches (average total): 1.3 (home - 2) vs 0.8 (away - 0.67).
- Under 2.5 goals scored in 8 of last 9 Tobol home games against Atyrau.
Prediction on corners
Tobol: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 5; at home field - 5.75;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 5.3; at home field - 6.25.
Atyrau: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 2.94, away - 3.11;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 2.5; away - 2.67.
Yellow Cards Bet
H2H
- average Over/Under yellow cards in H2H matches - 0.8 (0.4 for home team and 0.4 for away team);
- average Over/Under yellow cards at the home team's field - 1.04 (0.31 for home team and 0.73 for away team).
Tobol: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 1.67; at home - 2;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 1.2; at home - 1.25.
Atyrau: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 2, away - 1.89;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 2; away - 2.
Prediction on BTTS
H2H:
- number of encounters - 52;
- both teams scored all-time - 20 times;
- on the home team’s field - 10 times.
Statistics: Tobol vs Atyrau
- number of matches played in the tournament: 18 vs 17;
- number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 11 vs 9;
- number of BTTS matches for Tobol at home - 5 (63%);
- number of BTTS matches for Atyrau away - 6 (67%).
Last 10 matches:
- number of BTTS matches: 7 vs 6;
- BTTS matches for Tobol at home - 2 (50%);
- BTTS matches for Atyrau away - 3 (50%).
Correct score prediction
Statistics of frequent results (current season):
- most common score in the tournament: 1:1 (21/143, 14.7%);
- Tobol at home most often finish matches: 3:1 (2/8, 25%);
- Atyrau away most often play: 1:1 (4/9, 44.4%).
Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top 3 outcomes:
1:0 - 14.31% (odds 6)
1:1 - 12.06% (odds 5.5)
0:0 - 9.43% (odds 8.7)
Editorial Prediction
- Under 2.5 goals scored in 8 of last 9 Tobol home games against Atyrau.
