New York Red Bulls vs Charlotte Prediction 25 July 2026
🔊 Both sides go into this one level on points inside the playoff spots. New York Red Bulls have been inconsistent, and it's showing at the back. Charlotte haven't had an easy run since the World Cup break either - they're far from their best. Neither team is under serious pressure yet, but staying in the playoff positions matters, even if the season hasn't hit its critical stretch.
Head-to-Head
The last official match between these two sides took place on 21 March 2026 and ended 6-1. Here's the comparative stats from that game (Charlotte were the home side):
- possession: 45% vs 55%;
- corners: 2 vs 8;
- fouls: 8 vs 7;
- yellow cards: 1 vs 1;
- shots on target: 10 vs 8.
📊 Statistical preview from official meetings between New York Red Bulls and Charlotte:
- 11 matches played;
- home wins - 5, away wins - 3, draws - 3;
- goals - 22 vs 19;
- average first-half total - 1.55, second-half - 2.18;
- average total goals per match - 3.73.
Head-to-head statistics New York Red Bulls - Charlotte

NY Red Bulls Team Overview
Their last official match was played on in MLS (Philadelphia Union at home, New York Red Bulls away). The match ended 3-1.
Stats from the game (New York Red Bulls vs Philadelphia Union):
- possession: 63% vs 37%;
- corners: 6 vs 8;
- fouls: 10 vs 13;
- yellow cards: 3 vs 0;
- shots on target: 5 vs 10.
New York Red Bulls have had a rocky season, particularly at the back. Over the last ten matches, they're conceding 2.3 goals per game - one of the worst defensive records among the playoff sides. Going forward they're still decent enough: 1.6 goals per game, which keeps them in most matches. The last five games brought three wins, a draw and a loss, but the defensive problems don't disappear even at home. Motivation is moderate. They're inside the playoff spots and just trying to hold their ground through the middle stretch of the season. One thing worth flagging: their first MLS match after the World Cup break ended in a loss to Philadelphia. A poor result, given that Philadelphia came in as the underdog.
Match Results: NY Red Bulls

Charlotte Team Overview
Their last official match was in MLS - Charlotte at home, Atlanta United the visitors. It finished 2-2.
Match stats (Charlotte vs Atlanta United):
- possession: 51% vs 49%;
- corners: 6 vs 3;
- fouls: 3 vs 9;
- yellow cards: 1 vs 3;
- shots on target: 9 vs 6.
Charlotte have had a similarly inconsistent season, but they look more solid than New York Red Bulls. Over their last ten matches they've conceded an average of 1.8 goals per game - 1.56 across the full season. Going forward they're not prolific either, averaging 1.63 goals per match, almost identical to their opponents. Two wins from the last five, though. The objective is the same - stay in the playoff spots - which keeps motivation ticking over without every match becoming a must-win.
Match Results: Charlotte
Prediction for the 1st half
Head-to-Head Matches:
- Total encounters - 11;
- First-half wins at home for hosts - 3; for visitors away - 1; number of draws - 2;
- Average first-half total: 1.55;
- Today's home team scores on average 0.82, while the visitors net 0.73.
First-Half Stats: NY Red Bulls (home) vs Charlotte (away)
- matches played in the tournament: 7 vs 6;
- wins: 3 (42.86%) vs 0 (0%);
- losses: 1 (14.29%) vs 2 (33.33%);
- draws: 3 (42.86%) vs 4 (66.67%);
- Average goals scored: 1.57 vs 1.33;
- Average goals conceded: 0.71 vs 1.
Last 10 Matches (Overall):
- wins: 5 vs 3;
- losses: 3 vs 4;
- draws: 2 vs 3;
- Average first-half total: 1.9 (scored - 1, conceded - 0.9) vs 1.5 (scored - 0.7, conceded - 0.8).
- NY Red Bulls scored in the 1st half in 6 of last 7 home games.
- NY Red Bulls scored in the 1st half in last 5 games (MLS).
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- number of encounters - 11;
- home team wins - 5, away team wins - 3, draws - 3.
Statistics: NY Red Bulls vs Charlotte
- matches played in the tournament: 16 vs 16;
- wins: 6 vs 6;
- win percentage: 38% vs 38%;
- losses: 6 vs 6;
- draws: 4 vs 4.
Last 10 matches:
- wins: 3 vs 3;
- losses: 5 vs 5;
- draws: 2 vs 2.
- NY Red Bulls have not lost in last 6 home games against Charlotte.
Prediction on the over/under
H2H
- today's home team scores on average - 2, the guests - 1.73;
- average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 3.73;
- both teams scored: overall - 8; at the home team's field - 5.
Statistics: NY Red Bulls vs Charlotte
- average total in the tournament: 3.81 vs 3.19;
- average total goals scored: 1.63 vs 1.63;
- average total in the 1st half: 0.81 vs 0.63;
- average total in the 2nd half: 0.81 vs 1;
- NY Red Bulls: average total at home in the tournament - 1.86;
- Charlotte: average total away in the tournament - 1;
- last 10 matches (average total): 1.6 (home - 1.8) vs 1.3 (away - 1.25).
- NY Red Bulls have scored over 1.5 goals in last 6 home games against Charlotte.
- NY Red Bulls have scored over 1.5 goals in last 5 home games against Charlotte (MLS).
Prediction on corners
NY Red Bulls: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 6.13; at home field - 6.14;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 5.3; at home field - 5.8.
Charlotte: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 4.69, away - 3.17;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 5; away - 3.25.
- Charlotte have taken under 4.5 corners in last 8 games against NY Red Bulls (MLS).
Prediction on BTTS
H2H:
- number of encounters - 11;
- both teams scored all-time - 8 times;
- on the home team’s field - 5 times.
Statistics: NY Red Bulls vs Charlotte
- number of matches played in the tournament: 16 vs 16;
- number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 12 vs 11;
- number of BTTS matches for NY Red Bulls at home - 4 (57%);
- number of BTTS matches for Charlotte away - 4 (67%).
Last 10 matches:
- number of BTTS matches: 8 vs 6;
- BTTS matches for NY Red Bulls at home - 4 (80%);
- BTTS matches for Charlotte away - 3 (75%).
- NY Red Bulls have scored and conceded in 7 of last 8 games against Charlotte (MLS).
- NY Red Bulls have scored and conceded in 6 of last 7 home games.
- NY Red Bulls have scored and conceded in last 5 games (MLS).
Correct score prediction
Statistics of frequent results (current season):
- most common score in the tournament: 1:1 (21/238, 8.8%);
- NY Red Bulls at home most often finish matches: 0:2 , 0:3 , 1:0 , 1:1 , 3:2 , 4:2 , 4:4 (1/7, 14.3%);
- Charlotte away most often play: 1:0 , 1:1 , 1:2 , 3:0 , 4:1 , 4:2 (1/6, 16.7%).
Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top 3 outcomes:
1:1 - 10.2% (odds 7)
2:1 - 8.18% (odds 9.5)
2:2 - 7.56% (odds 11)
⭐ Editor's Prediction
Both sides have been shaky at the back, with attacking output sitting around mid-table level. New York Red Bulls make too many mistakes defensively - their average goals conceded over the last ten matches is high. Charlotte aren't much more reliable at the back, though their overall numbers are slightly better. The two teams are in the same position in the table: both trying to hold onto a playoff spot, which keeps the mood measured and rules out pure damage-limitation football. Both sides score regularly and concede regularly - the season stats and head-to-head trends back that up. Our prediction: Both Teams To Score.