Liverpool vs Crystal Palace Prediction
🔊 In the 34th round of the Premier League, Liverpool face a tricky opponent they've already lost to twice this season. For the Reds, it's a crucial match to solidify their spot in the Champions League places, while for the Eagles, it's a chance to upset a giant and boost their own morale ahead of the Conference League semi-finals. The favorite at Anfield is clear, yet Arne Slot's side have delivered unwelcome surprises more than once this season.
Head-to-Head
📊 Liverpool have remained unbeaten against Crystal Palace in 15 of their last 17 Premier League head-to-heads. The Reds' long-term dominance is clear and quite logical. However, in recent years, the gap has narrowed: the Eagles have only lost twice to the Scousers in their last nine encounters across all competitions. At Anfield, Liverpool have failed to defeat Palace in their last four matches. The most recent meeting at this venue took place in October during the fourth round of the League Cup, ending with a 3-0 victory for the visitors.
H2H Stats Matches and Previous Teams Results
Liverpool Team Overview
The Reds hold the 5th spot with 55 points, five points clear of sixth-placed Brighton, and they have a game in hand. Arne Slot's squad has emerged from a slump, securing victories in their last two Premier League outings. They remain unbeaten in 9 of their last 10 league matches at Anfield, although they've dropped points in half of those games.
In the previous round, Liverpool clinched a dramatic win in the Merseyside derby against Everton (2-1). This was the first derby held at Hill Dickinson. Surprisingly, it was the old guard who made the difference, despite having a challenging season. Mohamed Salah opened the scoring in the 29th minute, but the Toffees equalized. Just when it seemed destined for a draw, Virgil van Dijk headed in a corner in the 100th minute to snatch all three points. However, the victory came at a cost as Giorgi Mamardashvili was stretchered off and is sidelined for several weeks.
Match Results: Liverpool
Crystal Palace Team Overview
The Eagles sit comfortably in 13th place with 43 points, virtually securing their spot in the top flight for next season. In reality, relegation was never a significant threat. With no pressing league objectives left, Oliver Glasner's squad is already turning their focus to the UEFA Conference League semi-final against Shakhtar on April 30. However, Palace are not easing up in the Premier League, remaining unbeaten in their last four matches with two wins and two draws.
In the previous round, the Glaziers played out a goalless draw at home against West Ham. Oliver Glasner's team failed to create sufficient threat in front of the opponent's goal. With an expected goals figure of just 0.79 and only one clear-cut chance, it's a disappointing stat, especially for a home fixture against a team battling for survival. Yet, on the road, Palace have managed to score in five consecutive Premier League matches.
Match Results: Crystal Palace
Latest news
Liverpool
🎙 Arne Slot on the injuries to Alisson, Endo, and Gomez: “The good news is that they are back on the field and have participated in parts of training. However, after six weeks out, the guys still need to regain their fitness. They are not in my thoughts for Saturday. Maybe Joe will be the first to return.”
❌ Liverpool's injury list is one of the most crowded in the Premier League. Hugo Ekitike (Achilles tear) is sidelined for an extended period. Conor Bradley and Giovanni Leone (both knee injuries) have been out for a long time. Wataru Endo (ankle), Joe Gomez (muscle), and Alisson (hamstring) have missed several matches but have returned to training. The Englishman is the closest to making a comeback. Giorgi Mamardashvili is also unavailable, so third-choice goalkeeper Freddie Woodman is set to make his debut in the starting lineup.
Crystal Palace
🎙 Oliver Glasner shared his expectations for the match: "As always, I anticipate a fantastic atmosphere at Anfield. It's a great stadium, and they're fighting for a Champions League spot. We're also in a strong position in the league and want to put on a great performance there. Liverpool secured an important victory in the derby, so they'll be highly motivated."
❌ The visiting side's squad situation is noticeably better than the hosts'. Eddie Nketiah (hamstring) is out for the rest of the season. Evann Guessand (knee) will miss several weeks. Cheick Doucouré (knee) has been sidelined since January. However, key midfielder Adam Wharton (adductor) has recovered and is ready to play. Maxence Lacroix, who sustained a medial ligament injury in the same match against Fiorentina, is also expected to take the field.
🟨 Yellow Card Prediction
Andy Madley isn't the strictest referee: in 18 Premier League matches, he's shown 56 yellow cards (averaging 3.1 per game) and three reds. Meanwhile, Liverpool are one of the most disciplined teams in the league, averaging 1.48 warnings per match, while Palace pick up 2.27 on the road. Considering the match holds little significance for the visitors and Glasner will likely have an eye on the upcoming European semi-final, don't expect a flurry of cards. Total under 3.5 bookings seems like the optimal choice.
⚽ Goal Prediction
Liverpool average 2.06 goals per game at Anfield this season. However, there's a catch: in their last four head-to-heads at home against Palace, the Reds have only scored twice. Despite an inspiring win in the Merseyside derby, Arne Slot's team remains highly unpredictable, so a slip-up is possible. We believe Liverpool will score fewer than 2.5 goals, as has been the case in nine previous encounters with the Eagles.
🚩 Corner Prediction
Liverpool rank in the top four in the Premier League for corners, averaging 5.97 per game, while Palace manage a modest 4.19. Oliver Glasner will likely set his team up to play defensively, so Liverpool's advantage in corner kicks should be overwhelming. Individual total corners for Liverpool over 5.5 is an excellent choice, especially considering the Reds have surpassed this mark in six of their last seven home games against the Eagles in the Premier League.
🚀 Player Stat Bet
Crystal Palace have a player who turns matches against Liverpool into his personal showcase: in the last four meetings, he has scored five goals. We're talking about Ismaila Sarr, for whom the Reds are almost a favorite opponent (7 goals in 9 matches). With Arne Slot's defense already lacking reliability and now featuring a third-choice goalkeeper, the Senegalese forward, skilled in finding space and possessing a powerful long shot, will likely get his chance and make it count. The odds for Ismaila Sarr to score stand at 3.85*.
😱 Risky Bet
As we've established, the Eagles are a tough opponent for Liverpool. This season, they've already beaten the Reds twice and remain unbeaten in their last four matches at Anfield. Add to that the debut of a third-choice goalkeeper for the hosts, and the conditions for an upset are ideal. The bet is Crystal Palace to win with a handicap (0) at 4.95*.
👀 If the Match Doesn't Go as Planned
Freddie Woodman might make a costly mistake. The third-choice goalkeeper is making his starting debut for Liverpool. If he starts nervously, the visitors will surely capitalize. In that case, an early goal from Oliver Glasner's side and a Crystal Palace win in the 1st half is likely. It's worth noting that Liverpool have lost the first half to the Eagles in their last four meetings at Anfield.
*Odds are approximate and may vary across different bookmakers.
Editor's Prediction
On paper, it seems straightforward: Liverpool at Anfield against a team already mentally gearing up for the Conference League semifinals. However, in reality, this match is a Pandora's box. The hosts will debut their third-choice goalkeeper, Freddie Woodman, which significantly alters the dynamics, especially against an opponent as tricky as Arne Slot's side. The Reds have the upper hand in motivation and class, but the goalkeeping issue and Sarr's curse make betting on both teams to score (yes) the most sensible choice. This bet has landed in 8 of Palace's last 9 away matches across all competitions. We anticipate a goal exchange and a hard-fought Liverpool victory with a scoreline of 2-1.
Betting Tips: Liverpool - Crystal Palace
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Comparison of Teams Stats
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