Heidenheim vs St Pauli Prediction 25 April 2026
🔊 Will Heidenheim face an early relegation after Matchday 31? Frank Schmidt's side hosts St. Pauli in a crucial encounter, with both teams fighting for survival. However, St. Pauli have a significantly better chance of staying up. Heidenheim need nothing less than a win to keep their hopes of remaining in the top flight alive. A victory would narrow the gap to four points, keeping their chances alive with three matches remaining to replicate last year's success. Considering St. Pauli's poor away performances, bookmakers have understandably pegged Heidenheim as the favorites.
Head-to-Head
📊 In the first-round match, Martijn Kars' brace secured a crucial 2-1 home victory for St. Pauli. Marvin Pieringer was on the scoresheet for Heidenheim.
Head-to-head statistics Heidenheim - St Pauli
Heidenheim Team Overview
🔴 In the last round, Heidenheim suffered their 19th defeat of the season, falling to an in-form Freiburg (1-2) away from home. Budu Zivzivadze equalized in the second half with a stunning strike into the far corner, but the team couldn't hold on for a draw in the end. Currently, Frank Schmidt's side sits at the bottom of the table, trailing 16th-placed St. Pauli by seven points. This means that a loss in the upcoming match would confirm Heidenheim's relegation to the 2. Bundesliga.
🔵 The hosts are highly motivated: beyond their position in the standings, they are surely eager to avenge their first-round defeat. Notably, their defensive play has been weak. Throughout the season, Heidenheim hasn't kept a single clean sheet and has conceded 66 goals - the worst record in the league (tied with Wolfsburg). The last time they managed a clean sheet was back in the 2024/25 season during Matchday 33 against Union Berlin (3-0). No team in Bundesliga history has ever completed a season without a single clean sheet.
Match Results: Heidenheim
St. Pauli Team Overview
🟤 In the 30th round, St. Pauli failed to secure a win against direct rivals Cologne (1-1). The "Brown and Whites" settled for a draw in their home fixture. Karol Mets opened the scoring in the second half, but the visitors converted a late penalty to snatch a point. While this result isn't disastrous, the team desperately needs victories rather than draws given their current league position.
⚪ Furthermore, St. Pauli missed the chance to widen the gap from the automatic relegation zone, adding pressure as the season nears its end. Alexander Blessin's side sits in the playoff zone, just two points ahead of 17th-placed Wolfsburg. Thus, the Hamburg club heads into their away match highly motivated and eager to secure their seventh win of the season.
Match Results: St. Pauli
Latest news
Heidenheim
🎙️ Frank Schmidt after the match against Freiburg: "To me, it was an evenly matched game where we could have taken something, perhaps even should have. From our perspective, it was also somewhat reflective of the season. Overall, I'd call it a decent away game. In the end, we weren't rewarded for it. It's tough, but we have to accept it and look forward."
❌ Sirlord Conteh and Leart Paqarada are unavailable. Eren Dinkci, Benedikt Gimber, and Mikkel Kaufmann remain doubtful.
St. Pauli
🎙️ Alexander Blessin ahead of the match against Heidenheim: "This is going to be quite a challenging game. Playing against Heidenheim is always tough; they never give up. It's going to be a real test for us. We're heading to a small stadium, but the atmosphere will undoubtedly be intense. We don't want that to affect us. I also have fond memories of winning here last season. A lot of our fans are making the long journey again, and we truly appreciate their support."
❌ Eric Smith and Nikola Vasilj might make the matchday squad. Ricky-Jade Jones, James Sands, and Matias Pereira Lage are sidelined with injuries.
🟨 Yellow Card Prediction
The match at Voith-Arena will be officiated by Felix Zwayer. In his last outing, he issued just three yellow cards, with an average of 3.3 over his last 10 games. Neither team is particularly aggressive; Heidenheim have accumulated 43 yellow cards (averaging 1.4 per match), while St. Pauli have 46 (averaging 1.5). However, given the significance of this clash and the tension in the relegation battle, a more physical game is expected. It's also worth noting their head-to-head stats: over 3.5 yellow cards have been shown in their last four encounters.
⚽ Goal Prediction
Heidenheim are set on securing a win and will likely press forward aggressively. St. Pauli struggle on the road, making them susceptible to conceding. Even if they manage to hold off Heidenheim in the first half, there's a high chance they will concede after the break. St. Pauli have let in goals in the second half in their last five consecutive matches, making a Heidenheim goal in the second half a logical prediction.
🚩 Corner Prediction
Both teams average around 4.5 corners per match. Instead of considering the total corners, it's more prudent to focus on individual stats. St. Pauli don't earn many corners, making the individual total for the visitors under 5.5 a solid choice. This has been the outcome in 17 of their last 19 Bundesliga matches.
Editorial Prediction
This match holds crucial significance primarily for Heidenheim, as a victory would keep their survival hopes alive. St. Pauli are also motivated, aiming to widen the gap from the direct relegation zone, especially if Wolfsburg slip up.
Given the hosts' weak defense, it's likely the visitors will find the net. However, St. Pauli's struggles on the road and their low scoring record are significant factors too. Heidenheim appear more driven and will push forward aggressively. Our editorial prediction is both teams to score (yes). The expected scoreline is a 2-1 win for Heidenheim.
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Betting Tips: Heidenheim - St. Pauli
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