Boston Riv. vs Penarol Prediction

    💥 The clash between Boston River and Peñarol promises to be intriguing, given the current form of both teams. Boston River have struggled offensively, particularly on their home turf. Meanwhile, Peñarol are in strong form, delivering consistent performances both at home and away. How will this encounter conclude? Find out in the prediction below.

    Head-to-Head

    The last official match between the teams ended in a 2-2 draw. Here's a comparative breakdown of that encounter (Peñarol were the home side):

    • possession: 45% vs 55%;
    • corners: 1 vs 9;
    • yellow cards: 2 vs 2.

    📊Analytical review of previous official encounters between Boston River and Peñarol:

    • 26 matches played;
    • home wins - 2, away wins - 19, draws - 5;
    • goals scored (home/away) - 14 to 49;
    • average total goals per match - 2.42.

    H2H Stats Matches and Previous Teams Results

    7%
    2 Wins
    19%
    5 Draws
    74%
    20 Wins
    Total games
    27
    Total Goals Avg
    2.41
    Both teams scored
    37%
    0.52
    Total average
    1.89
    2.74
    Yellow cards
    2.11
    Last matches
    25.03.26
    Primera Division
    Boston River
    Boston River
    Penarol Montevideo
    Penarol Montevideo
    -
    -
    1
    6
    -
    -
    2
    1
    0
    2
    0
    1
    0
    1
    -
    -
    1
    6
    -
    -
    2
    1
    23.01.26
    UCL
    Penarol Montevideo
    Penarol Montevideo
    Boston River
    Boston River
    -
    -
    1
    9
    -
    -
    2
    2
    2
    2
    2
    2
    0
    0
    2
    4
    -
    -
    1
    9
    -
    -
    2
    2
    15.08.25
    Primera Division
    Boston River
    Boston River
    1
    Penarol Montevideo
    Penarol Montevideo
    -
    -
    4
    3
    -
    -
    4
    3
    2
    1
    1
    0
    1
    1
    -
    -
    4
    3
    -
    -
    4
    3
    15.02.25
    Primera Division
    CA Penarol Montevideo
    CA Penarol Montevideo
    CA Boston River
    CA Boston River
    -
    -
    5
    3
    0
    0
    1
    2
    1
    1
    0
    0
    1
    1
    -
    -
    5
    3
    0
    0
    1
    2
    19.10.24
    Primera Division
    Penarol Montevideo
    Penarol Montevideo
    Boston River
    Boston River
    -
    -
    -
    -
    -
    -
    3
    0
    2
    0
    1
    0
    1
    0
    -
    -
    -
    -
    -
    -
    3
    0
    Empty
    There are no events
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    Boston River Team Overview

    The team's last official match took place in the Primera tournament, with Progreso hosting Boston River. The match concluded with a 0-1 scoreline.

    Here are the match statistics (Boston River vs Progreso):

    • possession percentage: 43% vs 57%;
    • corner kicks: 1 vs 10;
    • yellow cards: 1 vs 4;
    • shots on target: 2 vs 2.

    Boston River are enduring a tough stretch, with just one win in their last five matches (WLDLL), highlighting the team's inconsistency. Sitting in 13th place in the standings, their struggles are evident across the board. Their attack is almost non-existent, averaging only 0.43 goals per game. Furthermore, they frequently fail to score at home, a scenario that has played out in five of their last six matches.

    Match Results: Boston River

    Last matches
    01.06.26
    Primera Division
    Boston River
    Boston River
    Liverpool Montevideo
    Liverpool Montevideo
    -
    -
    2
    5
    -
    -
    4
    6
    0
    1
    0
    1
    0
    0
    -
    -
    2
    5
    -
    -
    4
    6
    L
    26.05.26
    Copa Sudamericana
    Sao Paulo
    Sao Paulo
    Boston River
    Boston River
    1.59
    0.66
    7
    4
    6
    13
    1
    2
    2
    0
    2
    0
    0
    0
    1.59
    0.66
    7
    4
    6
    13
    1
    2
    L
    23.05.26
    Primera Division
    Cerro Largo
    Cerro Largo
    Boston River
    Boston River
    1
    -
    -
    1
    4
    -
    -
    2
    2
    3
    0
    1
    0
    2
    0
    -
    -
    1
    4
    -
    -
    2
    2
    L
    20.05.26
    Copa Sudamericana
    Boston River
    Boston River
    O´Higgins
    O´Higgins
    1.40
    1.58
    4
    7
    11
    11
    2
    2
    3
    2
    2
    0
    1
    2
    1.40
    1.58
    4
    7
    11
    11
    2
    2
    W
    16.05.26
    Primera Division
    Boston River
    Boston River
    Cerro
    Cerro
    -
    -
    7
    3
    -
    -
    2
    3
    4
    1
    2
    1
    2
    0
    -
    -
    7
    3
    -
    -
    2
    3
    W
    Empty
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    Penarol Montevideo Team Overview

    The visitors recently played their last official match in the Primera tournament, with Peñarol hosting Cerro. The match concluded with a 3-1 victory for Peñarol.

    Here are the game statistics (Peñarol vs Cerro):

    • possession percentage: 66% vs 34%;
    • corner kicks: 7 vs 2;
    • yellow cards: 3 vs 7;
    • shots on target: 7 vs 1.

    Peñarol are confidently climbing the league table, currently sitting in second place. Over their last five matches, they've showcased impressive form with four wins and a draw (WDWWW). The team stands out for their defensive solidity and attacking efficiency, averaging 1.5 goals scored per game while conceding just 0.8 goals per match.

    Match Results: Penarol Montevideo

    Last matches
    01.06.26
    Primera Division
    Penarol Montevideo
    Penarol Montevideo
    3
    Central Espanol
    Central Espanol
    -
    -
    6
    3
    -
    -
    3
    2
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    -
    -
    6
    3
    -
    -
    3
    2
    L
    28.05.26
    Copa Libertadores
    Penarol Montevideo
    Penarol Montevideo
    Independiente Santa Fe
    Independiente Santa Fe
    1
    0.39
    9
    2
    9
    21
    2
    2
    0
    1
    0
    1
    0
    0
    1
    0.39
    9
    2
    9
    21
    2
    2
    L
    24.05.26
    Primera Division
    Defensor Sporting
    Defensor Sporting
    Penarol Montevideo
    Penarol Montevideo
    -
    -
    2
    3
    -
    -
    3
    4
    0
    2
    0
    0
    0
    2
    -
    -
    2
    3
    -
    -
    3
    4
    W
    22.05.26
    Copa Libertadores
    Penarol Montevideo
    Penarol Montevideo
    Corinthians
    Corinthians
    0.68
    2.45
    3
    5
    5
    6
    0
    0
    1
    1
    1
    0
    0
    1
    0.68
    2.45
    3
    5
    5
    6
    0
    0
    D
    16.05.26
    Primera Division
    Penarol Montevideo
    Penarol Montevideo
    1
    Liverpool Montevideo
    Liverpool Montevideo
    -
    -
    2
    2
    -
    -
    3
    3
    2
    1
    2
    1
    0
    0
    -
    -
    2
    2
    -
    -
    3
    3
    W
    Empty
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    Prediction for the 1st half

    First Half Statistics: Boston River (Home) vs Penarol Montevideo (Away)

    • Number of matches played in the tournament: 4 vs 1;
    • Number of wins: 0 (0%) vs 0 (0%);
    • Number of losses: 1 (25%) vs 0 (0%);
    • Number of draws: 3 (75%) vs 1 (100%);
    • Average total goals scored: 0.25 vs 0;
    • Average total goals conceded: 0.25 vs 0.

    Last 10 Matches (Overall):

    • Number of wins: 0 vs 4;
    • Number of losses: 2 vs 2;
    • Number of draws: 8 vs 4;
    • Average first half total: 0.8 (scored - 0.3, conceded - 0.5) vs 1.4 (scored - 0.9, conceded - 0.5).
    Trends
    • Boston River have drawn in the 1st half in 7 of last 8 games (Primera Division).
    • Boston River have drawn in the 1st half in 6 of last 7 home games.
    👉Prediction: 1st Half Draw(odds: 2.12)

    Prediction on the outcome

    H2H:

    • number of encounters - 26;
    • home team wins - 2, away team wins - 19, draws - 5.

    Statistics: Boston River vs Penarol Montevideo

    • matches played in the tournament: 7 vs 7;
    • wins: 1 vs 4;
    • win percentage: 14% vs 67%;
    • losses: 4 vs 1;
    • draws: 2 vs 1.

    Last 10 matches:

    • wins: 3 vs 7;
    • losses: 5 vs 2;
    • draws: 2 vs 1.
    Trends
    • Boston River won with a +1.5 handicap in 30 of last 31 games.
    • Boston River won with a +1.5 handicap in 23 of last 24 games (Primera Division).
    • Boston River won with a +1.5 handicap in last 20 home games (Primera Division).
    • Boston River won with a +1.5 handicap in last 17 home games.
    👉Prediction: Boston River Handicap (+1.5)(odds: 1.43)

    Prediction on the over/under

    H2H

    • today's home team scores on average - 0.54, the guests - 1.88;
    • average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 2.42;
    • both teams scored: overall - 10; at the home team's field - 4.

    Statistics: Boston River vs Penarol Montevideo

    • average total in the tournament: 1.43 vs 2.33;
    • average total goals scored: 0.43 vs 1.5;
    • average total in the 1st half: 0.14 vs 0.67;
    • average total in the 2nd half: 0.29 vs 0.83;
    • Boston River: average total at home in the tournament -  0.25;
    • Penarol Montevideo: average total away in the tournament - 1;
    • last 10 matches (average total): 0.7 (home - 0.4) vs 1.5 (away - 1).
    Trends
    • Boston River have not scored in 5 of last 6 home games (Primera Division).
    👉Prediction: Boston River will not score goal(odds: 1.91)

    Prediction on BTTS

    H2H:

    • number of encounters - 26;
    • both teams scored all-time - 10 times;
    • on the home team’s field - 4 times.

    Statistics: Boston River vs Penarol Montevideo

    • number of matches played in the tournament: 7 vs 7;
    • number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 2 vs 4;
    • number of BTTS matches for Boston River at home - 1 (25%);
    • number of BTTS matches for Penarol Montevideo away - 0 (0%).

    Last 10 matches:

    • number of BTTS matches: 4 vs 6;
    • BTTS matches for Boston River at home - 1 (20%);
    • BTTS matches for Penarol Montevideo away - 1 (33%).
    👉Prediction: Both Teams To Score (No)(odds: 1.67)

    Correct score prediction

    Statistics of frequent results (current season):

    • most common score in the tournament: 0:1 (13/49, 26.5%);
    • Boston River at home most often finish matches: 0:1 (2/4, 50%);
    • Penarol Montevideo away most often play: 0:1 (1/1, 100%).

    Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top 3 outcomes:

    0:1 - 23.27% (odds 6)
    0:0 - 16.71% (odds 8)
    0:2 - 13.25% (odds 6.5)

    👉Prediction: Correct Score (0:1)(odds: 6)

    ⭐ Editor's Prediction

    Considering Boston River's trend towards under 2.5 goals, this appears to be the most likely scenario for their match against Peñarol. The visitors' defense is capable of neutralizing the home side's weak attack, as evidenced by recent statistics from both teams. A 0-1 scoreline with a low-scoring outcome seems possible.

    Our choice
    Total goals Under (2.5) at odds of -154*
    Bovada
    Bet
    *The odds are relevant for the time of publication (24 March 2026, 00:24)

    Betting Tips: Boston River - Penarol Montevideo

    Boston River have drawn in the 1st half
    ca-boston-riverin 7 of last 8 games (Primera Division).
    ca-boston-riverin 6 of last 7 home games.
    1st Half Draw
    Bovada
    +120
    Boston River have not won
    ca-boston-riverin 8 of last 9 games (Primera Division).
    ca-boston-riverin 6 of last 7 home games.
    Penarol Montevideo have not lost
    ca-penarolin 10 of last 11 games.
    Penarol Montevideo will not lose
    Everygame
    -909
    Penarol Montevideo have scored under 2.5 goals
    ca-penarolin 16 of last 18 games.
    ca-penarolin 11 of last 12 away games.
    ca-penarolin last 9 away games (Primera Division).
    Penarol Montevideo Total goals Under (2.5)
    Everygame
    -357
    Penarol Montevideo have scored
    ca-penarolin 11 of last 12 games (Primera Division).
    ca-penarolin last 7 games.
    Penarol Montevideo will score goal
    Everygame
    -714
    View more facts

    Boston Riv. - Penarol Table position

    Primera Division 2026
    gWDLGDPForm
    3.
    Albion
    Albion
    1584326-1628
    4.
    Penarol Montevideo
    Penarol Montevideo
    1583423-1627
    5.
    Central Espanol
    Central Espanol
    1573523-2224
    12.
    Cerro Largo
    Cerro Largo
    1552816-1917
    13.
    Boston River
    Boston River
    1552814-2017
    14.
    Juventud de Las Piedras
    Juventud de Las Piedras
    1543817-2215

    Comparison of Teams Stats

    10 matches
    3 - Wins
    0 - Draws
    7 - Loses
    Wins - 3
    Draws - 3
    Loses - 4
    10 matches
    Scored - 13
    Conceded - 22
    -9
    -1
    10 - Scored
    11 - Conceded
    3
    Wins
    3
    0
    Draws
    3
    7
    Loses
    4
    Goal difference
    13
    Scored
    10
    22
    Conceded
    11
    3.5
    Match goals average
    2.1
    1.3
    Goals scored per match on average
    1
    2.2
    Goals conceded per match on average
    1.1
    6
    Both teams scored
    5
    69'
    Minutes / Goal scored
    90'
    View all stats