Chelsea vs Southampton Prediction 25 February 2025
🔊 Can Chelsea secure their third consecutive victory at Stamford Bridge? At the very least, the hosts are considered clear favorites in the matchup against Southampton, who have become the main underdogs of the Premier League this season. It's enough to say that before the 27th round, they hadn't even reached the 10-point mark. However, Chelsea's form is far from optimal. Therefore, we will consider different options to make the prediction optimal.
Head-to-Head
In the span of 36 head-to-head matches, Chelsea holds the advantage with 58% victories. In the first round of the current season, they defeated Southampton at “St Mary's” (5:1). However, towards the end of the first half, the opponent was reduced to ten men, although the “Blues” were already leading by two goals at that point. Meanwhile, the “Saints” have not lost by more than two goals in 14 consecutive matches at “Stamford Bridge.” Therefore, as a potential bet, we note Southampton to win with a handicap (+2.5).
Head-to-head statistics Chelsea - Southampton
Chelsea FC Team Overview
Chelsea cannot find their game after the end of the first stage in the Conference League. And meanwhile, two months have already passed. All players have frankly declined. As a result, the team has only two victories in this period. They defeated Wolverhampton (3:1) and West Ham (2:1) at home. However, after that, Maresca's charges exited the FA Cup, losing to Brighton (1:2). A few days later, the opponents met again, this time in the Premier League. And once again Chelsea lost, and with an even greater margin (0:3). Recently, they had every chance of winning against Aston Villa, at least it seemed so during the match. However, the team stopped early and retreated to their own goal. As a result, the opponent equalized, and at the end, a mistake by Philip Jorgensen left the Londoners without points (1:2). Chelsea has been dealing with many injuries lately. Notably, Nicolas Jackson, Marc Guehi, and Noni Madueke, who were sidelined in February. In the last match, Trevoh Chalobah also got injured and was substituted as early as the eighth minute. Therefore, his participation in the upcoming match is in doubt.
Match Results: Chelsea FC
Southampton FC Team Overview
Southampton is by far the worst team in the EPL. It's enough to say that they are eight points behind their nearest neighbor in the standings. The team has only one victory in 16 league matches. They defeated Ipswich Town (2:1), which is very likely to join them in relegation to the Championship. Recently, the "Saints" hosted Brighton and conceded four unanswered goals. There could have been more goals, considering the 12 shots on goal from the opponent. Therefore, it's not surprising that one of the best players of the match was Aaron Ramsdale, who made eight saves, equaling his personal record for the season. Southampton has several injured players. The most important is Taylor Harwood-Bellis. The situation is complicated by the fact that another defender, Jan Bednarek, was injured in the last round, and his participation in the upcoming match is questionable.
Match Results: Southampton FC
🟨 Referee and Yellow Cards
The main referee for the match is Thomas Bramall, who has officiated five matches in the Premier League this season. In one of them, he awarded a penalty and sent off a player. However, there has been a decrease in the number of warnings from game to game. For instance, in the Fulham vs Nottingham Forest match, the referee didn't show a single yellow card, although his average for the season is 3.6.
Chelsea has the advantage in yellow cards this season (2.9 vs 2.7). In matches involving Chelsea, the number of warnings increases to 5.6. If we exclude the last game officiated by Bramall, he has a relatively high number of yellow cards. Therefore, we suggest considering a bet on total yellow cards over 3.5.
⚽️ Goal Prediction
Chelsea's defense cannot be considered reliable. Both goalkeepers that Maresca starts have been making blatant errors. Therefore, it is not surprising that the team has conceded in nine consecutive Premier League matches. In the first round, Chelsea won the head-to-head with a large score but failed to keep a clean sheet. Therefore, it makes sense to bet on a goal for Southampton in the upcoming match.
🚩 Corner Prediction
Chelsea has the advantage in corners this season (5.9 vs 4.3). In matches involving Chelsea, there is an average of 9.4 corners. Southampton's similar statistic is higher (10.6), but it still supports a bet on total corners under 11.5.
Editorial Prediction
The favorite for the upcoming match is Chelsea. It is expected that they will win easily. We believe that a two-goal advantage will be sufficient for the team. Therefore, we note a potential exact score of 3:1.
Despite the absence of two main forwards, Chelsea should score, and it's unlikely that the “Blues” will limit themselves to just one goal. However, keeping a clean sheet is also doubtful. Therefore, as a key bet, we suggest - both teams to score (Yes). Especially since this has occurred in 10 of the last 11 matches at “Stamford Bridge”.
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Betting Tips: Chelsea FC - Southampton FC
in 8 of last 9 games (Premier League).in 6 of last 7 games.
in 16 of last 17 home games.in 10 of last 11 home games (Premier League).in 17 of last 19 games.in 15 of last 16 games (Premier League).in 12 of last 13 away games (Premier League).
in 31 of last 33 games against Southampton FC (Premier League).in 23 of last 25 games against Southampton FC.in 8 of last 9 Chelsea FC home games.in 25 of last 26 Southampton FC games (Premier League).in last 13 Southampton FC away games (Premier League).
Comparison of Teams Stats
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