Chaves vs Lusitania Prediction 24 January 2026
🔊How will the weather conditions and the state of the field affect the game? Today, the teams Chaves and Lusitania are meeting. The match is scheduled to start at 11:00. The tournament match Segunda Liga will take place in the city of Chaves at the Estadio Municipal Eng. Manuel Branco Teixeira stadium. The odds for the teams' victories have been determined by bookmakers at and , respectively, with the team Chaves being the favorite of the match.
Head-to-Head
The last official match between the teams took place on 16 August 2025 and ended with a score of 2:2. Let's compare the statistics from that encounter (home team - Lusitania):
- ball possession percentage: 55% vs 45%;
- corner kicks: 8 vs 7;
- yellow cards: 4 vs 0.
📊Officially, the teams Chaves and Lusitania have played only one match. The meeting took place on 16 August 2025 at the home ground of Lusitania and ended with a score of 2:2.
Head-to-head statistics Chaves - Lusitania

Chaves Team Overview
The team's most recent official match took place on 17 January 2026 as part of the Segunda Liga tournament (home team - Benfica B, away team - Chaves). The match concluded with a scoreline of 1:0.
Here's the game statistics (Chaves vs Benfica B):
- ball possession: 36% vs 64%;
- corner kicks: 3 vs 5;
- fouls: 14 vs 18;
- yellow cards: 3 vs 3;
- shots on target: 0 vs 7.
- 7 wins,
- 6 losses,
- 5 draws.
📈Currently, Chaves stands at a mid-tier position within the Segunda Liga standings, with a win percentage of 39% and a loss percentage of 33%.
⚽️Chaves has scored a total of 21 goals. On the defensive end, Chaves has allowed 16 goals over the season.
Match Results: Chaves

Lusitania Team Overview
The away team played their last official match on 18 January 2026 as part of the Segunda Liga tournament (home team - Lusitania, away - Maritimo Madeira). The match concluded with a scoreline of 0:4.
Here are the match stats (Lusitania vs Maritimo Madeira):
- ball possession: 51% vs 49%;
- corner kicks: 10 vs 0;
- fouls: 18 vs 15;
- yellow cards: 2 vs 2;
- shots on target: 4 vs 4.
- 6 wins,
- 6 losses,
- 6 draws.
📈Currently, Lusitania stands at a mid-tier position within the Segunda Liga standings, with a win percentage of 33% and a loss percentage of 33%.
⚽Lusitania has scored a total of 25 goals. On the defensive end has allowed 29 goals over the season.
Match Results: Lusitania
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- number of encounters - 1;
- home team wins - 0, away team wins - 0, draws - 1.
Statistics: Chaves vs Lusitania
- matches played in the tournament: 18 vs 18;
- wins: 7 vs 6;
- win percentage: 39% vs 33%;
- losses: 6 vs 6;
- draws: 5 vs 6.
Last 10 matches:
- wins: 4 vs 4;
- losses: 5 vs 4;
- draws: 1 vs 2.
- Lusitania won with a +1.5 handicap in 10 of last 11 games.
- Lusitania won with a +1.5 handicap in 9 of last 10 games (Segunda Liga).
- Lusitania won with a +1.5 handicap in 6 of last 7 away games.
Prediction on the over/under
H2H
- today's home team scores on average - 2, the guests - 2;
- average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 4;
- both teams scored: overall - 1; at the home team's field - 0.
Statistics: Chaves vs Lusitania
- average total in the tournament: 2.06 vs 3;
- average total goals scored: 1.17 vs 1.39;
- average total in the 1st half: 0.67 vs 0.61;
- average total in the 2nd half: 0.5 vs 0.78;
- Chaves: average total at home in the tournament - 0.89;
- Lusitania: average total away in the tournament - 1.75;
- last 10 matches (average total): 1.1 (home - 0.8) vs 1.6 (away - 2.5).
- Lusitania have scored in 10 of last 11 away games.
- Lusitania have scored in 7 of last 8 away games (Segunda Liga).
Prediction on corners
Chaves: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 5.06; at home field - 5.78;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 4.7; at home field - 5.8.
Lusitania: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 5.83, away - 4.5;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 5.5; away - 4.25.
Prediction on BTTS
H2H:
- number of encounters - 1;
- both teams scored all-time - 1 times;
- on the home team’s field - 0 times.
Statistics: Chaves vs Lusitania
- number of matches played in the tournament: 18 vs 18;
- number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 7 vs 12;
- number of BTTS matches for Chaves at home - 4 (44%);
- number of BTTS matches for Lusitania away - 5 (63%).
Last 10 matches:
- number of BTTS matches: 3 vs 6;
- BTTS matches for Chaves at home - 1 (20%);
- BTTS matches for Lusitania away - 3 (75%).
Correct score prediction
Statistics of frequent results (current season):
- most common score in the tournament: 1:1 (18/162, 11.1%);
- Chaves at home most often finish matches: 1:1 (3/9, 33.3%);
- Lusitania away most often play: 0:1 , 1:2 (2/8, 25%).
Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top 3 outcomes:
1:1 - 11.71% (odds 5.77)
1:0 - 10.44% (odds 5.6)
2:1 - 8.62% (odds 7.04)
Editorial Prediction
- Lusitania have scored in 10 of last 11 away games.
- Lusitania have scored in 7 of last 8 away games (Segunda Liga).