Arouca vs Sporting Prediction

Details
The main thing

    🔊 The upcoming clash between Arouca and Sporting promises to be a real test for the home side. Sporting, sitting second in the league table, have been showcasing consistent play with a focus on attack. Arouca, currently in thirteenth place, are struggling defensively, making the task of stopping the visitors even more daunting. Recent form shows contrasting fortunes: Sporting are on a two-match winning streak, while Arouca's results have been inconsistent without any clear trend. An intriguing battle of styles is expected - the visitors' attacking prowess against the hosts' determination to keep them at bay.

    Head-to-Head

    The last official clash between these teams took place on 17 August 2025 and ended with a 6-0 scoreline. Let's take a look at the comparative stats from that encounter (Sporting were the home side):

    • possession: 57% vs 43%;
    • corners: 6 vs 1;
    • fouls: 7 vs 7;
    • yellow cards: 1 vs 0;
    • shots on target: 10 vs 1.

    📊 Statistical preview of official encounters between Arouca and Sporting:

    • 19 matches played;
    • home victories - 1, away victories - 16, draws - 2;
    • goals scored - 11 for Arouca, 42 for Sporting;
    • average total goals in the first half - 1.32, in the second half - 1.47;
    • average total goals per match - 2.79.

    H2H Stats Matches and Previous Teams Results

    5%
    1 Win
    10%
    2 Draws
    85%
    17 Wins
    Total games
    20
    Total Goals Avg
    2.8
    Both teams scored
    50%
    0.6
    Total average
    2.2
    2.7
    Yellow cards
    2.15
    Last matches
    24.01.26
    Primeira Liga
    Arouca
    Arouca
    1
    Sporting Lisbon
    Sporting Lisbon
    1
    1.3
    1.65
    4
    7
    11
    12
    3
    4
    1
    2
    0
    1
    1
    1
    1.3
    1.65
    4
    7
    11
    12
    3
    4
    17.08.25
    Primeira Liga
    Sporting Lisbon
    Sporting Lisbon
    Arouca
    Arouca
    1
    2.88
    0.2
    6
    1
    7
    7
    1
    0
    6
    0
    3
    0
    3
    0
    2.88
    0.2
    6
    1
    7
    7
    1
    0
    15.02.25
    Primeira Liga
    Sporting Lisbon
    Sporting Lisbon
    1
    Arouca
    Arouca
    2.14
    2.09
    9
    9
    6
    13
    2
    2
    2
    2
    1
    2
    1
    0
    2.14
    2.09
    9
    9
    6
    13
    2
    2
    13.09.24
    Примейра-лига
    Arouca
    Arouca
    Sporting Lisbon
    Sporting Lisbon
    -
    -
    2
    8
    12
    11
    3
    0
    0
    3
    0
    1
    0
    2
    -
    -
    2
    8
    12
    11
    3
    0
    10.03.24
    Примейра-лига
    Arouca
    Arouca
    Sporting Lisbon
    Sporting Lisbon
    -
    -
    2
    0
    12
    10
    2
    0
    0
    3
    0
    1
    0
    2
    -
    -
    2
    0
    12
    10
    2
    0
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    Arouca Team Overview

    The team's last official match took place on in the Primeira Liga, featuring ABC as the home side against Arouca. The match ended with a scoreline of 0-1.

    Here are the match statistics (Arouca vs ABC):

    • possession percentage: 63% vs 37%;
    • corner kicks: 3 vs 2;
    • fouls: 12 vs 11;
    • yellow cards: 6 vs 3;
    • shots on target: 3 vs 3.

    Arouca are struggling this season, sitting in 13th place in the standings. Their performances have been marked by inconsistency, with two wins and one loss in their last five matches. Their most recent outing ended in a narrow victory. Arouca average one goal per game, but their defense remains vulnerable, conceding an average of two goals. Their last encounter with the Lisbon side resulted in a heavy 0-6 defeat.

    Match Results: Arouca

    Last matches
    16.05.26
    Primeira Liga
    Arouca
    Arouca
    Tondela
    Tondela
    1.94
    0.79
    5
    6
    12
    12
    3
    1
    3
    1
    1
    0
    2
    1
    1.94
    0.79
    5
    6
    12
    12
    3
    1
    W
    11.05.26
    Primeira Liga
    Gil Vicente Barcelos
    Gil Vicente Barcelos
    Arouca
    Arouca
    1.02
    0.9
    6
    2
    13
    17
    2
    1
    1
    3
    0
    0
    1
    3
    1.02
    0.9
    6
    2
    13
    17
    2
    1
    W
    02.05.26
    Primeira Liga
    Arouca
    Arouca
    2
    Santa Clara Azores
    Santa Clara Azores
    1
    1.15
    1.97
    5
    6
    15
    8
    1
    3
    2
    2
    1
    1
    1
    1
    1.15
    1.97
    5
    6
    15
    8
    1
    3
    D
    24.04.26
    Primeira Liga
    Alverca
    Alverca
    Arouca
    Arouca
    0.91
    1.03
    4
    2
    8
    12
    0
    1
    2
    1
    1
    0
    1
    1
    0.91
    1.03
    4
    2
    8
    12
    0
    1
    L
    19.04.26
    Primeira Liga
    Arouca
    Arouca
    Estrela
    Estrela
    0.88
    1.35
    4
    3
    15
    11
    5
    1
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    0
    0.88
    1.35
    4
    3
    15
    11
    5
    1
    W
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    Sporting Lisbon Team Overview

    The visitors last played an official match on in the Champions League, where Sporting hosted PSG. The game ended with a 2-1 victory for PSG.

    Here's the match statistics (Sporting vs PSG):

    • possession: 25% vs 75%;
    • corners: 2 vs 10;
    • fouls: 10 vs 11;
    • yellow cards: 3 vs 1;
    • shots on target: 4 vs 6.

    Sporting, currently sitting in second place in the league standings, are showcasing impressive form with 14 wins out of 18 matches. The "Lions" continue to deliver high-level performances and remarkable scoring efficiency, averaging 2.78 goals per game. In their last five matches, the team have secured three victories and suffered one defeat, maintaining a balanced approach between attack and defense. Their style is built on powerful offense and ball control, making them a formidable opponent for any team. Sporting triumphed in their last head-to-head against Arouca with a commanding 6-0 victory, highlighting their superiority over their current adversary.

    Match Results: Sporting Lisbon

    Last matches
    24.05.26
    Taca de Portugal
    Sporting Lisbon
    Sporting Lisbon
    1
    SCU Torreense
    SCU Torreense
    -
    -
    20
    2
    16
    17
    3
    3
    1
    2
    0
    1
    1
    0
    0
    1
    -
    -
    20
    2
    16
    17
    3
    3
    L
    16.05.26
    Primeira Liga
    Sporting Lisbon
    Sporting Lisbon
    Gil Vicente Barcelos
    Gil Vicente Barcelos
    1.67
    0.88
    6
    1
    13
    14
    0
    1
    3
    0
    2
    0
    1
    0
    1.67
    0.88
    6
    1
    13
    14
    0
    1
    W
    11.05.26
    Primeira Liga
    Rio Ave
    Rio Ave
    2
    Sporting Lisbon
    Sporting Lisbon
    0.81
    1.82
    5
    6
    9
    7
    1
    2
    1
    4
    1
    2
    0
    2
    0.81
    1.82
    5
    6
    9
    7
    1
    2
    W
    04.05.26
    Primeira Liga
    Sporting Lisbon
    Sporting Lisbon
    Vitoria SC Guimaraes
    Vitoria SC Guimaraes
    4.23
    0.52
    1
    7
    7
    13
    0
    3
    5
    1
    3
    0
    2
    1
    4.23
    0.52
    1
    7
    7
    13
    0
    3
    W
    29.04.26
    Primeira Liga
    Sporting Lisbon
    Sporting Lisbon
    Tondela
    Tondela
    2.19
    1.41
    5
    5
    16
    8
    2
    3
    2
    2
    0
    0
    2
    2
    2.19
    1.41
    5
    5
    16
    8
    2
    3
    D
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    Latest news

    Arouca

    ❌ The home side have only Mateo Flores in the injury list. The central midfielder has been sidelined for quite some time and is set to miss several more matches.

    Sporting Lisbon

    🎙 Maxi Araujo showcased a new hairstyle in Sporting's historic match against PSG, and it seemed to bring him some good fortune. "All my teammates were talking about the new hairstyle, and I'm thrilled after the game because the team played an excellent match and deserved this victory through such hard fighting... Our goal was to win every game, and at home, we showed our strength. Today, I'm happy we defeated a team I consider the best in the world. We were able to capitalize on counterattacks and deservedly won!!! We simply cannot forget Suarez's second goal," said the Uruguayan.

    ❌ Sporting are dealing with several significant absences. Giovanni Cuenda and Pedro Goncalves are out of action. Osman Diomande and Fotis Ioannidis will also be unavailable. Additionally, Eduardo Quaresma is sidelined. These players had logged many minutes on the field before their injuries.

    Prediction for the 1st half

    Head-to-Head Matches:

    • Total encounters - 19;
    • First-half wins at home for hosts - 0; for visitors away - 5; number of draws - 5;
    • Average first-half total: 1.32;
    • Today's home team scores on average 0.32, while the visitors net 1.

    First-Half Stats: Arouca (home) vs Sporting Lisbon (away)

    • matches played in the tournament: 9 vs 9;
    • wins: 3 (33.33%) vs 5 (55.56%);
    • losses: 4 (44.44%) vs 1 (11.11%);
    • draws: 2 (22.22%) vs 3 (33.33%);
    • Average goals scored: 1.33 vs 1.44;
    • Average goals conceded: 0.89 vs 0.44.

    Last 10 Matches (Overall):

    • wins: 3 vs 6;
    • losses: 4 vs 0;
    • draws: 3 vs 4;
    • Average first-half total: 1.9 (scored - 0.7, conceded - 1.2) vs 1.4 (scored - 1.2, conceded - 0.2).
    Trends
    • Arouca have lost the 1st half in 5 of last 6 home games against Sporting Lisbon.
    👉Prediction: 1st Half Sporting Lisbon Win(odds: 1.6)

    Prediction on the outcome

    H2H:

    • number of encounters - 19;
    • home team wins - 1, away team wins - 16, draws - 2.

    Statistics: Arouca vs Sporting Lisbon

    • matches played in the tournament: 18 vs 18;
    • wins: 4 vs 14;
    • win percentage: 22% vs 78%;
    • losses: 9 vs 1;
    • draws: 5 vs 3.

    Last 10 matches:

    • wins: 2 vs 6;
    • losses: 6 vs 2;
    • draws: 2 vs 2.
    Trends
    • Arouca won with a +2.5 handicap in 22 of last 24 home games.
    • Arouca won with a +2.5 handicap in 21 of last 23 home games (Primeira Liga).
    • Arouca won with a +2.5 handicap in 9 of last 10 games.
    • Arouca won with a +2.5 handicap in last 6 games (Primeira Liga).
    👉Prediction: Arouca Handicap (+2.5)(odds: 1.44)

    Prediction on the over/under

    H2H

    • today's home team scores on average - 0.58, the guests - 2.21;
    • average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 2.79;
    • both teams scored: overall - 9; at the home team's field - 5.

    Statistics: Arouca vs Sporting Lisbon

    • average total in the tournament: 3.39 vs 3.28;
    • average total goals scored: 1.06 vs 2.78;
    • average total in the 1st half: 0.5 vs 1.22;
    • average total in the 2nd half: 0.56 vs 1.56;
    • Arouca: average total at home in the tournament -  1.11;
    • Sporting Lisbon: average total away in the tournament - 2.22;
    • last 10 matches (average total): 1 (home - 0.75) vs 2.6 (away - 2).
    Trends
    • Over 2.5 goals scored in last 5 Arouca games against Sporting Lisbon (Primeira Liga).
    • Over 2.5 goals scored in 8 of last 9 Sporting Lisbon games.
    👉Prediction: Total goals Over (2.5)(odds: 1.5)

    Prediction on corners

    Arouca: Statistics

    • season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 3.94; at home field - 4.56;
    • last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 3.9; at home field - 4.25.

    Sporting Lisbon: Statistics

    • season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 6.89, away - 7.89;
    • last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 5.3; away - 4.6.
    Trends
    • Arouca have taken over 2.5 corners in 8 of last 9 home games (Primeira Liga).
    • Arouca have taken over 2.5 corners in last 6 games (Primeira Liga).
    👉Prediction: Corners - Arouca Total Over (2.5)(odds: 1.82)

    Prediction on BTTS

    H2H:

    • number of encounters - 19;
    • both teams scored all-time - 9 times;
    • on the home team’s field - 5 times.

    Statistics: Arouca vs Sporting Lisbon

    • number of matches played in the tournament: 18 vs 18;
    • number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 9 vs 8;
    • number of BTTS matches for Arouca at home - 4 (44%);
    • number of BTTS matches for Sporting Lisbon away - 6 (67%).

    Last 10 matches:

    • number of BTTS matches: 5 vs 7;
    • BTTS matches for Arouca at home - 1 (25%);
    • BTTS matches for Sporting Lisbon away - 5 (100%).
    Trends
    • Sporting Lisbon have scored and conceded in last 7 away games.
    👉Prediction: Both Teams To Score (Yes)(odds: 2.1)

    Correct score prediction

    Statistics of frequent results (current season):

    • most common score in the tournament: 0:1 (18/162, 11.1%);
    • Arouca at home most often finish matches: 0:2 , 0:4 (2/9, 22.2%);
    • Sporting Lisbon away most often play: 1:1 , 1:2 , 1:4 (2/9, 22.2%).

    Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top 3 outcomes:

    0:2 - 11.85% (odds 6.5)
    0:1 - 10.43% (odds 7.5)
    1:2 - 9.92% (odds 9)

    👉Prediction: Correct Score (0:2)(odds: 6.5)

    ⭐ Editorial Prediction

    Considering current form and statistics, Sporting emerge as clear favorites in this matchup. They boast an impressive attack, averaging 2.78 goals per game, and are on a two-game winning streak. Arouca, despite average scoring, struggles defensively and suffered a heavy 0-6 defeat in their last head-to-head encounter. Given the trends and recent performances of both teams, betting on over 2.5 total goals seems a logical choice, as both sides often participate in high-scoring games.

    Our choice
    Total goals Over (2.5) at odds of -189*
    Everygame
    Bet
    *The odds are relevant for the time of publication (22 January 2026, 10:53)

    Betting Tips: Arouca - Sporting Lisbon

    Arouca have lost
    fc-aroucasporting-cpin 9 of last 10 home games against Sporting Lisbon.
    fc-aroucasporting-cpin 7 of last 8 home games against Sporting Lisbon (Primeira Liga).
    Sporting Lisbon Win
    Bovada
    -357
    Arouca have lost the 1st half
    fc-aroucasporting-cpin 5 of last 6 home games against Sporting Lisbon.
    1st Half Sporting Lisbon Win
    Bovada
    -143
    Arouca have not won
    fc-aroucasporting-cpin 18 of last 19 games against Sporting Lisbon.
    fc-aroucasporting-cpin 15 of last 16 games against Sporting Lisbon (Primeira Liga).
    fc-aroucasporting-cpin 9 of last 10 home games against Sporting Lisbon.
    fc-aroucasporting-cpin 7 of last 8 home games against Sporting Lisbon (Primeira Liga).
    fc-aroucain 7 of last 8 home games (Primeira Liga).
    Sporting Lisbon have not lost
    sporting-cpin 30 of last 31 games (Primeira Liga).
    sporting-cpin last 15 away games (Primeira Liga).
    sporting-cpin 8 of last 9 away games.
    sporting-cpin 7 of last 8 games.
    Sporting Lisbon will not lose
    Everygame
    -1429
    Arouca have conceded
    fc-aroucasporting-cpin 18 of last 19 games against Sporting Lisbon.
    fc-aroucasporting-cpin 15 of last 16 games against Sporting Lisbon (Primeira Liga).
    fc-aroucasporting-cpin 9 of last 10 home games against Sporting Lisbon.
    fc-aroucasporting-cpin 7 of last 8 home games against Sporting Lisbon (Primeira Liga).
    fc-aroucain 9 of last 10 home games (Primeira Liga).
    Sporting Lisbon have scored
    sporting-cpin 46 of last 47 games.
    sporting-cpin last 31 games (Primeira Liga).
    sporting-cpin last 23 away games.
    sporting-cpin last 15 away games (Primeira Liga).
    Sporting Lisbon will score goal
    -1667
    View more facts

    Arouca - Sporting Table position

    Liga Portugal 25/26
    gWDLGDPForm
    1.
    Porto
    Porto
    34284266-1888
    2.
    Sporting Lisbon
    Sporting Lisbon
    34257289-2482
    3.
    Benfica Lisbon
    Benfica Lisbon
    342311074-2580
    7.
    Moreirense
    Moreirense
    341271537-4943
    8.
    Arouca
    Arouca
    341261647-6442
    9.
    Vitoria SC Guimaraes
    Vitoria SC Guimaraes
    341261639-5142

    Comparison of Teams Stats

    10 matches
    5 - Wins
    1 - Draw
    4 - Loses
    Wins - 4
    Draws - 4
    Loses - 2
    10 matches
    Scored - 15
    Conceded - 12
    +3
    +9
    18 - Scored
    9 - Conceded
    5
    Wins
    4
    1
    Draws
    4
    4
    Loses
    2
    Goal difference
    15
    Scored
    18
    12
    Conceded
    9
    2.7
    Match goals average
    2.7
    1.5
    Goals scored per match on average
    1.8
    1.2
    Goals conceded per match on average
    0.9
    6
    Both teams scored
    6
    60'
    Minutes / Goal scored
    52'
    View all stats