Wolfsburg vs Holstein Kiel Prediction 24 January 2025

🔊 Will Wolfsburg make it to the European competition zone by the end of the 19th round of the Bundesliga? To achieve this, they need to defeat Holstein Kiel, one of the main contenders for relegation, and hope for Mainz to slip up. The battle is still ahead, and three points would not hurt either side. Note that the match will take place at the "Volkswagen Arena" in Wolfsburg. We will consider different options to make the prediction optimal.

📊 Head-to-Head

In a stretch of six head-to-head matches, Wolfsburg holds the advantage with four wins, one draw, and one loss. The last game took place in August during the first round of the current season. At that time, Holstein Kiel failed to score at home and conceded twice. The game was rough, with both teams receiving 11 yellow cards combined.

🟢 Wolfsburg

Wolfsburg has significantly improved under Ralph Hasenhüttl. They have genuinely become one of the contenders for European competitions. Mohamed Amoura has been particularly impressive, having made a statement last week by scoring twice against Bayern Munich. However, the "Wolves" lost (2:3). Despite the scoreline, they had almost no chance of winning as they managed to score their second goal only at the end. Notably, Wolfsburg dropped points for the first time after the league break. Before that, they defeated Hoffenheim (1:0) and crushed Borussia Mönchengladbach (5:1). In January, the club parted ways with Ridle Baku, who moved to Leipzig. However, Andreas Skov Olsen (Brugge) joined to strengthen competition in attack. Paredes, Meyer, and Rogerio have been injured for a long time. Kaminski missed the last round for the same reason.

🔵 Holstein Kiel

Holstein Kiel is in 17th place in the standings. Bochum is already pressing from below, and Heidenheim, who are in the playoff zone, are just three points away. The team went into the break in great spirits after thrashing Augsburg (5:1). In January, they have only one victory but it was against Borussia Dortmund (4:2). Holstein Kiel scored three times in the first half alone. Towards the end of the match, they were reduced to ten men but still managed to score a fourth time. In the last round, they lost to Hoffenheim (1:3) in a fairly even game. It's enough to say that there was essentially only one scoring chance in the match, and it was for Holstein. Notably, they have conceded more than any other team in the Bundesliga (46 goals). Therefore, the club is trying to strengthen its defense. David Zec (Celje) and John Tolkin (New York Red Bulls) have joined for this purpose. Holstein has several injured players. However, only Patrick Erras and Marvin Schulz are regular starters.

⚽️ Goal Prediction

Both teams approach this match with strong trends towards goals. At least three goals have been scored in 7 of Wolfsburg's last 8 matches, as well as in 11 consecutive away games for Holstein. Therefore, there is every reason to believe that the first match of the 19th round will be high-scoring. In this situation, we suggest a bet on total goals over 2.5.

🚩 Corner Prediction

The advantage in corners this season goes to Wolfsburg - 4.9 against 3.5. They also won by this measure in the first head-to-head meeting of the season (7:1). Therefore, it's worth considering a bet on home team win on corners with a handicap (-1.5).

📝 Match Prediction

The favorite for the upcoming match is Wolfsburg. In terms of goals scored, they are second only to Bayern and Bayer. Meanwhile, Holstein Kiel concedes more than any other team in the Bundesliga. Therefore, the match could very well end in a rout, for example, with a score of 4:1.

Despite Wolfsburg's prolific scoring, their defense is far from perfect, conceding an average of 1.8 goals per game. Therefore, it is highly likely that the hosts will not keep a clean sheet. In this situation, our key bet is both teams to score (Yes). Moreover, this bet has hit in 10 of Holstein's last 11 away matches.