Sunderland vs Leeds Prediction, H2H Stats & Statistical Bets 25 October 2026

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    🔊 Matchday eight of the Premier League brings us a clash between Sunderland and Leeds United. Early in the season, both sides are chasing different objectives but each is grappling with its own challenges. The hosts are desperately searching for consistency to pull away from the lower reaches of the table, while the “Peacocks” are determined to make the most out of every away fixture. The fierce rivalry between these clubs promises an uncompromising battle from the first whistle to the last.

    Tense battles with few chances created

    📊 Recent head-to-head history suggests that clashes between these sides rarely turn into goal-fests. Both teams are well aware of each other's strengths and tend to prioritise tactical discipline in their encounters. Across their last two meetings, only three goals have been scored in total.

    Head-to-head statistics Sunderland - Leeds

    33%
    8 Wins
    17%
    4 Draws
    50%
    12 Wins
    Total games
    24
    Avg. total goals
    2.08
    Both teams scored
    33%
    0.92
    Average total
    1.17
    Last matches
    30.07.26
    Premier League Summer Series
    Sunderland
    Sunderland
    Leeds United
    Leeds United
    -
    -
    5
    2
    0
    1
    0
    1
    0
    1
    0
    1
    0
    0
    -
    -
    5
    2
    0
    1
    0
    1
    03.03.26
    EPL
    Leeds United
    Leeds United
    Sunderland
    Sunderland
    1.11
    0.94
    9
    2
    15
    19
    1
    3
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    1.11
    0.94
    9
    2
    15
    19
    1
    3
    28.12.25
    EPL
    Sunderland
    Sunderland
    Leeds United
    Leeds United
    0.67
    2.6
    3
    9
    7
    9
    1
    0
    1
    1
    1
    0
    0
    1
    0.67
    2.6
    3
    9
    7
    9
    1
    0
    17.02.25
    Championship
    Leeds United
    Leeds United
    Sunderland
    Sunderland
    1.94
    0.51
    10
    0
    11
    11
    3
    6
    2
    1
    0
    1
    2
    0
    1.94
    0.51
    10
    0
    11
    11
    3
    6
    04.10.24
    Championship
    Sunderland
    Sunderland
    Leeds United
    Leeds United
    -
    -
    8
    1
    11
    16
    3
    3
    2
    2
    1
    1
    1
    1
    -
    -
    8
    1
    11
    16
    3
    3
    Empty
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    Sunderland: Banking on Character and Home Advantage

    Sunderland head into Matchweek 8 determined to put an end to their run of inconsistent results. The Black Cats traditionally draw immense energy from their loyal home support, making it a tough task for visiting sides to break down their defensive structure at the Stadium of Light. Early in the campaign, Sunderland have leaned into a gritty, physical brand of football, focusing on a congested midfield battle. In their opening three Premier League home fixtures, Sunderland have suffered two defeats (against Arsenal and City) and claimed one win (over Fulham).

    The main concern for the coaching staff remains the lack of creativity in the final third; Sunderland often struggle to break down opponents with patient, positional attacks. However, if they can impose a physical battle on Leeds all over the pitch and keep mistakes at the back to a minimum, Sunderland stand a real chance of picking up crucial points at home and moving off the bottom of the table.

    Match Results: Sunderland

    Last matches
    22.10.26
    UEL
    Lech Poznan
    Lech Poznan
    Sunderland
    Sunderland
    2.09
    2.46
    3
    6
    7
    13
    0
    1
    1
    1
    0
    1
    1
    0
    2.09
    2.46
    3
    6
    7
    13
    0
    1
    D
    18.10.26
    EPL
    Bournemouth
    Bournemouth
    Sunderland
    Sunderland
    1
    3.23
    0.08
    5
    3
    16
    7
    3
    2
    2
    0
    1
    0
    1
    0
    3.23
    0.08
    5
    3
    16
    7
    3
    2
    L
    15.10.26
    UEL
    SCU Torreense
    SCU Torreense
    Sunderland
    Sunderland
    0.06
    1.89
    2
    9
    13
    19
    1
    3
    1
    2
    1
    0
    0
    2
    0.06
    1.89
    2
    9
    13
    19
    1
    3
    W
    10.10.26
    EPL
    Sunderland
    Sunderland
    Brighton & Hove Albion
    Brighton & Hove Albion
    1
    0.97
    1
    7
    5
    8
    12
    0
    1
    0
    2
    0
    0
    0
    2
    0.97
    1
    7
    5
    8
    12
    0
    1
    L
    20.09.26
    EPL
    Manchester City
    Manchester City
    Sunderland
    Sunderland
    2.47
    2.77
    6
    5
    14
    14
    0
    1
    5
    3
    3
    2
    2
    1
    2.47
    2.77
    6
    5
    14
    14
    0
    1
    L
    Empty
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    Leeds: Favourites Status

    Leeds head into this fixture as favourites, boasting a more cohesive and well-balanced attacking unit. The Whites look to play a fluid, passing game, relying on rapid wing play and aggressive pressing immediately after losing possession-a strategy that has paid dividends on several occasions. For example, their emphatic 4-1 victory over Newcastle showcased their ability to dismantle opponents with relentless attacking football.

    However, Leeds often struggle to break down well-organised defensive blocks away from home. Their recent away record tells its own story: in their last three matches on the road across all competitions, the Whites have failed to register a single win, suffering two defeats in the process. Still, given the current form of the hosts, this could be the perfect opportunity for Leeds to end their poor run on their travels. Expect Leeds to dictate play, create a host of dangerous chances, and-if they take their opportunities-have every chance of claiming all three points.

    Match Results: Leeds United

    Last matches
    18.10.26
    EPL
    Leeds United
    Leeds United
    Manchester United
    Manchester United
    1.31
    0.86
    2
    3
    16
    5
    2
    2
    1
    1
    0
    1
    1
    0
    1.31
    0.86
    2
    3
    16
    5
    2
    2
    D
    10.10.26
    EPL
    Arsenal
    Arsenal
    Leeds United
    Leeds United
    2.26
    0.75
    3
    4
    12
    20
    1
    4
    2
    1
    0
    0
    2
    1
    2.26
    0.75
    3
    4
    12
    20
    1
    4
    L
    20.09.26
    EPL
    Leeds United
    Leeds United
    Crystal Palace
    Crystal Palace
    1.35
    0.88
    4
    3
    10
    11
    2
    3
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    1.35
    0.88
    4
    3
    10
    11
    2
    3
    D
    14.09.26
    EPL
    Leeds United
    Leeds United
    Newcastle United
    Newcastle United
    1.96
    0.77
    5
    5
    8
    13
    1
    2
    4
    1
    3
    0
    1
    1
    1.96
    0.77
    5
    5
    8
    13
    1
    2
    W
    09.09.26
    EFL Cup
    Chelsea
    Chelsea
    Leeds United
    Leeds United
    2.38
    2.44
    3
    5
    6
    10
    1
    0
    6
    3
    0
    1
    6
    2
    2.38
    2.44
    3
    5
    6
    10
    1
    0
    L
    Empty
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    Latest news

    Sunderland

    ❓ Wilson Isidor has been sidelined for the past week, and it remains unclear whether he will feature this weekend. Thomas Meunier missed Sunderland’s recent matches due to a muscle injury, and his availability is still in doubt. Daniel Ballard is expected to return soon, but there is no definitive update at this time.

    ❌ Romaine Mundle is still working his way back from a serious injury. Kevin Danso is ruled out of the clash through suspension.

    Leeds United

    ❓ Daniel James has returned to training, but his availability remains uncertain. Anton Stach and Noah Okafor are both doubts for the match due to adductor issues. Dominic Calvert-Lewin is also questionable for Sunday’s clash after suffering a foot contusion.

    ❌ Joe Rodon remains sidelined and will not feature against the Black Cats, despite making progress in his recovery.

    ⚽ Goals Prediction

    Given Sunderland’s cautious approach at home and the historical trend in their head-to-head clashes, an open game from the outset seems unlikely. Both sides are expected to prioritize defensive solidity and limit risks at the back. With plenty at stake for each club, this fixture is unlikely to turn into a high-scoring affair. The prediction is under 2.5 goals, with odds at 1.73*.

    🚩 Corner Kicks Prediction

    Leeds are expected to control possession and make frequent use of the flanks, which should result in blocked crosses and clearances for corners. Sunderland will look to earn their set-pieces through physical battles and the occasional counter-attack. In recent away fixtures, Leeds consistently outnumber their opponents in corners. The prediction: over 8.5 total corners at 1.58*.

    🟨 Yellow Cards Prediction

    Both teams are known for their aggressive pressing and ball-winning approach. Expect a fierce midfield battle, with frequent tactical fouls and disrupted attacks from both sides. The hosts will likely be forced into more fouls to contain the visitors’ attacking threats. Leeds have consistently picked up a high number of bookings in recent matches. Our prediction: over 3.5 total yellow cards at odds of 1.46*.

    *Odds are approximate and may vary across different bookmakers.

    ⭐️ Editorial Prediction

    We’re expecting a tough, tactical battle with plenty of physical duels in midfield. Leeds are likely to dominate possession, while Sunderland will set up a solid defensive line. In matches like this, a single moment of quality often proves decisive-and the “Whites” have just a bit more class in the final third, which should be enough for a narrow win on the road. Sunderland’s recent results speak for themselves, and it’s hard to see them toppling a top-seven opponent. We believe Leeds have every chance to take all three points. The main prediction: Leeds to win. Predicted scoreline: 0-1.

    Leeds United to Win
    Thunderpick
    Place a bet+156
    Published: 24/10/2026, 07:42
    Daniil Shilovich
    Daniil Shilovich
    Football expert
    76
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    139 predictions
    Statistics for October 2026

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    Betting Tips: Sunderland - Leeds United

    Sunderland have drawn in the 1st half:
    sunderland-afc-1in last 5 home games.
    1st Half Draw
    Bovada
    +120
    Leeds United have not won:
    leeds-unitedin 17 of last 19 away games (Premier League).
    Sunderland will not lose
    Thunderpick
    -179
    Under 3.5 goals scored:
    sunderland-afc-1in 12 of last 13 Sunderland games.
    sunderland-afc-1in 7 of last 8 Sunderland games (Premier League).
    sunderland-afc-1in last 5 Sunderland home games (Premier League).
    leeds-unitedin 9 of last 10 Leeds United games (Premier League).
    leeds-unitedin 8 of last 9 Leeds United away games (Premier League).
    leeds-unitedin 6 of last 7 Leeds United away games.
    Total goals Under (3,5)
    Everygame
    -400
    Sunderland have conceded:
    sunderland-afc-1in 8 of last 9 games (Premier League).
    Leeds United have scored:
    leeds-unitedin 11 of last 12 games.
    leeds-unitedin 9 of last 10 away games.
    Leeds United will score goal
    Everygame
    -357
    View more facts

    Comparison of Teams Stats

    10 matches
    4 - Wins
    2 - Draws
    4 - Losses
    Wins - 4
    Draws - 4
    Losses - 2
    10 matches
    Scored - 10
    Conceded - 14
    -4
    +4
    18 - Scored
    14 - Conceded
    4
    Wins
    4
    2
    Draws
    4
    4
    Losses
    2
    Goal difference
    10
    Scored
    18
    14
    Conceded
    14
    2.4
    Average total per match
    3.2
    1
    Goals scored per match on average
    1.8
    1.4
    Goals conceded per match on average
    1.4
    4
    Both teams scored
    7
    90'
    Minutes / Goal scored
    50'
    View all stats