Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Shimizu Prediction, H2H Stats & Statistical Bets 24 October 2026
🔉 Sanfrecce Hiroshima come into this match in strong form - they have won four of their last five games and remain near the top of the table. Shimizu, by contrast, have been alternating between wins and defeats in recent rounds, which is reflected in their mid-table position in J1 League. The contrast between the hosts' consistency and the visitors' inconsistency could be the defining factor in this match.
Sanfrecce Hiroshima are unbeaten at home in their last four matches.
The last J.League 1 meeting between Sanfrecce Hiroshima and Shimizu took place on 11 April 2026 and ended 1-1. Sanfrecce Hiroshima had a notably greater share of the shooting, with 22 attempts to 7, including 6 on target to 2.
📊 Across 43 official meetings, Sanfrecce Hiroshima have the upper hand: 21 wins to Shimizu's 12, with 10 draws. The goal record also favours Hiroshima - 71:48.
Head-to-head statistics Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Shimizu
Sanfrecce Hiroshima lose their grip on the top spot in the league
In their last J1 League match on 21 October 2026, Sanfrecce Hiroshima lost 0-4 away to Varen Nagasaki. The defeat is a particularly stark contrast to their 74% possession, 18 shots and ten corners: only two of those shots were on target, while the opposition scored with all four of theirs.
Sanfrecce Hiroshima are firmly established in the upper reaches of the table on the back of consistent results: eight wins from their last ten matches, averaging 2.4 goals scored and just 0.8 conceded per game over that run. In their last five matches they won four in a row before their most recent defeat, showing strong attacking output at home. Their defence adds to the picture - the hosts have kept clean sheets in six consecutive matches, and a run of home wins against a -1.5 handicap underlines their strength on their own ground.
Match Results: Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Shimizu: the weakest attack among the J1 League’s top 15 sides
In their previous J1 League match on 21 October 2026, Shimizu suffered a 5-0 home defeat to Machida Zelvia. The attacking statistics reflect the scoreline: 6 shots to 25, and just 0.16 expected goals against 3.45 for the visitors.
Shimizu have been less consistent, winning only five of their ten matches, with three defeats and two draws. They average 1.4 goals per game with a relatively vulnerable defence that has conceded 1.6 per game. In their last five matches, the visitors won twice but also suffered three defeats, including two in a row going into this round. Despite having scored in all nine of their previous games, the team's overall balance remains closer to the league average.
Match Results: Shimizu S Pulse
Match Result Prediction
Sanfrecce Hiroshima are a strong force at home: they have won 8 of their last 9 home matches, and that trend is reflected in their current season record, where they are unbeaten at home (4 wins, 1 draw). The odds on a home win are 1.40*.
High-Risk Bet
Sanfrecce Hiroshima have scored more than 2.5 goals at home in five consecutive matches, pointing to impressive home scoring form. Over their last 10 home matches, they have averaged four goals, and across the season their home average stands at 3.2 goals. In head-to-head meetings against Shimizu, however, such figures are less common, which creates something of a conflict. That said, the hosts' current form makes Sanfrecce Hiroshima Team Total - Over 2.5 worth considering at odds of 2.32*.
Correct Score Prediction
According to the algorithm, the most likely scorelines are 2:0 (10.72%), 1:0 (9.92%) and 2:1 (9.68%). These three outcomes have the highest probabilities of all possible scorelines. The most expected result is a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win by a two-goal margin.
*Odds are indicative and may vary across different bookmakers.*
⭐ Editor's Prediction
Sanfrecce Hiroshima's confidence is built not only on their attacking output at home but also on defensive solidity - they have conceded more than one goal in none of their last six home matches. Shimizu's away form has alternated between wins and defeats, with no clear trend of picking up points. Having lost away in their last outing, Sanfrecce Hiroshima will be looking for a win, particularly on home soil. Given their strong attacking numbers, we're backing Sanfrecce Hiroshima Team Total - Over 2.
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Betting Tips: Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Shimizu S Pulse
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