Portsmouth vs Millwall Prediction, H2H Stats & Statistical Bets 24 October 2026
🔊 Portsmouth and Millwall go into this match level on points after eleven rounds. Both sides sit in mid-table and retain a theoretical chance of pushing for promotion, though they are seven points off the top. Neither team has managed a consistent winning run over the last five rounds, which underlines the balance between them and the absence of a clear favourite. How the match unfolds will largely depend on the recent form of both sides and their ability to deal with defensive errors.
Millwall win more often
Portsmouth beat Millwall 3-1 away in a Championship match. The first half ended goalless, with all four goals coming in the second half, though Millwall had the edge in dangerous attacks - 25 to 13.
📊 In six official meetings, Millwall have won four times and Portsmouth twice, with no draws. Both sides have scored the same number of goals - eight each.
Head-to-head statistics Portsmouth - Millwall
Portsmouth: Struggling for Consistency
Portsmouth's most recent Championship match ended in a 1-1 draw away at Wolverhampton. The hosts had the better of the shooting - 15 attempts to 8 - and outperformed their opponents in expected goals: 1.04 to 0.43.
Portsmouth have been inconsistent over their last five matches, picking up two wins, one draw and two defeats. Across their last ten games, they have won four, lost three and drawn three. Their average of 1.3 goals scored and 1.1 conceded per game over that period points to a balanced attack without any particular prolificacy, and a reasonably solid defence by the standards of the division. Portsmouth's stated aim is promotion, but their current motivation is rated as low due to a sizeable gap to the leaders at this early stage of the season.
Match Results: Portsmouth
Millwall: the side often concede
Trailing Lincoln City 0-2 at home at half-time, Millwall came back to draw 2-2 in their last Championship match. The hosts had twice as many shots as their opponents - 18 to 9 - and led the corner count 12-2.
Millwall show similar numbers: two draws, one win and two defeats in their last five matches confirm a lack of consistency over the short term. Across their last ten games, they have managed just two wins alongside five defeats and three draws, and the underlying figures point to a high level of risk - they are scoring 1.3 goals per game but conceding 1.9, which suggests defensive problems regardless of the opposition. Their motivation in the table is also limited, with seven points separating them from the automatic promotion places.
Match Results: Millwall
Corners Prediction
Millwall have taken fewer than 5.5 corners in 7 of their last 8 matches, which points to a clear trend towards a low corner count. Given the consistency of that run, a bet on Millwall Team Total Corners - Under 5.5 at odds of 1.56* looks justified.
Reliable Bet
Millwall have scored fewer than 2.5 goals in 9 of their last 10 matches, which supports a consistent trend of low scoring from the visitors. Their average of 1.4 goals per away match this season reinforces that picture. The bet on Millwall Team Total - Under 2.5 Goals at odds of 1.1* looks very reliable.
Correct Score Prediction
Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm identifies three most likely scores for this match: 1-1 (12.04%), 2-1 (7.86%) and 1-0 (7.57%). The 1-1 draw is the most probable outcome, though the gap between the top three options is fairly moderate. All three scores fall within a low-to-medium scoring scenario.
*Odds are approximate and may vary across different bookmakers.
⭐ Editor's Prediction
Neither side is in particularly good form: both Portsmouth and Millwall have struggled to win consistently, even against the backdrop of modest ambitions early in the season. That said, Millwall have a strong away record - the visitors have avoided defeat in fifteen of their last seventeen away Championship matches, which supports this particular outcome regardless of fluctuations in current form or how many goals they have been conceding on the road lately. The editor's main prediction is Millwall not to lose. Predicted score: 1-1.
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Betting Tips: Portsmouth - Millwall
in 15 of last 17 away games.in 13 of last 15 away games (Championship).
in 9 of last 10 games.in 8 of last 9 home games (Championship).in last 7 away games.Comparison of Teams Stats
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