Necaxa vs Juarez Prediction, H2H Stats & Statistical Bets 24 October 2026
🔊 Necaxa and Juárez meet at the midpoint of the season with both sides sitting in the lower reaches of the table and no real pressure on either team. Both are struggling for results: the hosts have gone 11 matches without a win, while the visitors have lost all eight of their last away games. Against that backdrop, the defensive numbers stand out - both sides regularly concede more than two goals per game on average this season.
Necaxa vs Juárez: Where to Find the Goals
15 February 2026 Necaxa beat Juárez away in Liga MX, 2-1. Despite equal possession, Juárez had more shots (15-11) and a higher xG (1.22 vs 0.7), but the visitors took the win.
Across 14 official meetings, Necaxa have won five, Juárez three, with six draws. On Necaxa's ground the record is more one-sided: four wins and three draws from seven matches, with no defeats.
Head-to-head statistics Necaxa - Juarez
Necaxa: ten matches without a win
Necaxa lost their last Liga MX match away to Guadalajara, going down 1-0 (21 October 2026). The visitors edged the hosts in shots (11-10) and xG (0.75 to 0.53), with the only goal coming after the break.
Necaxa are going through a difficult spell: they have won just two of their last 13 matches and have gone five games without a win. Over their last ten matches, they have not won once, losing seven and drawing three. They are averaging one goal scored per match and 2.1 conceded over that same run. Playing at home has offered no advantage - their winless run there has stretched to eleven matches in a row.
Match Results: Necaxa
What’s behind Juárez’s disappointing season
In their previous Liga MX home match, Juárez lost 0-1 to Atlante (21 October 2026). The hosts had 61% possession but managed only one shot on target compared to three for their opponents, and the score was level at half-time.
Juárez are bottom of the table and having an even more difficult season: just one win in thirteen rounds, and they have lost eight consecutive away matches. In their last ten games, Juárez are averaging 0.7 goals scored per match but conceding heavily - an average of 2.5 goals against. Even with the occasional attacking spell, their defence has been the most problematic area throughout the season.
Match Results: Juarez
Total Goals Prediction
In 12 of the last 14 head-to-head meetings between Necaxa and Juárez, the total goals have come in under 3.5, pointing to a consistent low-scoring pattern in this fixture. On top of that, 13 of Necaxa's last 15 matches have also seen fewer than 4.5 goals, and both sides' average scoring rates this season are modest: Necaxa are averaging 1.15 goals per match, Juárez just 0.62. All of this supports a low-scoring outcome. We're backing Total Goals - Under 3.5 at 1.53*.
Corners Prediction
In 6 of the last 7 head-to-head meetings between Necaxa and Juárez, fewer than 9.5 corners were taken, which points to a consistent tendency towards low corner counts in their matches. Given that run, the pick is Total Corners - Under 9.5 at odds of 2.00*.
Both Teams to Score Prediction
In 6 of their last 7 head-to-head meetings, both Necaxa and Juárez have scored, which points to a certain tendency for goals to be exchanged in their matches. However, the season statistics tell a different story - Juárez have a weak attack (0.62 goals per game), and Necaxa average just 0.8 goals per game in their last 10 home matches. Despite these contradictions, the clear head-to-head trend makes Both Teams to Score - Yes worth considering at 1.57*.
Correct Score Prediction
Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm identifies three most likely scorelines: 1-1 (10.02%), 2-1 (9.34%) and 2-0 (7.58%). Of these, the draw at 1-1 has the highest probability. All three outcomes are fairly close in likelihood, which points to a closely contested match.
*Odds are indicative and may vary depending on the bookmaker.
⭐ Editor's Prediction
The shape of this match is defined by the defensive frailty of both sides: Juárez regularly concede two or three goals even in lower-stakes fixtures, while Necaxa are also prone to errors at the back despite facing limited attacking threat from their opponents. With neither side particularly motivated, teams in this position tend to play openly and create chances at both ends even against sides close to them in the table. The editor's main prediction is Total Goals - Over 2.5.
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Betting Tips: Necaxa - Juarez
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