Moquegua vs Alianza Lima Prediction, H2H Stats & Statistical Bets 25 October 2026
🔊 Apertura champions Alianza Lima travel to face Moquegua, who are still fighting to avoid relegation in the Primera División. The hosts are going through a rough patch and have struggled to pick up points, while the visitors look far more confident. Alianza have lost only twice in their last ten matches, whereas Moquegua have suffered six defeats over the same period. Both sides, however, have shown vulnerabilities at the back. Alianza’s away games are particularly notable, with recent fixtures frequently featuring goals at both ends.
The only win for Alianza
📊 The official head-to-head history features just one encounter: Alianza Lima edged out Moquegua 2-1 at home. The sides have yet to face each other on Moquegua’s turf.
Head-to-head statistics Moquegua - Alianza Lima
Moquegua: six defeats in their last 10 matches
Moquegua secured a 1-0 away win over UT Cajamarca in their most recent Primera fixture. Their only shot on target proved decisive, as the hosts dominated possession with 67% of the ball and registered 15 attempts compared to Moquegua’s eight.
Moquegua are enduring a rough patch, managing just two wins alongside six defeats and two draws in their last 10 outings. The recent run is particularly concerning, with four losses in their previous five matches. Their attack has struggled to make an impact, averaging only 0.6 goals per game, while defensive lapses have seen them concede 1.7 goals per match over the same period. Even home advantage has offered little comfort, as Moquegua rarely pick up points on their own turf, making their fight for survival in the Primera even more challenging.
Match Results: Moquegua
Alianza Lima: Consistent Performances
After a level first half, Alianza Lima pulled away to secure a 3-1 home victory over Atlético Grau in the Primera. In their most recent outing, Alianza dominated the shot count, outshooting their opponents 18 to 8, with seven of the hosts' efforts being blocked.
Alianza Lima clinched the Apertura title and remain in the hunt for top spots as the second half of the season unfolds. Over their last 10 matches, the side have picked up five wins, three draws, and suffered two defeats. During this stretch, they average 1.5 goals scored and concede 0.9 per game. Their season-long stats are even more impressive, with 1.69 goals scored and just 0.69 allowed per match. However, both teams have found the net in each of Alianza’s last six away fixtures, highlighting some defensive vulnerabilities on the road.
Match Results: Alianza Lima
Match Result Prediction
Alianza Lima have outperformed their opponents this season, racking up 18 wins and only three defeats in 29 matches. They have also shown strong form on the road, suffering just one loss in 14 away games. Moquegua, by contrast, have endured a tough campaign with 15 league defeats, including six losses in their last 10 outings. The visitors’ solid defence remains a key advantage, conceding an average of just 0.71 goals per away fixture. Prediction: Alianza Lima to win at odds of 1.57*.
Safer Bet
In their last 24 away fixtures, Alianza Lima have never scored more than two goals in a single match. The visitors average just 1.07 goals per game on the road, and even when facing weaker opposition, they rarely manage to dominate through attacking play. While Moquegua have their own defensive issues, Alianza's track record still points to a modest attacking output here. Our pick: Alianza Lima individual total under 2.5 goals at 1.29*.
*Odds are approximate and may vary across different bookmakers.
Correct Score Prediction
According to the algorithm, the most likely outcomes for this match are 0-1 (14.02%), 0-2 (11.71%), and 1-1 (10.79%). The 0-1 scoreline carries the highest probability, though the other two scenarios are close behind. This suggests a low-scoring affair, with the visitors holding a slight edge.
⭐ Editorial Prediction
Alianza Lima are clearly the stronger side, but their away form often leaves their defense exposed. Both teams have found the net in each of Alianza’s last six matches on the road. Despite a poor run of results, Moquegua have the tools to exploit the visitors’ defensive lapses at least once. Meanwhile, Alianza’s attacking quality should be enough to break through, even against a cautious opponent. Predicted scoreline: 2-1 in favor of Alianza Lima. Main bet: both teams to score.
Will this prediction come true?
No comments
Betting Tips: Moquegua - Alianza Lima
in 6 of last 7 games.in 5 of last 6 away games (Primera Division).in 4 of last 5 away games.
in 6 of last 7 games.in last 5 games (Primera Division).in 7 of last 8 away games.Comparison of Teams Stats
Other predictions
