Ferencvarosi vs MTK Prediction, H2H Stats & Statistical Bets 25 October 2026
🔊 Ferencváros have become a very draw-prone side in the Hungarian league, sharing the spoils four times in a row. They have dropped points against both direct title rivals and bottom-half clubs. To stay in the championship race, they need to put things right quickly - they are already four points behind the leaders, even accounting for their game in hand. The opponents are a convenient one: MTK have not beaten Ferencváros in ten consecutive matches.
MTK have not managed to secure a win since 2022
📊 In the previous league meeting on 23 February 2026, Ferencváros beat MTK away from home 3-1. The visitors had 16 shots to seven and put six on target, while MTK managed just one.
Ferencváros have a clear head-to-head advantage over MTK: 25 wins from 43 meetings, with eight defeats and ten draws. The gap is particularly pronounced at Ferencváros's ground, where they have won 14 of 20 matches while MTK have won just twice.
Head-to-head statistics Ferencvarosi - MTK
The most peaceful team
After drawing 1-1 at half-time, Ferencváros went on to beat Portuguese side Torreense 4-1 at home in their last Europa League match on . The hosts significantly outperformed their opponents in dangerous attacks - 65 to 23 - and shots from inside the box - 13 to six.
Ferencváros have been picking up points consistently, but a caveat is needed - the side have drawn four matches in a row. They have dropped points not only against direct rivals such as Újpest (2-2) and Debrecen (1-1), but also against bottom-of-the-table Nyíregyháza (1-1). Even with a relatively high average of 2.6 goals scored per game over their last ten matches, those recent results show the kind of stubborn opposition that the Hungarian side in the Europa League simply cannot seem to overcome. Defensively, Ferencváros look solid, conceding fewer than one goal per game on average over their last ten matches.
Match Results: Ferencvarosi
MTK are searching for consistency
In their previous league match on , MTK beat Vasas 1-0 at home, holding on to the lead they had built in the first half. Vasas had the better of the possession - 61% to 39% - and also had more shots, 17 to 14.
MTK are far from consistent: the side have been alternating between wins, draws and defeats, and they have not won two matches in a row at any point this season. That is a concerning record given that they won their last match. With an average of 1.5 goals scored per game, their defence has also been unreliable - 1.7 goals conceded per game points to vulnerability against the league's stronger sides. Their motivation is high, however, with just three points separating them from the relegation zone.
Match Results: MTK Budapest
Prediction for the 1st half
In 9 of their last 10 head-to-head meetings, Ferencváros scored in the first half, pointing to a consistently active start in matches against MTK. Ferencváros have also averaged 2.25 goals per game in their last 10 home matches, which further speaks to their scoring output from the off. Given this consistent trend, Ferencváros to Score in the First Half at 1.38 looks justified.
Total Goals Prediction
In 8 of the last 9 head-to-head meetings at Ferencváros's ground, MTK have not scored more than one goal, which reflects a consistent pattern of low scoring by the visitors in these fixtures. This season's statistics also point to moderate output from MTK away from home: an average of 1.5 goals per match, and 1.6 across their last 10 away games. Given the stable trend and odds of 1.3, a bet on MTK Team Total - Under 1.5 looks justified.
Both Teams to Score Prediction
In 9 of their last 10 head-to-head meetings, both teams have scored, which points to a pattern of regular goal exchanges between Ferencváros and MTK. Both sides score and concede consistently: Ferencváros's average of goals per match over their last 10 games is 2.6, while MTK's is 1.5. These figures support a both-teams-to-score outcome. The odds on Both Teams to Score - Yes are 1.54.
High-Risk Bet
MTK have gone unbeaten in 9 of their last 10 away matches, which points to solid form on the road. Ferencváros, however, are also consistently unbeaten at home in head-to-head meetings. Despite a certain tension between these two trends, MTK's away run makes MTK not to lose at 2.77 an interesting if risky option.
Safer Bet
MTK have lost by more than two goals in only 2 of their last 15 away head-to-head meetings with Ferencváros. That resilience is supported by their current numbers: MTK concede an average of 2.25 goals away from home, but rarely lose by a heavy margin. MTK Handicap +2.5 at 1.33 looks like the most reliable option for this match.
*Odds are indicative and may vary across different bookmakers.
Correct Score Prediction
According to the algorithm, the most likely scorelines are 2-1 (10.37%), 1-1 (8.79%) and 2-0 (8.71%). Of these, 2-1 has the highest probability, though the gap between the top three is fairly small, which reflects a moderate level of predictability for this result.
⭐ Editor's Prediction
Ferencváros are in the thick of a busy European schedule and return to the domestic league each weekend with some anxiety. Their run of draws is a real concern for the hosts. That is why I see Ferencváros trying to make themselves safe from dropping points as early as the first half as the most likely scenario. A fifth consecutive draw is not out of the question, but my main selection is a Ferencváros win at half-time. That bet has come in in 6 of the last 7 head-to-head meetings between these sides in the top flight.
Will this prediction come true?
No comments
Betting Tips: Ferencvarosi - MTK Budapest
in last 4 games (Premier league).in 8 of last 10 away games.
in 6 of last 7 games against Ferencvarosi (Premier league)..svg)
in 9 of last 10 away games.in 8 of last 9 away games (Premier league).in 20 of last 21 games against MTK Budapest.in 19 of last 20 games against MTK Budapest (Premier league).in 16 of last 17 home games against MTK Budapest (Premier league).in 15 of last 16 home games against MTK Budapest.in 24 of last 25 games.in last 19 home games.in last 9 home games (Premier league).in last 8 games (Premier league).in 16 of last 17 away games (Premier league).in 10 of last 11 away games.
Comparison of Teams Stats
Other predictions
