Maldonado vs Danubio Prediction, H2H Stats & Statistical Bets 24 October 2026
🔊 Deportivo Maldonado go into round 12 on the back of a good home winning run. Danubio sit twelfth in the table with nothing to play for. The main contrast is between the hosts' attacking output and the visitors' more modest numbers: Deportivo Maldonado consistently outscore their opponents, while Danubio tend to sit back, particularly away from home.
Danubio hold a slight edge in terms of victories.
Deportivo Maldonado beat Danubio in the Primera División 3-1, leading 2-0 at half-time. In that match on 18 May 2026, both teams created an equal number of dangerous attacks - 53 each - but the hosts were more accurate, registering 8 shots on target to Danubio's 4.
A draw is the most common result in meetings between Deportivo Maldonado and Danubio, occurring six times in 11 matches. Danubio have a slight edge in wins at 3-2, though both of Deportivo Maldonado's victories came at home.
Head-to-head statistics Maldonado - Danubio
What can we expect from Deportivo Maldonado going forward?
In their previous Primera División match, away to Nacional Montevideo, Deportivo Maldonado lost 2-3 despite having more possession and creating more dangerous attacks - 78 to 57. The match took place 19 October 2026; the visitors had 11 corners but managed only five shots, while the hosts had nine.
Deportivo Maldonado are in strong form, winning four and drawing one of their last five matches. Across their last ten games they have won seven and lost just twice, with a high-scoring record - averaging 2.2 goals scored per game and only 0.8 conceded. Over the season that figure is slightly lower at 1.59 goals scored per game, though the attacking trend is consistent: they have scored at least two goals in six of their last seven matches.
Match Results: Deportivo Maldonado
Danubio: attack and defense are evenly matched
Danubio's last home Primera match ended in a 1-0 win over Central Español on 18 October 2026. The hosts were outplayed in dangerous attacks - 52 against 77 - but had twice as many shots on target: 4-2.
Danubio are having a less convincing season and come into this match without any pressing need for points - they sit twelfth, mid-table. Their form has been mixed: three wins, four defeats and three draws from their last ten matches, with an average of 1.2 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game. The contrast between the two sides' situations is reinforced by their form: the hosts look more consistent and win more often, while the visitors have been struggling for an extended period.
Match Results: Danubio
Corners Prediction
Deportivo Maldonado have had fewer than 4.5 corners at home in six consecutive matches, which reflects a consistent trend of low corner counts on their own ground. Higher lines in this market have no statistical backing, so a bet on Deportivo Maldonado Team Corners - Under 4.5 at 2.04* looks justified.
Safer Bet
Danubio have scored under 1.5 goals in 10 of their last 11 matches, which confirms their limited attacking output over an extended period. Their average goals scored per match this season is just 0.81, and away from home that figure drops even further to 0.63. With numbers like these, Danubio Team Total - Under 1.5 Goals at 1.25* looks very reliable.
Correct Score Prediction
Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm identifies three most likely scorelines for the match: 1-1 (12.59%), 1-0 (12.3%) and 2-0 (9.68%). All three are close in probability, though 1-1 stands out as the most likely outcome. These options reflect an expectation of low to moderate scoring in the upcoming match.
*Odds are indicative and may vary depending on the bookmaker.
⭐ Editorial Prediction
Deportivo Maldonado's numbers highlight the strength of their attack - the team regularly creates chances in front of goal regardless of the occasion or the pressure of the scoreline. The trend towards their team total going over 1.5 goals is supported by their recent form and a high average goals tally both at home and across the season as a whole. The main prediction is Deportivo Maldonado Team Total - Over 1.5.
Will this prediction come true?
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Betting Tips: Deportivo Maldonado - Danubio
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