Chernomorets vs Karpaty Prediction, H2H Stats & Statistical Bets 25 October 2026

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Key points

    🔊 The clash between Chornomorets and Karpaty comes amid a stark contrast in both form and league position. Chornomorets find themselves in the relegation zone, driven by the urgent need to secure their top-flight status, yet their recent results have been disappointing. Karpaty Lviv, meanwhile, sit higher up the table and are eyeing a push for European qualification.

    Karpaty struggle on the road against Chornomorets

    Karpaty Lviv cruised to a commanding 4-0 victory over Chornomorets in their Premier League clash on 30 March 2025. The hosts took a 2-0 lead into halftime and didn’t allow their opponents a single shot on target throughout the match.

    Karpaty Lviv have claimed 11 wins in their 32 official meetings with Chornomorets, who have come out on top 7 times, while 14 matches have ended in draws. Notably, Chornomorets have suffered just two defeats in 14 home fixtures against Karpaty.

    Head-to-head statistics Chernomorets - Karpaty

    22%
    7 Wins
    44%
    14 Draws
    34%
    11 Wins
    Total games
    32
    Avg. total goals
    2.09
    Both teams scored
    38%
    0.81
    Average total
    1.28
    Last matches
    30.03.25
    Premier League
    Karpaty Lviv
    Karpaty Lviv
    Chernomorets
    Chernomorets
    0
    0
    4
    5
    0
    0
    1
    1
    4
    0
    2
    0
    2
    0
    0
    0
    4
    5
    0
    0
    1
    1
    21.09.24
    Premier League
    Chernomorets
    Chernomorets
    Karpaty Lviv
    Karpaty Lviv
    1
    -
    -
    -
    -
    -
    -
    4
    2
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    -
    -
    -
    -
    -
    -
    4
    2
    21.08.24
    Ukraine Cup
    Karpaty Lviv
    Karpaty Lviv
    Chernomorets
    Chernomorets
    -
    -
    -
    -
    -
    -
    -
    -
    3
    0
    2
    0
    1
    0
    -
    -
    -
    -
    -
    -
    -
    -
    21.05.19
    Premier League
    Chernomorets
    Chernomorets
    Karpaty Lviv
    Karpaty Lviv
    -
    -
    -
    -
    20
    20
    0
    1
    3
    1
    1
    0
    2
    1
    -
    -
    -
    -
    20
    20
    0
    1
    23.04.19
    Premier League
    Karpaty Lviv
    Karpaty Lviv
    Chernomorets
    Chernomorets
    -
    -
    -
    -
    15
    16
    2
    3
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    -
    -
    -
    -
    15
    16
    2
    3
    Empty
    There are no events
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    Chornomorets struggle to find the back of the net

    Chornomorets suffered a 2-1 defeat away to Zorya in their most recent Premier League fixture on . After a balanced first half that ended 1-1, the visitors failed to find the net again, managing just one shot on target throughout the match, while Zorya registered five.

    Chornomorets are going through a tough spell, with just one win and five defeats from their last eight league fixtures. Their recent form is equally concerning-three losses and two draws in the previous five matches. Over their last ten games, Chornomorets average only 0.6 goals per match while conceding 1.2, highlighting one of the least effective attacks in the league. The current league table puts the hosts under pressure, as they sit dangerously close to the automatic relegation zone.

    Match Results: Chernomorets

    Last matches
    17.10.26
    Premier League
    Zorya Lugansk
    Zorya Lugansk
    Chernomorets
    Chernomorets
    -
    -
    11
    2
    -
    -
    4
    2
    2
    1
    1
    1
    1
    0
    -
    -
    11
    2
    -
    -
    4
    2
    L
    10.10.26
    Premier League
    Chernomorets
    Chernomorets
    1
    FC Kharkiv
    FC Kharkiv
    -
    -
    1
    8
    -
    -
    0
    2
    1
    2
    0
    1
    1
    1
    -
    -
    1
    8
    -
    -
    0
    2
    L
    18.09.26
    Premier League
    Chernomorets
    Chernomorets
    Obolon Kiev
    Obolon Kiev
    -
    -
    7
    4
    -
    -
    6
    6
    1
    1
    1
    0
    0
    1
    -
    -
    7
    4
    -
    -
    6
    6
    D
    14.09.26
    Premier League
    Shakhtar Donetsk
    Shakhtar Donetsk
    Chernomorets
    Chernomorets
    -
    -
    1
    3
    6
    10
    0
    2
    2
    0
    2
    0
    0
    0
    -
    -
    1
    3
    6
    10
    0
    2
    L
    04.09.26
    Premier League
    Chernomorets
    Chernomorets
    Levy Bereg Kiev
    Levy Bereg Kiev
    -
    -
    3
    3
    -
    -
    1
    1
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    -
    -
    3
    3
    -
    -
    1
    1
    D
    Empty
    There are no events
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    Karpaty are clearly the more consistent side

    In their previous Premier League fixture on , Karpaty Lviv played out a 2-2 draw at home against Epicentr, having trailed 1-2 at half-time. The hosts dominated possession (67% to 33%) and registered more shots on target (9 to 6), but ultimately couldn’t secure the win.

    Karpaty are enjoying a notably confident campaign this season, recording four wins, three draws, and just two defeats after nine rounds. Over their last five matches, the visitors have picked up two victories, one draw, and suffered only one loss, underlining their consistency. They average 1.8 goals scored per game while conceding just 0.9 on average. However, with a significant six-point gap separating them from the European spots, Karpaty cannot afford to ease up.

    Match Results: Karpaty Lviv

    Last matches
    18.10.26
    Premier League
    Karpaty Lviv
    Karpaty Lviv
    Epitsentr
    Epitsentr
    -
    -
    7
    1
    7
    10
    1
    2
    2
    2
    1
    2
    1
    0
    -
    -
    7
    1
    7
    10
    1
    2
    D
    11.10.26
    Premier League
    Dynamo Kiev
    Dynamo Kiev
    Karpaty Lviv
    Karpaty Lviv
    1
    -
    -
    6
    7
    9
    13
    3
    4
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    0
    -
    -
    6
    7
    9
    13
    3
    4
    L
    03.10.26
    Club Friendlies
    Mechelen
    Mechelen
    1
    Karpaty Lviv
    Karpaty Lviv
    -
    -
    4
    1
    -
    -
    0
    2
    2
    3
    0
    1
    2
    2
    -
    -
    4
    1
    -
    -
    0
    2
    W
    20.09.26
    Premier League
    Karpaty Lviv
    Karpaty Lviv
    1
    Veres
    Veres
    -
    -
    0
    7
    11
    11
    3
    3
    1
    1
    1
    0
    0
    1
    -
    -
    0
    7
    11
    11
    3
    3
    D
    16.09.26
    Ukraine Cup
    Kolos
    Kolos
    Karpaty Lviv
    Karpaty Lviv
    -
    -
    2
    1
    -
    -
    6
    6
    2
    3
    2
    1
    0
    2
    -
    -
    2
    1
    -
    -
    6
    6
    W
    Empty
    There are no events
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    Total Goals Prediction

    Karpaty Lviv have scored under 2.5 goals in seven of their last eight matches. Their average goals scored away from home stands at 1.75, dropping to 1.5 across the last ten away fixtures. These numbers suggest that the likelihood of Karpaty surpassing the 2.5-goal mark is quite low. Backing Karpaty Lviv Individual Total Under 2.5 Goals at odds of 1.42 looks like a well-founded prediction.

    Safer Bet

    Chornomorets have not lost by more than two goals in 14 consecutive matches, showcasing impressive consistency. Despite the difference in quality, the team almost always manages to keep the margin close. Backing Chornomorets (+2.5) handicap at odds of 1.19 looks like a highly reliable option.

    Correct Score Prediction

    According to the algorithm, the most likely scorelines are 0-1 (14.87%), 0-2 (12.22%), and 1-1 (10.68%). Of these, a narrow 1-0 win for Karpaty Lviv is the most probable outcome, though the other two results are not far behind in terms of likelihood. This suggests a moderately low-scoring and fairly tight contest is expected.

    ⭐ Editorial Prediction

    Given Chornomorets' struggles up front, backing the hosts to score few or no goals seems a sensible call-even with their strong motivation in the standings. It’s also worth noting that the Odesa side have failed to find the net in six of their last seven head-to-head clashes with Karpaty. Our editorial pick: Chornomorets not to score.

    Chernomorets will not score goal
    Odds+108
    Published: 24/10/2026, 14:28
    Vladislav Kolyada
    Vladislav Kolyada
    Football expert
    33
    2
    22
    57 predictions
    Statistics for October 2026

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    Comparison of Teams Stats

    10 matches
    2 - Wins
    2 - Draws
    6 - Losses
    Wins - 5
    Draws - 3
    Losses - 2
    10 matches
    Scored - 6
    Conceded - 12
    -6
    +9
    18 - Scored
    9 - Conceded
    2
    Wins
    5
    2
    Draws
    3
    6
    Losses
    2
    Goal difference
    6
    Scored
    18
    12
    Conceded
    9
    1.8
    Average total per match
    2.7
    0.6
    Goals scored per match on average
    1.8
    1.2
    Goals conceded per match on average
    0.9
    4
    Both teams scored
    5
    150'
    Minutes / Goal scored
    50'
    View all stats