Charlotte vs New-York City Prediction 28 October 2025
🔊 The MLS playoffs have kicked off, and the initial results are in. So far, teams haven't sprung any surprises, but the action is just beginning. Up next, we have a match between Charlotte and New York City. Bookmakers offer even odds for both sides, and our task is to make the right bet. Here's our prediction for the matchup.
Head-to-Head
📊 The opponents have intriguing results this season. They've faced each other twice, with both securing home victories, each by a score of 2-0. We anticipate another exciting showdown.
Head-to-head statistics Charlotte - New-York City

Charlotte Team Overview
⚫️ The team finished fourth in their conference, which is quite an impressive result. Why? It's pretty straightforward. Charlotte have been on a rollercoaster ride. They started the regular season strong, then lost their footing, only to surge back in the final stretch of the championship's mandatory program. Right now, Charlotte are a tough opponent with solid defenses, and at times, they are simply unpredictable.
🔵 The club have won 8 of their last 10 matches. There's no need to assess their form-it's clearly excellent. They secured victories in their last two games without conceding any goals. That's their strength: in 7 of those matches, they kept a clean sheet. The only setback was against Montreal (1-4). Interestingly, during this period, they also suffered a defeat to none other than New York. But more on that later. What can be said about the upcoming match? They need to win. The "Citizens" are formidable on their home turf. Everyone knows that.
Match Results: Charlotte

New-York City Team Overview
🔵 It's not hard to guess where the "Citizens" finished in the conference. That's right, 5th place. New York is a unique team, as they secured most of their points at home. Therefore, a victory over Charlotte shouldn't be surprising. Towards the end of the regular season, their balance shifted slightly, but initially, the difference was huge. The team also had a fantastic run in the final stretch of the regular season and finished relatively high in the standings.
⚪️ It's fair to say there aren't any standout stars in the club, which might explain the lack of consistency. Alonso Martinez can be considered the attacking leader, having scored 17 goals. Hannes Wolf also performed well, netting 11 goals. Having such an effective duo clearly helps. However, their record against top teams isn't great. Recently, they suffered heavy defeats to Inter Miami (0-4), Philadelphia (0-1), and Seattle (1-2). These matches took place within the last month. New York's current form is clearly questionable.
Match Results: New-York City
Latest news
Charlotte
⚠️ Pep Biel. A significant loss. The midfielder, boasting impressive stats (10+12), is sidelined due to injury. While his absence went largely unnoticed towards the end of the regular season, it's unclear how this setback will impact the playoffs.
New-York City
✅ The team has all their key players fit and ready.
Prediction for the 1st half
Head-to-Head Matches:
- Total encounters - 8;
- First-half wins at home for hosts - 4; for visitors away - 0; number of draws - 0;
- Average first-half total: 1.5;
- Today's home team scores on average 1, while the visitors net 0.5.
First-Half Stats: Charlotte (home) vs New-York City (away)
- matches played in the tournament: 17 vs 17;
- wins: 10 (58.82%) vs 2 (11.76%);
- losses: 2 (11.76%) vs 7 (41.18%);
- draws: 5 (29.41%) vs 8 (47.06%);
- Average goals scored: 1.18 vs 1.29;
- Average goals conceded: 0.24 vs 0.82.
Last 10 Matches (Overall):
- wins: 5 vs 2;
- losses: 1 vs 2;
- draws: 4 vs 6;
- Average first-half total: 1.1 (scored - 0.8, conceded - 0.3) vs 1.4 (scored - 0.7, conceded - 0.7).
- Charlotte scored in the 1st half in 7 of last 8 games against New-York City (MLS).
- Charlotte scored in the 1st half in 10 of last 11 home games.
- Charlotte scored in the 1st half in 9 of last 10 home games (MLS).
- Charlotte scored in the 1st half in 7 of last 8 games (MLS).
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- number of encounters - 8;
- home team wins - 5, away team wins - 2, draws - 1.
Statistics: Charlotte vs New-York City
- matches played in the tournament: 34 vs 34;
- wins: 19 vs 17;
- win percentage: 56% vs 50%;
- losses: 13 vs 12;
- draws: 2 vs 5.
Last 10 matches:
- wins: 8 vs 6;
- losses: 2 vs 4;
- draws: 0 vs 0.
Prediction on the over/under
H2H
- today's home team scores on average - 1.5, the guests - 1;
- average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 2.5;
- both teams scored: overall - 4; at the home team's field - 1.
Statistics: Charlotte vs New-York City
- average total in the tournament: 2.97 vs 2.76;
- average total goals scored: 1.62 vs 1.47;
- average total in the 1st half: 0.71 vs 0.5;
- average total in the 2nd half: 0.91 vs 0.97;
- Charlotte: average total at home in the tournament - 1.94;
- New-York City: average total away in the tournament - 1.29;
- last 10 matches (average total): 1.4 (home - 1.6) vs 1.6 (away - 1.75).
- Under 3.5 goals scored in last 5 Charlotte games against New-York City (MLS).
- Under 3.5 goals scored in 9 of last 10 Charlotte games (MLS).
- Under 3.5 goals scored in 7 of last 8 Charlotte home games (MLS).
Prediction on corners
H2H
- average Over/Under corners in H2H matches - 7.88 (3.38 - for home team and 4.5 - for away team);
- average Over/Under corners at home team's field - 8.5 (4.5 - for home team and 4 - for away team).
Charlotte: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 3.91; at home field - 3.41;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 4; at home field - 2.8.
New-York City: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 5.09, away - 3.88;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 5.2; away - 4.25.
- Under 9.5 corners in last 5 Charlotte games against New-York City (MLS).
Prediction on cards
H2H
- average Over/Under yellow cards in H2H matches - 6 (3 for home team and 3 for away team);
- average Over/Under yellow cards at the home team's field - 5.5 (3 for home team and 2.5 for away team).
Charlotte: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 1.94; at home - 1.76;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 2.6; at home - 1.8.
New-York City: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 1.82, away - 1.71;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 2.1; away - 1.75.
Prediction on BTTS
H2H:
- number of encounters - 8;
- both teams scored all-time - 4 times;
- on the home team’s field - 1 times.
Statistics: Charlotte vs New-York City
- number of matches played in the tournament: 34 vs 34;
- number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 17 vs 17;
- number of BTTS matches for Charlotte at home - 7 (41%);
- number of BTTS matches for New-York City away - 8 (47%).
Last 10 matches:
- number of BTTS matches: 2 vs 6;
- BTTS matches for Charlotte at home - 1 (20%);
- BTTS matches for New-York City away - 2 (50%).
Editorial Prediction
Throughout the history of their matchups, Charlotte have won every home game against this opponent. It would be surprising if this trend were to break now, especially in such a crucial match where they need to establish an advantage. This season, both teams have secured one home victory each as well. Notably, Charlotte are in better form, while New York finished the regular season on a somewhat shaky note. Once again, Charlotte's defense appears superior on home turf. Are there enough arguments in their favor? It seems so. Our pick is a Charlotte win.