Al Ahli Doha vs Al Gharafa Prediction, H2H Stats & Statistical Bets 25 October 2025
🔊 The clash between Al-Ahli Doha and Al-Gharafa promises to be a spectacle, given the current form and motivation of both teams. The hosts, languishing at the lower end of the table, are eager to break their losing streak and regain confidence. Al-Gharafa, on the other hand, come into the match in excellent form, solidly positioned in the top three, showcasing a balanced style of play with a focus on quick attacks and high conversion rates. Despite these dynamics, the visitors are rightfully considered the favorites. However, statistics reveal Al-Ahli's low scoring rate on their home turf, which could play a pivotal role in the outcome of the match.
Head-to-Head
The last official encounter between the teams took place on 22 January 2025 and ended with a scoreline of 2:0. Here's a comparative breakdown of that match (home team - Al Gharafa):
- ball possession percentage: 56% vs 44%;
- corner kicks: 7 vs 1;
- fouls: 13 vs 7;
- yellow cards: 2 vs 1;
- shots on target: 7 vs 3.
📊Analytical review of previous official games between the teams Al Ahli Doha and Al Gharafa:
- played 33 matches;
- number of wins for the home team - 7, for the away team - 18, draws - 8;
- number of goals (home/away) - 40 against 68;
- average total goals in the match - 3.27.
Head-to-head statistics Al Ahli Doha - Al Gharafa
Al Ahli Doha Team Overview
The team's last official match took place on in the AFC Champions League 2, with Al-Ahli Doha as the home side and Arkadag as the visitors. The match concluded with a 2-2 draw.
Here are the match statistics (Al-Ahli Doha vs Arkadag):
- possession: 76% vs 24%;
- corners: 4 vs 6;
- fouls: 8 vs 14;
- yellow cards: 1 vs 3;
- shots on target: 2 vs 0.
Al-Ahli Doha are struggling this season. The "Brigadier" have managed just one win in their last five matches, suffering two defeats in the process. Despite efforts to improve their game, inconsistency remains a significant issue, with rare victories followed by losses, indicating a lack of confidence and efficiency. They average only 1.17 goals per match while conceding a high 2.17 goals per game. Their head-to-head history doesn't favor them either; their last encounter with Al-Gharafa ended in defeat.
Match Results: Al Ahli Doha
Al Gharafa Team Overview
The visitors last played an official match on in the AFC Champions League, where Al-Ahli hosted Al-Gharafa. The match ended with a scoreline of 4-0.
Here are the match statistics (Al-Gharafa vs Al-Ahli):
- possession: 52% vs 48%;
- corner kicks: 3 vs 4;
- fouls: 17 vs 16;
- yellow cards: 1 vs 2;
- shots on target: 1 vs 9.
Al-Gharafa approach this match not in the best spirits, following their recent performances. The "Cheetahs" have secured two wins but suffered three losses in their last five outings, indicating a dip in form. Nevertheless, their attack remains impressive, averaging 1.83 goals per match while maintaining a relatively low concession rate of just 1.17 goals per game this season. It's important to remember that the team excels at identifying opponents' weaknesses and capitalizing on their chances with high efficiency, making them a formidable opponent for any team.
Match Results: Al Gharafa
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- number of encounters - 33;
- home team wins - 7, away team wins - 18, draws - 8.
Statistics: Al Ahli Doha vs Al Gharafa
- matches played in the tournament: 6 vs 6;
- wins: 2 vs 4;
- win percentage: 33% vs 67%;
- losses: 4 vs 1;
- draws: 0 vs 1.
Last 10 matches:
- wins: 2 vs 3;
- losses: 4 vs 5;
- draws: 4 vs 2.
- Al Ahli Doha have not won in 7 of last 8 games.
- Al Gharafa have not lost in 8 of last 9 away games (Stars League).
Prediction on the over/under
H2H
- today's home team scores on average - 1.21, the guests - 2.06;
- average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 3.27;
- both teams scored: overall - 18; at the home team's field - 8.
Statistics: Al Ahli Doha vs Al Gharafa
- average total in the tournament: 3.33 vs 3;
- average total goals scored: 1.17 vs 1.83;
- average total in the 1st half: 0.5 vs 0.5;
- average total in the 2nd half: 0.67 vs 1.33;
- Al Ahli Doha: average total at home in the tournament - 0;
- Al Gharafa: average total away in the tournament - 1.5;
- last 10 matches (average total): 1.1 (home - 1.14) vs 1.5 (away - 1.33).
- Al Ahli Doha have scored under 1.5 goals in 6 of last 7 home games.
- Al Ahli Doha have scored under 1.5 goals in last 5 home games (Stars League).
Prediction on corners
Al Ahli Doha: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 3.83; at home field - 4;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 3.6; at home field - 3.57.
Al Gharafa: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 5.17, away - 4;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 4.3; away - 4.33.
Prediction on cards
H2H
- average Over/Under yellow cards in H2H matches - 2.54 (1.27 for home team and 1.27 for away team);
- average Over/Under yellow cards at the home team's field - 2.21 (1.07 for home team and 1.14 for away team).
Al Ahli Doha: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 1.33; at home - 3;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 1.6; at home - 1.57.
Al Gharafa: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 3.17, away - 5;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 2.2; away - 2.5.
Prediction on BTTS
H2H:
- number of encounters - 33;
- both teams scored all-time - 18 times;
- on the home team’s field - 8 times.
Statistics: Al Ahli Doha vs Al Gharafa
- number of matches played in the tournament: 6 vs 6;
- number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 2 vs 3;
- number of BTTS matches for Al Ahli Doha at home - 0 (0%);
- number of BTTS matches for Al Gharafa away - 1 (50%).
Last 10 matches:
- number of BTTS matches: 5 vs 4;
- BTTS matches for Al Ahli Doha at home - 3 (43%);
- BTTS matches for Al Gharafa away - 3 (50%).
⭐ Editorial Prediction
Al-Ahli Doha find themselves in a tough spot, particularly given their recent setbacks and low scoring record at home. Their ongoing struggle with inconsistency makes them vulnerable to the attacking prowess of Al-Gharafa. The visitors, in strong form and comfortably sitting in third place in the standings, will be eager to solidify their position among the frontrunners. With this in mind, the prediction is: home team total under 1.5 goals. Statistics show that Al-Ahli rarely score more than one goal at home in recent matches, highlighting the rationale behind this choice.No comments
Betting Tips: Al Ahli Doha - Al Gharafa
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