Al Gharafa vs Al Ahli Doha Prediction, H2H Stats & Statistical Bets 18 March 2026
🔊 The match between Al-Gharafa and Al-Ahli Doha in the Qatar Stars League promises excitement. Al-Gharafa have been consistent throughout the season, currently holding the third spot on the league table. Meanwhile, their opponents, Al-Ahli Doha, are positioned closer to the bottom, yet their attacking style remains a threat to any team. An open game is anticipated from both sides, especially given the recent scoring form of both teams.
Head-to-Head
The last official encounter between the teams took place on 25 October 2025 and ended with a scoreline of 1:3. Here's a comparative breakdown of that match (home team - Al Ahli Doha):
- ball possession percentage: 53% vs 47%;
- corner kicks: 5 vs 7;
- fouls: 11 vs 11;
- yellow cards: 2 vs 1;
- shots on target: 3 vs 5.
📊Analytical review of previous official games between the teams Al Gharafa and Al Ahli Doha:
- played 34 matches;
- number of wins for the home team - 19, for the away team - 7, draws - 8;
- number of goals (home/away) - 71 against 41;
- average total goals in the match - 3.29.
Head-to-head statistics Al Gharafa - Al Ahli Doha
Al Gharafa Team Overview
The team's last official match took place on in the Qatar Stars League, featuring Qatar as the home side against Al-Gharafa. The match concluded with a 2-0 victory.
Here are the match statistics (Al-Gharafa vs Qatar):
- Possession: 48% vs 52%;
- Corners: 4 vs 8;
- Fouls: 13 vs 17;
- Yellow cards: 2 vs 7;
- Shots on target: 2 vs 4.
Al-Gharafa are in good form, having won 11 out of 18 matches this season and currently sitting third in the standings. However, their last five games reveal some inconsistency, with three losses and two victories. Despite this, they consistently find the back of the net but also concede quite a few goals. They average 1.61 goals scored per game while allowing 1.39.
Match Results: Al Gharafa
Al Ahli Doha Team Overview
The visitors played their last official match on in the Qatar Stars League, facing Al Ahli Doha away. The game ended in a 1-1 draw.
Here are the match statistics (Al Ahli Doha vs Al Arabi):
- possession percentage: 44% vs 56%;
- corner kicks: 8 vs 3;
- fouls: 12 vs 13;
- yellow cards: 1 vs 3;
- shots on target: 3 vs 6.
Al-Ahli Doha are struggling for consistency this season, currently sitting in eleventh place with just five wins from 18 rounds. Their form has been less than impressive, managing only two victories and two draws alongside six defeats in their last ten outings. However, the team often finds themselves in high-scoring matches, averaging 1.28 goals scored per game while conceding an average of 2.11.
Match Results: Al Ahli Doha
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- number of encounters - 34;
- home team wins - 19, away team wins - 7, draws - 8.
Statistics: Al Gharafa vs Al Ahli Doha
- matches played in the tournament: 18 vs 18;
- wins: 11 vs 5;
- win percentage: 61% vs 28%;
- losses: 6 vs 12;
- draws: 1 vs 1.
Last 10 matches:
- wins: 3 vs 1;
- losses: 7 vs 7;
- draws: 0 vs 2.
- Al Ahli Doha have not won in 9 of last 10 games.
- Al Ahli Doha have not won in last 6 games (Stars League).
Prediction on the over/under
H2H
- today's home team scores on average - 2.09, the guests - 1.21;
- average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 3.29;
- both teams scored: overall - 19; at the home team's field - 10.
Statistics: Al Gharafa vs Al Ahli Doha
- average total in the tournament: 3 vs 3.39;
- average total goals scored: 1.61 vs 1.28;
- average total in the 1st half: 0.44 vs 0.61;
- average total in the 2nd half: 1.17 vs 0.67;
- Al Gharafa: average total at home in the tournament - 2;
- Al Ahli Doha: average total away in the tournament - 1.33;
- last 10 matches (average total): 1 (home - 1.2) vs 1.2 (away - 1.2).
- Al Gharafa have scored under 1.5 goals in 6 of last 7 home games.
Prediction on corners
Al Gharafa: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 4.67; at home field - 4;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 5; at home field - 4.8.
Al Ahli Doha: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 4.33, away - 2.67;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 3.7; away - 2.6.
- Under 9.5 corners in 7 of last 8 Al Ahli Doha away games (Stars League).
Prediction on BTTS
H2H:
- number of encounters - 34;
- both teams scored all-time - 19 times;
- on the home team’s field - 10 times.
Statistics: Al Gharafa vs Al Ahli Doha
- number of matches played in the tournament: 18 vs 18;
- number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 10 vs 11;
- number of BTTS matches for Al Gharafa at home - 6 (67%);
- number of BTTS matches for Al Ahli Doha away - 4 (67%).
Last 10 matches:
- number of BTTS matches: 4 vs 8;
- BTTS matches for Al Gharafa at home - 2 (40%);
- BTTS matches for Al Ahli Doha away - 4 (80%).
- Al Ahli Doha have scored and conceded in 8 of last 9 games.
- Al Ahli Doha have scored and conceded in last 5 games (Stars League).
Correct score prediction
Statistics of frequent results (current season):
- most common score in the tournament: 2:0 (10/106, 9.4%);
- Al Gharafa at home most often finish matches: 2:1 (2/9, 22.2%);
- Al Ahli Doha away most often play: 1:0 , 1:2 , 2:0 , 2:1 , 2:3 , 3:2 (1/6, 16.7%).
Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top 3 outcomes:
1:1 - 11.16% (odds 6.4)
2:1 - 9.45% (odds 7.4)
1:0 - 8.14% (odds 8.2)
⭐ Editorial Prediction
Considering the current form of the teams, the home side's attacking inconsistency could be a crucial factor in this match. Statistics suggest that the team rarely scores more than 1.5 goals at home, as reflected in their recent performances. With these insights and the fact that Al-Gharafa have scored fewer than 1.5 goals at home in 6 of their last 7 matches, the most reasonable bet appears to be under 1.5 goals from Al-Gharafa.
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Betting Tips: Al Gharafa - Al Ahli Doha
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