Tunisia vs Uganda Prediction 24 September 2026
🔊 Tunisia go into their opening Africa Cup of Nations match on the back of a difficult summer. They have lost their last five matches in a row and have been particularly vulnerable defensively. Uganda cannot claim to be in great form either, but in recent matches they have found a late goal on several occasions.Neither side is anywhere near their best right now. Tunisia need to end their losing run, while Uganda will look to take advantage of the hosts' defensive problems.
Tunisia have already beaten Uganda in an official match.
📊 Tunisia and Uganda have met only once before. That match took place 23 December 2025 on home soil and ended in a 3-1 victory for the hosts.
Head-to-head statistics Tunisia - Uganda
Tunisia: five straight defeats and finishing woes
Tunisia come into this match on the back of five consecutive defeats. Across that run they have scored just two goals, while regularly allowing opponents to create plenty of chances. The World Cup matches against Japan, Belgium and Sweden were particularly difficult, with the defence struggling under pressure. The attack has offered little help in lifting them out of this slump. In their last five matches, Tunisia have not scored more than one goal in any game. Even at home, a sudden improvement in their scoring looks unlikely.
Match Results: Tunisia
Uganda: scoring more often, but still searching for a win
Uganda's recent form has also been inconsistent. In their previous five matches they failed to win a single game, though they did score five goals and found the net at least once in three of those fixtures. Compared to Tunisia, the visitors' attack looks slightly more lively. The problem lies elsewhere - their defence has also been far too unreliable. Uganda conceded in all five of those matches, letting in at least three goals against Nigeria, Tunisia and Morocco. So even when they produce decent moments going forward, holding on to a result proves difficult.
Match Results: Uganda
Prediction for the 1st half
Tunisia have rarely started matches aggressively of late, with the first half ending level in 7 of their last 8 games. After a run of defeats, the hosts are unlikely to open up recklessly from the first minute, while Uganda do not look like a side capable of seizing the initiative straight away either. Bet: Half-Time Draw at 2.20*.
Total Goals Prediction
Despite Tunisia's problems in attack, their matches have rarely been completely goalless recently. Uganda also concede regularly, though they scored themselves in 3 of their previous 5 matches. Prediction: Total Goals - Over 1.5 at 1.35*.
Correct Score Prediction
According to the algorithm, the most likely outcomes for this match are 1-1 (8.64%), 1-0 (8.47%) and 2-1 (7.64%). A 1-1 draw has the highest probability, though 1-0 and 2-1 are close behind.*Odds are approximate and may vary across different bookmakers.
⭐ Editor's Prediction
Tunisia's last five matches clearly illustrate their main problem: the team struggle to convert their attacks into goals and have not scored more than one in any of those games. Uganda do not look entirely reliable either. Even so, two goals from the hosts currently looks too high a bar, even in a good match for them. Predicted score: 1-1. Main bet: Tunisia Team Total - Under 1.5.
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Betting Tips: Tunisia - Uganda
in 7 of last 8 games (Cup of Nations, Qualification).
in last 6 games.
in 10 of last 11 Tunisia games (Cup of Nations, Qualification).in last 7 Tunisia home games.in last 5 Tunisia home games (Cup of Nations, Qualification).
in 15 of last 16 Uganda games (Cup of Nations, Qualification).in 6 of last 7 Uganda away games (Cup of Nations, Qualification).in last 7 games.in last 12 away games.in 8 of last 9 games (Cup of Nations, Qualification).in last 7 games.Comparison of Teams Stats
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