Netherlands vs Germany Prediction 24 September 2026
🔊 The Netherlands and Germany open their Nations League campaigns with a match in Amsterdam. It is an unusual situation for both sides: Xavi Hernández and Jürgen Klopp will be taking charge of their respective national teams in an official match for the first time. With little time available for a thorough rebuild, both managers will primarily need to establish quickly how their players work together and get the basic principles of their new systems onto the pitch.
🔁 We will update this prediction as new information about the teams becomes available. Check back just before kick-off so you don't miss any important changes.
Head-to-Head
📊 The last time these two sides met was in the Nations League. In September 2024, the Netherlands and Germany drew 2-2 in Amsterdam, and a month later Germany won 1-0 at home. Germany have not lost to the Netherlands in their last four head-to-head meetings.
Head-to-head statistics Netherlands - Germany
The Netherlands are rebuilding under Xavi
The Netherlands came into this match off the back of a disappointing World Cup, where they were knocked out in the Round of 32 by Morocco. Ronald Koeman left his post after that, and the federation handed the job to Xavi Hernández. The Spaniard has already set out his main demands - high intensity, an initiative-based approach and a desire to control matches - so a more aggressive style of football can be expected from the Netherlands than was seen in the final stages of the previous cycle.
The key question surrounding the Netherlands is how quickly the team can translate the new manager's ideas into a coherent playing structure. Xavi has kept Virgil van Dijk in the squad and retained the captaincy for him, but has also made several significant selection decisions. Most notably, the national team's all-time leading scorer Memphis Depay was not included in the first squad.
The Netherlands squad still carries a reasonable balance of experience and youth. Van Dijk, Nathan Aké, Denzel Dumfries, Jeremie Frimpong and Micky van de Ven remain in defence, while Ryan Gravenberch, Tijjani Reijnders and Teun Koopmeiners are present in midfield. In attack, Cody Gakpo, Noa Lang and Brian Brobbey are all available, with the latter arriving for international duty after scoring a hat-trick for Sunderland against Manchester City. Xavi therefore has enough players for ball control and a high tempo, but this first official match will show how quickly they can adapt to his demands.
Match Results: Netherlands
Germany usher in the Klopp era
Germany's recent results have also been mixed, and the German Football Association likewise changed manager after the World Cup, replacing Julian Nagelsmann with Jürgen Klopp. The new head coach immediately decided to broaden his player pool and named two separate squads for four Nations League matches. The first squad, which will face the Netherlands and Greece, contains 24 players, including Marc-André ter Stegen, who is returning from a long-term injury, along with Jamal Musiala, Kai Havertz, Serge Gnabry and Joshua Kimmich.
Klopp has the opportunity to assess a large number of players straight away. His first squad includes seven players who have yet to make an official appearance for the national team, among them Finn Dahmen, Hennes Behrens, Max Rosenfelder, Philipp Treu, Yannick Engelhardt and Younes Ebnoutalib. The last of those is a particularly interesting inclusion after a bright start to the season in which he scored a hat-trick in the opening round for Eintracht.
The core of the team remains intact. Kimmich continues to be the key figure in midfield, Musiala is responsible for ball progression and chance creation, while Havertz, Gnabry and Karim Adeyemi give Klopp different options in attack. Particular attention will fall on ter Stegen, who has returned to the squad after a serious injury and 15 months without a match for the national team.
Match Results: Germany
Latest news
Netherlands
❌ A further problem has been the injuries to Justin Kluivert and Donyell Malen. Both players are out of the upcoming matches, following which Xavi called up Guus Til and Mexx Merdink.
Germany
💊 This international break will give Jürgen Klopp the opportunity to meet and work with all the players he wanted to invite to his first camp.
🔁 Update, 24 September, 6:19 UTC:
- Lennart Karl will not play against the Netherlands. The player has been moved to the second group to give him more time to recover from a hamstring injury.
🔁 Update, 24 September, 6:22 UTC:
- According to The Hard Tackle, Brajan Gruda has been ruled out through injury. He was not expected to play against the Netherlands anyway, but his participation in Germany's autumn fixtures is now seriously in doubt.
🔁 Update, 24 September, 9:10 UTC:
- According to Bild, Jürgen Klopp has introduced strict rules for players since taking charge of the national team. Among other things, players are not allowed to bring their phones into the gym or to massage sessions, are not permitted to get haircuts during international camps, and visits from family and friends are only allowed in exceptional circumstances. It is worth noting that the upcoming camp will last more than two weeks - the first time this has happened in the history of the autumn international break.
Predicted Lineups
📋 Predicted starting XI - Netherlands: Verbruggen - van Hecke, van Dijk, van de Ven - Dumfries, Gravenberch, Reijnders, Hato - Gakpo, Lang, Brobbey.
📋 Predicted starting XI - Germany: ter Stegen - Treu, Tah, Schlotterbeck, Brown - Kimmich, Pavlović - Adeyemi, Musiala, El Mala - Havertz.
🟨 Yellow Cards Prediction
The Netherlands vs Germany match should involve fairly intense midfield battles, with both sides beginning a new cycle under managers who emphasise active play without the ball. In their last two head-to-head meetings, the two teams collected a combined 10 yellow cards. With that in mind, Total Yellow Cards - Over 2.5 is worth considering here. The odds are 1.41*.
⚽ Goals Prediction
Both sides are currently beginning a new managerial cycle and have a large number of quality attacking players at their disposal. Xavi has already identified intensity and initiative as the key principles of his new Netherlands side, while Germany under Klopp should also be looking to play aggressively. For that reason, the main selection here is Both Teams to Score - Yes at 1.48*.
🚩 Corners Prediction
There are reasons to expect a high number of set pieces in this match. The Netherlands and Germany are both capable of sustaining long spells of possession and regularly working the ball out to the flanks, and the corners count in their recent head-to-head meetings has been fairly high: in September 2024 the two sides combined for 17 corners - 7 to Germany's 10. Total Corners - Over 8.5 at 1.54* looks an interesting option here.
😱 Risky Bet
Netherlands under Xavi and Germany under Klopp should both be looking to play intense, proactive football, so the space between the lines may open up after the break, with both sides exchanging dangerous attacks more frequently. If the score is level or close at the start of the second half, both teams will have extra reason to push forward and take risks. At odds of 5.20*, Draw & Both Teams to Score in the Second Half looks an interesting risky option.
🎯 Reliable Bet
Both sides have serious attacking potential, and the managerial changes could add further intensity to the match. In four of the last five meetings between the two teams, at least two goals were scored. The more reliable option, then, is Total Goals - Over 1.5 at 1.17*.
🚀 Player Stats Bet
Here I would go with Jamal Musiala - 1 or More Shots on Target at 1.74*. The German remains one of the key players in his side's ball progression and chance creation, and against the Netherlands Germany will likely find opportunities to attack through the half-spaces and the gaps between the lines. With the match expected to be high-intensity, Musiala should regularly be involved in the final stages of attacks, which makes a bet on him having at least one shot on target a logical individual option.
👀 If the match doesn't go to script
If both teams start cautiously and the first half turns out to be low-scoring, there's no need to abandon the idea of backing goals altogether. As Klopp and Xavi push their players to take more initiative, space between the lines may open up, particularly after substitutions. In that scenario, the more interesting option is Total Goals - Over 1.5 in the second half, if the teams have managed just one goal or none before the break.
*Odds are indicative and may vary across different bookmakers.
⭐ Editor's Prediction
Taking everything into account, it's hard to expect a completely closed match here. Netherlands under Xavi should place emphasis on intensity and taking the initiative, and Germany under Klopp will almost certainly look to play an active game as well. At the same time, both teams are beginning a new cycle, so the reliability of their inter-line combinations remains an open question.
The last meeting between the sides in Amsterdam ended 2-2, and the four most recent matches between these teams produced fairly tight results: Germany didn't lose any of them, but three of the four were decided by a margin of no more than one goal.
My main pick here is Total Goals - Over 2.5. It fits the attacking potential of both sides and at the same time doesn't require choosing a winner in a match where both teams are starting a new managerial cycle. A 2-2 draw is quite a plausible outcome in this one.
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Betting Tips: Netherlands - Germany
in 7 of last 8 games against Germany.
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