Mauritania vs CAR Prediction 24 September 2026
🔊 Mauritania come into Matchday 1 of the Africa Cup of Nations qualifying after a patchy summer, but they still look more convincing than their opponents in terms of quality. They do not score many goals, but their defensive organisation keeps them in matches until the final minutes.The situation is harder for CAR. Defeats have been coming one after another, and the problems are particularly visible at the back. Neither side finds the net consistently, so this match looks more suited to tight football where a single moment could decide the outcome.
Mauritania have won all of their head-to-head meetings.
📊 Mauritania and the Central African Republic have met three times in official matches, and the home side has won all three. The aggregate score across those meetings is 4-0, with an average of just 1.33 goals per game.
Head-to-head statistics Mauritania - CAR
Mauritania: attack struggles, defense holds firm
In their last five matches, Mauritania have won once, drawn twice and lost twice. The main issue is that they rarely get going in attack. Over a longer stretch, they have averaged just 0.4 goals per game, and in 9 of their last 10 matches they have failed to score more than once.Their defence, however, keeps them in games: across those same 10 matches, the hosts have conceded just 9 goals and kept 6 clean sheets. That balance goes a long way to explaining why their matches are so often decided by a single goal.
Match Results: Mauritania
Central African Republic: seven defeats and major defensive woes
CAR come into this match in far worse form. Over their last 10 games they have won just once, drawn twice and lost seven times, conceding 22 goals in the process - an average of 2.2 per game. Their attacking output has been little better, with only 6 goals scored. They have also been particularly vulnerable after the break - 14 of those 22 goals conceded have come in the second half. If they fail to hold up under pressure after half-time again, getting back into the game will be extremely difficult.
Match Results: Central African Republic
Total Prediction
Mauritania rarely score much even in their better matches. In 9 of their last 10 games they managed at most one goal, and their average over that run is just 0.4 goals. Even CAR's weak defence is no guarantee of a sudden jump in Mauritania's scoring. Prediction: Mauritania Team Total - Under 1.5 Goals at 1.69*.
Reliable Bet
CAR failed to score in 7 of their last 10 matches, and scored more than one goal only twice in that period. Mauritania, meanwhile, kept 6 clean sheets in that same spell, so even a single goal from the visitors can hardly be taken for granted. Our pick: CAR Team Total - Under 1.5 Goals at 1.15*.
Correct Score Prediction
The algorithm suggests the most likely scorelines in this match are 1-0 (15.07%), 1-1 (11.66%) and 2-0 (11.02%). The 1-0 result has the highest probability, though the other two are not far behind. These predictions point to a low-scoring game with Mauritania having the edge.
*Odds are indicative and may vary across different bookmakers.
⭐ Editor's Prediction
Both sides have clear limitations in attack: Mauritania and CAR have failed to score in 7 of their last 10 matches. The hosts, however, are considerably more solid defensively and have already beaten this opponent three times without conceding. Predicted score: 1-0. Editor's prediction: Both Teams to Score - No.
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Betting Tips: Mauritania - Central African Republic
in last 5 games (Cup of Nations, Qualification).
in 11 of last 12 away games (Cup of Nations, Qualification).in 9 of last 10 games.in 7 of last 8 games (Cup of Nations, Qualification).in 11 of last 12 away games (Cup of Nations, Qualification).in last 10 away games.in last 8 games (Cup of Nations, Qualification).
in 9 of last 10 games.in 8 of last 9 home games.in last 6 games (Cup of Nations, Qualification).Comparison of Teams Stats
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