Nacional vs Sporting Prediction, H2H Stats & Statistical Bets 23 August 2025

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Key points

    🔊 The upcoming clash between Nacional de Madeira and Sporting promises to be a real test for the hosts. Sporting sit atop the league standings and are in impressive form, aiming to defend their title. Meanwhile, Nacional are struggling, having secured just one win in their last ten matches. It will be intriguing to see if they can put up a worthy fight against such a formidable opponent.

    Head-to-Head

    The last official encounter between the teams took place on 25 January 2025 and ended with a scoreline of 2:0. Here's a comparative breakdown of that match (home team - Sporting Lisbon):

    • ball possession percentage: 65% vs 35%;
    • corner kicks: 6 vs 2;
    • fouls: 12 vs 16;
    • yellow cards: 1 vs 1;
    • shots on target: 5 vs 1.

    📊Statistical preview of official matches between the teams Nacional de Madeir and Sporting Lisbon:

    • played 13 matches;
    • number of wins for the home team - 0, for the away team - 10, draws - 3;
    • number of goals - 9 against 31;
    • average total in the 1st half - 1, in the 2nd half - 2.08;
    • average total goals in the match - 3.08.

    Head-to-head statistics Nacional - Sporting

    0%
    0 Wins
    19%
    3 Draws
    81%
    13 Wins
    Total games
    16
    Avg. total goals
    3.13
    Both teams scored
    50%
    0.69
    Average total
    2.44
    Last matches
    05.09.26
    liga portugal
    Sporting Lisbon
    Sporting Lisbon
    Nacional de Madeir
    Nacional de Madeir
    2.69
    0.07
    12
    0
    5
    3
    2
    1
    2
    0
    1
    0
    1
    0
    2.69
    0.07
    12
    0
    5
    3
    2
    1
    01.02.26
    Primeira Liga
    Sporting Lisbon
    Sporting Lisbon
    Nacional de Madeir
    Nacional de Madeir
    1.92
    0.79
    11
    0
    12
    15
    0
    3
    2
    1
    0
    0
    2
    1
    1.92
    0.79
    11
    0
    12
    15
    0
    3
    23.08.25
    Primeira Liga
    Nacional de Madeir
    Nacional de Madeir
    1
    Sporting Lisbon
    Sporting Lisbon
    0.73
    2.65
    3
    13
    18
    7
    2
    2
    1
    4
    1
    0
    0
    4
    0.73
    2.65
    3
    13
    18
    7
    2
    2
    25.01.25
    Primeira Liga
    Sporting Lisbon
    Sporting Lisbon
    Nacional de Madeir
    Nacional de Madeir
    1.15
    0.41
    6
    2
    12
    16
    1
    1
    2
    0
    1
    0
    1
    0
    1.15
    0.41
    6
    2
    12
    16
    1
    1
    29.10.24
    League Cup
    Sporting Lisbon
    Sporting Lisbon
    Nacional de Madeir
    Nacional de Madeir
    2.45
    0.92
    -
    -
    -
    -
    0
    1
    3
    1
    0
    0
    3
    1
    2.45
    0.92
    -
    -
    -
    -
    0
    1
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    Nacional de Madeir Team Overview

    The team's most recent official match took place on as part of the Primeira Liga tournament (home team - Rio Ave, away team - Nacional de Madeir). The match concluded with a scoreline of 1:1.

    Here's the game statistics (Nacional de Madeir vs Rio Ave):

    • ball possession: 37% vs 63%;
    • corner kicks: 6 vs 6;
    • fouls: 18 vs 16;
    • yellow cards: 3 vs 2;
    • shots on target: 6 vs 8.

    Nacional de Madeira currently sit 12th in the table and are struggling with their attacking output, averaging just 0.7 goals per game over their last ten matches. The "Black and Whites" favor a defensive style of play, but their weak backline has resulted in conceding an average of 1.7 goals per match. However, in their last outing, the team showed resilience by snatching a draw in the dying minutes against Rio Ave, despite being down to ten men. 

    Match Results: Nacional de Madeir

    Last matches
    25.10.26
    Liga Portugal
    Nacional de Madeir
    Nacional de Madeir
    Braga
    Braga
    0.49
    1.72
    4
    6
    18
    12
    2
    2
    1
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    0.49
    1.72
    4
    6
    18
    12
    2
    2
    W
    17.10.26
    portugal cup
    Sanjoanense
    Sanjoanense
    Nacional de Madeir
    Nacional de Madeir
    -
    -
    3
    8
    10
    14
    2
    2
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    0
    -
    -
    3
    8
    10
    14
    2
    2
    L
    11.10.26
    Liga Portugal
    Rio Ave
    Rio Ave
    1
    Nacional de Madeir
    Nacional de Madeir
    1.67
    1.2
    8
    8
    7
    17
    2
    0
    3
    2
    1
    1
    2
    1
    1.67
    1.2
    8
    8
    7
    17
    2
    0
    L
    19.09.26
    Liga Portugal
    Nacional de Madeir
    Nacional de Madeir
    1
    Famalicao
    Famalicao
    1.25
    1.1
    7
    3
    11
    9
    1
    3
    0
    4
    0
    3
    0
    1
    1.25
    1.1
    7
    3
    11
    9
    1
    3
    L
    12.09.26
    liga portugal
    Nacional de Madeir
    Nacional de Madeir
    Alverca
    Alverca
    2.22
    1.5
    2
    0
    7
    16
    0
    3
    1
    3
    0
    3
    1
    0
    2.22
    1.5
    2
    0
    7
    16
    0
    3
    L
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    Sporting Lisbon Team Overview

    The away team played their last official match on as part of the Primeira Liga tournament (home team - Sporting Lisbon, away - Arouca). The match concluded with a scoreline of 6:0.

    Here are the match stats (Sporting Lisbon vs Arouca):

    • ball possession: 57% vs 43%;
    • corner kicks: 6 vs 1;
    • fouls: 7 vs 7;
    • yellow cards: 1 vs 0;
    • shots on target: 10 vs 1.

    Sporting are showcasing remarkable form as they confidently march towards another title, securing two clean-sheet victories at the start of the season. The Lions display a diverse style of play with a strong emphasis on attacking, making them a formidable opponent even beyond Portugal's borders. In the last round, Rui Borges' squad put on a show at home, netting six unanswered goals against Arouca. Newcomer Luis Suarez celebrated his first goals in the green-and-white jersey, while Francisco Trincão continued to impress, tallying three goals and an assist in the opening two Primeira Liga matches. 

    Match Results: Sporting Lisbon

    Last matches
    27.10.26
    League Cup
    Sporting Lisbon
    Sporting Lisbon
    Maritimo Madeira
    Maritimo Madeira
    -
    -
    2
    4
    14
    15
    1
    1
    2
    1
    1
    0
    1
    1
    -
    -
    2
    4
    14
    15
    1
    1
    W
    25.10.26
    Liga Portugal
    Sporting Lisbon
    Sporting Lisbon
    Academico Viseu
    Academico Viseu
    2.87
    0.78
    11
    0
    14
    9
    2
    4
    1
    2
    0
    1
    1
    1
    2.87
    0.78
    11
    0
    14
    9
    2
    4
    L
    21.10.26
    UEFA Champions League
    Sporting Lisbon
    Sporting Lisbon
    LASK
    LASK
    3.16
    1.23
    7
    4
    10
    22
    2
    5
    2
    3
    1
    1
    1
    2
    3.16
    1.23
    7
    4
    10
    22
    2
    5
    L
    13.10.26
    UEFA Champions League
    Lens
    Lens
    Sporting Lisbon
    Sporting Lisbon
    1.72
    1.42
    6
    3
    8
    12
    2
    0
    0
    2
    0
    1
    0
    1
    1.72
    1.42
    6
    3
    8
    12
    2
    0
    W
    09.10.26
    Liga Portugal
    Braga
    Braga
    Sporting Lisbon
    Sporting Lisbon
    1.37
    1.04
    5
    2
    11
    10
    1
    1
    1
    3
    1
    0
    0
    3
    1.37
    1.04
    5
    2
    11
    10
    1
    1
    W
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    Latest news

    Nacional de Madeir

    🎙 Nacional's coach Tiago Margarido, after the draw against Rio Ave: “The result reflects what we saw on the pitch.”

    ❌ Miguel Baeza hasn't played since last year and is still recovering. Aside from him, Ulisses will miss the match against Sporting due to a red card in the previous round.

    Sporting Lisbon

    📝 Sporting are showing keen interest in Deportivo winger Yeremay Hernandez. Their latest offer stands at €35 million plus €5 million in add-ons and an additional €5 million signing bonus.

    ❌ Daniel Bragança and Nuno Santos have been sidelined for a while. Ousmane Diomande and Maximiliano Araujo picked up injuries during the first-round match, causing them to miss the last game. Additionally, Matheus Reis is still serving his suspension.

    Prediction on the outcome

    H2H:

    • number of encounters - 13;
    • home team wins - 0, away team wins - 10, draws - 3.

    Statistics: Nacional de Madeir vs Sporting Lisbon

    • matches played in the tournament: 2 vs 2;
    • wins: 0 vs 2;
    • win percentage: 0% vs 100%;
    • losses: 1 vs 0;
    • draws: 1 vs 0.

    Last 10 matches:

    • wins: 1 vs 8;
    • losses: 6 vs 1;
    • draws: 3 vs 1.
    Trends
    • Sporting Lisbon won with a -1.5 handicap in last 5 games against Nacional de Madeir.
    👉Prediction: Sporting Lisbon Handicap (-1,5)(odds: 1.79)

    Prediction on the over/under

    H2H

    • the home team scores on average - 0.69, the guests - 2.38;
    • average over/under goals in head-to-head matches - 3.08;
    • both teams scored: overall - 6; at the home team's field - 3.
    Trends
    • Under 3.5 goals scored in 9 of last 10 Nacional de Madeir games (Primeira Liga).
    👉Prediction: Total goals Under (3,5)(odds: 1.61)

    Prediction on corners

    Nacional de Madeir: Statistics

    • season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 10; at home field - 14;
    • last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 7; at home field - 8.

    Sporting Lisbon: Statistics

    • season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 7.5, away - 9;
    • last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 5.7; away - 5.4.
    Trends
    • Under 9.5 corners in 9 of last 10 Sporting Lisbon away games (Primeira Liga).
    👉Prediction: Corners - Total Under (9,5)(odds: 1.9)

    Prediction on cards

    H2H

    • average Over/Under yellow cards in H2H matches - 3.24 (1.62 for home team and 1.62 for away team);
    • average Over/Under yellow cards at the home team's field - 2.83 (1.33 for home team and 1.5 for away team).

    Nacional de Madeir: Statistics

    • season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 3; at home - 3;
    • last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 2.2; at home - 1.4.

    Sporting Lisbon: Statistics

    • season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 1, away - 1;
    • last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 2.6; away - 2.4.
    👉Prediction: Yellow Cards - Total Under (4,5)

    Prediction on BTTS

    H2H:

    • number of encounters - 13;
    • both teams scored all-time - 6 times;
    • on the home team’s field - 3 times.

    Statistics: Nacional de Madeir vs Sporting Lisbon

    • number of matches played in the tournament: 2 vs 2;
    • number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 1 vs 0;
    • number of BTTS matches for Nacional de Madeir at home - 0 (0%);
    • number of BTTS matches for Sporting Lisbon away - 0 (0%).

    Last 10 matches:

    • number of BTTS matches: 4 vs 5;
    • BTTS matches for Nacional de Madeir at home - 2 (40%);
    • BTTS matches for Sporting Lisbon away - 3 (60%).
    👉Prediction: Both Teams to Score – (No)(odds: 1.84)

    ⭐ Editorial Prediction

    Sporting's attack and defense are in top form, posing a significant challenge for the home side. Given the current trends and team performances, a total of under 3.5 goals appears to be the most likely scenario, as this has consistently occurred in Nacional's matches. We believe the hosts may struggle to score, while the "Lions" are unlikely to net more than three goals for the second consecutive match. 

    Total goals Under (3,5)
    Everygame
    Place a bet-167
    Published: 21/08/2025, 13:36

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    Betting Tips: Nacional de Madeir - Sporting Lisbon

    Nacional de Madeir have lost:
    cd-nacionalsporting-cpin last 8 games against Sporting Lisbon.
    cd-nacionalsporting-cpin last 7 games against Sporting Lisbon (Primeira Liga).
    Sporting Lisbon have won:
    sporting-cpin 8 of last 9 away games.
    sporting-cpin 7 of last 8 games (Primeira Liga).
    sporting-cpin 5 of last 6 away games (Primeira Liga).
    Sporting Lisbon to Win
    Bovada
    -476
    Nacional de Madeir have lost the 2nd half:
    cd-nacionalsporting-cpin last 7 games against Sporting Lisbon.
    cd-nacionalsporting-cpin last 6 games against Sporting Lisbon (Primeira Liga).
    2nd Half Sporting Lisbon to Win
    Everygame
    -227
    Nacional de Madeir have lost the 1st half:
    cd-nacionalin last 5 games (Primeira Liga).
    cd-nacionalin last 4 home games (Primeira Liga).
    1st Half Sporting Lisbon to Win
    Bovada
    -164
    Nacional de Madeir have not won:
    cd-nacionalsporting-cpin last 13 games against Sporting Lisbon.
    cd-nacionalsporting-cpin last 8 games against Sporting Lisbon (Primeira Liga).
    cd-nacionalsporting-cpin last 6 home games against Sporting Lisbon.
    cd-nacionalin last 7 games (Primeira Liga).
    cd-nacionalin last 5 home games (Primeira Liga).
    Sporting Lisbon have not lost:
    sporting-cpin last 23 games (Primeira Liga).
    sporting-cpin 20 of last 21 games.
    sporting-cpin last 12 away games.
    sporting-cpin last 11 away games (Primeira Liga).
    Sporting Lisbon will not lose
    Everygame
    -2000
    View more facts

    Comparison of Teams Stats

    10 matches
    2 - Wins
    1 - Draw
    7 - Losses
    Wins - 6
    Draws - 2
    Losses - 2
    10 matches
    Scored - 10
    Conceded - 19
    -9
    +11
    22 - Scored
    11 - Conceded
    2
    Wins
    6
    1
    Draws
    2
    7
    Losses
    2
    Goal difference
    10
    Scored
    22
    19
    Conceded
    11
    2.9
    Average total per match
    3.3
    1
    Goals scored per match on average
    2.2
    1.9
    Goals conceded per match on average
    1.1
    4
    Both teams scored
    7
    90'
    Minutes / Goal scored
    41'
    View all stats