Sporting vs Nacional Prediction, H2H Stats & Statistical Bets 1 February 2026
🔊 The upcoming clash between Sporting and Nacional promises to be an intriguing encounter. The home side are in excellent form, having triumphed in eight of their last ten matches, and currently sit second in the standings. Their attacking prowess is impressive, with an average of 2.9 goals per game. Meanwhile, the visitors have shown inconsistency, securing just two wins in their last ten outings. Nevertheless, they have the potential to surprise with their counter-attacks, especially given their ability to score in nearly every match.
Head-to-Head
The last official match between the teams took place on 23 August 2025 and ended with a 1-4 scoreline. Here's a comparative breakdown of the stats from that encounter (Nacional de Madeira were the home side):
- possession: 27% vs 73%;
- corners: 3 vs 13;
- fouls: 18 vs 7;
- yellow cards: 2 vs 2;
- shots on target: 1 vs 7.
📊 Statistical preview of official encounters between Sporting and Nacional de Madeira:
- 14 matches played;
- home victories - 11, away victories - 0, draws - 3;
- goals scored - 35 for Sporting, 10 for Nacional;
- average total goals in the 1st half - 1, in the 2nd half - 2.21;
- average total goals per match - 3.21.
Head-to-head statistics Sporting - Nacional
Sporting Lisbon Team Overview
The last official match took place on in the Champions League, with Athletic hosting Sporting. The game concluded with a 3-2 scoreline.
Here are the match statistics (Sporting vs Athletic):
- possession: 65% vs 35%;
- corners: 7 vs 6;
- fouls: 8 vs 22;
- yellow cards: 5 vs 4;
- shots on target: 6 vs 2.
Sporting have been in impressive form this season. The team currently sit second in the league and boast a four-match winning streak across all competitions. Over their last ten games, Sporting have secured eight victories, showcasing an excellent attacking style with an average of 2.9 goals per game. Their defense has also been solid, conceding just 0.53 goals per match on average. In their most recent head-to-head clash, the club defeated Nacional 4-1, highlighting their superior class and confidence on the field.
Match Results: Sporting Lisbon
Nacional de Madeir Team Overview
The visitors played their last official match on in the Primeira Liga, facing Nacional de Madeira away. Rio Ave emerged victorious with a 4-0 win.
Here are the match statistics (Nacional de Madeira vs Rio Ave):
- possession percentage: 47% vs 53%;
- corner kicks: 5 vs 5;
- fouls: 18 vs 6;
- yellow cards: 3 vs 0;
- shots on target: 5 vs 6.
Nacional de Madeira, known for their unpredictability, have shown inconsistent form this season. The team currently sits 11th in the standings and hasn't particularly impressed with their results. In their last five matches, they've secured just one victory, drawn twice, and suffered two defeats. Their attacking play can be surprising, averaging 1.37 goals per match, but defense remains an issue with frequent goals conceded. Nacional's counter-attacks can pose a threat even to stronger opponents.
Match Results: Nacional de Madeir
Latest news
Sporting Lisbon
⚠️ Matheus Reis has been suspended for two matches due to offensive gestures and remarks in Arouca. According to the Disciplinary Board's professional department, the left-footed player leaped off the bench during a celebration, shouted an expletive, and displayed two middle fingers, leading to his ejection. In the tunnel, he further confronted the fourth official, exclaiming, "You crazy bastards," challenging the referee team's decision. The Brazilian has also been fined €2,754.
❌ Sporting will be without Nuno Santos, Giovanni Cabral, and Fotis Ioannidis. The latter's participation in the match remains uncertain. Additionally, Matheus Reis will not take the field, as mentioned earlier.
Nacional de Madeir
❌ Nacional will be without Ivanildo, Ulisses, and Felipe Soares. These players are not expected to return to action anytime soon.
Prediction for the 1st half
Head-to-Head Matches:
- Total encounters - 14;
- First-half wins at home for hosts - 2; for visitors away - 2; number of draws - 3;
- Average first-half total: 1;
- Today's home team scores on average 0.57, while the visitors net 0.43.
First-Half Stats: Sporting Lisbon (home) vs Nacional de Madeir (away)
- matches played in the tournament: 9 vs 10;
- wins: 6 (66.67%) vs 4 (40%);
- losses: 0 (0%) vs 3 (30%);
- draws: 3 (33.33%) vs 3 (30%);
- Average goals scored: 1.44 vs 1.1;
- Average goals conceded: 0 vs 0.5.
Last 10 Matches (Overall):
- wins: 7 vs 2;
- losses: 1 vs 2;
- draws: 2 vs 6;
- Average first-half total: 1.6 (scored - 1.3, conceded - 0.3) vs 1.3 (scored - 0.5, conceded - 0.8).
- Sporting Lisbon have won the 1st half in last 6 games (Primeira Liga).
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- number of encounters - 14;
- home team wins - 11, away team wins - 0, draws - 3.
Statistics: Sporting Lisbon vs Nacional de Madeir
- matches played in the tournament: 19 vs 19;
- wins: 15 vs 5;
- win percentage: 79% vs 26%;
- losses: 1 vs 9;
- draws: 3 vs 5.
Last 10 matches:
- wins: 8 vs 2;
- losses: 1 vs 5;
- draws: 1 vs 3.
- Sporting Lisbon won with a -1.5 handicap in last 6 games against Nacional de Madeir.
- Sporting Lisbon won with a -1.5 handicap in last 5 games against Nacional de Madeir (Primeira Liga).
- Sporting Lisbon won with a -1.5 handicap in last 5 home games (Primeira Liga).
Prediction on the over/under
H2H
- today's home team scores on average - 2.5, the guests - 0.71;
- average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 3.21;
- both teams scored: overall - 7; at the home team's field - 3.
Statistics: Sporting Lisbon vs Nacional de Madeir
- average total in the tournament: 3.26 vs 2.84;
- average total goals scored: 2.74 vs 1.37;
- average total in the 1st half: 1.21 vs 0.58;
- average total in the 2nd half: 1.53 vs 0.79;
- Sporting Lisbon: average total at home in the tournament - 3.33;
- Nacional de Madeir: average total away in the tournament - 1;
- last 10 matches (average total): 2.9 (home - 3.2) vs 1.8 (away - 1.17).
- Sporting Lisbon have scored under 3.5 goals in 6 of last 7 home games against Nacional de Madeir.
- Sporting Lisbon have scored under 3.5 goals in last 6 games.
Prediction on corners
Sporting Lisbon: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 6.89; at home field - 5.89;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 6.2; at home field - 6.
Nacional de Madeir: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 4.05, away - 4;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 3.2; away - 3.33.
- Nacional de Madeir have taken over 2.5 corners in 15 of last 17 away games (Primeira Liga).
Prediction on BTTS
H2H:
- number of encounters - 14;
- both teams scored all-time - 7 times;
- on the home team’s field - 3 times.
Statistics: Sporting Lisbon vs Nacional de Madeir
- number of matches played in the tournament: 19 vs 19;
- number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 9 vs 12;
- number of BTTS matches for Sporting Lisbon at home - 2 (22%);
- number of BTTS matches for Nacional de Madeir away - 6 (60%).
Last 10 matches:
- number of BTTS matches: 7 vs 8;
- BTTS matches for Sporting Lisbon at home - 2 (40%);
- BTTS matches for Nacional de Madeir away - 5 (83%).
Correct score prediction
Statistics of frequent results (current season):
- most common score in the tournament: 0:1 (18/171, 10.5%);
- Sporting Lisbon at home most often finish matches: 3:0 , 4:0 , 6:0 (2/9, 22.2%);
- Nacional de Madeir away most often play: 1:1 (3/10, 30%).
Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top 3 outcomes:
2:0 - 13.13% (odds 6.15)
3:0 - 11.61% (odds 6.15)
1:0 - 10.23% (odds 8.9)
- Sporting Lisbon won 2:0 in 3 of last 4 home games against Nacional de Madeir (Primeira Liga).
⭐ Editorial Prediction
Sporting are clear favorites in this matchup. The team is in excellent form, having won their last four games. Their attacking line is impressive, averaging 2.9 goals per game, making them a significant threat to any defense. On the other hand, Nacional de Madeira are struggling with results and lack consistency. However, their ability to score away in 7 of their last 8 matches adds intrigue to the contest. Considering these factors and the head-to-head statistics, betting on both teams to score appears to be the most reasonable prediction.No comments
Betting Tips: Sporting Lisbon - Nacional de Madeir
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