Nacional vs Progreso Prediction, H2H Stats & Statistical Bets 2 August 2026

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Key points

    ✨ In the seventh round of the Uruguayan Primera Nacional Intermediate Tournament, Nacional Montevideo host Progreso. For the home side, this is a chance to make it up to their fans after the recent Copa Sudamericana exit. The visitors arrive looking to test a big club and build on the momentum from their last win.

    Head-to-Head

    The last official match between these two sides ended 0-1. Here's how the stats looked that day (Progreso were the home side):

    • possession: 35% vs 65%;
    • corners: 1 vs 6;
    • yellow cards: 3 vs 0.

    📊 Head-to-head stats from official meetings between Nacional Montevideo and Progreso:

    • 22 matches played;
    • home side wins - 17, away - 4, draws - 1;
    • goals - 45 vs 17;
    • average first-half total - 1.41, second-half - 1.41;
    • average match total - 2.82.

    Head-to-head statistics Nacional - Progreso

    80%
    20 Wins
    4%
    1 Draw
    16%
    4 Wins
    Total games
    25
    Avg. total goals
    2.68
    Both teams scored
    48%
    1.96
    Average total
    0.72
    Last matches
    16.09.26
    Copa Uruguay
    Progreso
    Progreso
    Club Nacional Montevideo
    Club Nacional Montevideo
    -
    -
    2
    12
    11
    8
    2
    1
    0
    1
    0
    1
    0
    0
    -
    -
    2
    12
    11
    8
    2
    1
    23.08.26
    Primera Division
    Club Nacional Montevideo
    Club Nacional Montevideo
    Progreso
    Progreso
    1
    -
    -
    13
    2
    10
    9
    2
    5
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    0
    -
    -
    13
    2
    10
    9
    2
    5
    02.08.26
    Primera Division
    Club Nacional Montevideo
    Club Nacional Montevideo
    Progreso
    Progreso
    1
    -
    -
    10
    1
    -
    -
    1
    3
    2
    1
    1
    0
    1
    1
    -
    -
    10
    1
    -
    -
    1
    3
    21.02.26
    Primera Division
    Progreso
    Progreso
    2
    Club Nacional Montevideo
    Club Nacional Montevideo
    -
    -
    1
    6
    -
    -
    3
    0
    0
    1
    0
    1
    0
    0
    -
    -
    1
    6
    -
    -
    3
    0
    22.01.26
    UCL
    Club Nacional Montevideo
    Club Nacional Montevideo
    Progreso
    Progreso
    -
    -
    3
    5
    -
    -
    4
    5
    1
    1
    1
    1
    0
    0
    1
    3
    -
    -
    3
    5
    -
    -
    4
    5
    Empty
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    Club Nacional Montevideo Team Overview

    Nacional sit fourth in Group B with 10 points from six matches. They're going through a rough patch after being knocked out of the Copa Sudamericana by Argentine side Tigre, losing 2-4 on aggregate. In the league, they tend to play on the front foot, working off a 4-3-3 with wide attacks and quick transitions. At home, the players will want to get their confidence back and put on a decent show for the fans.

    Match Results: Club Nacional Montevideo

    Last matches
    19.10.26
    Primera Division
    Club Nacional Montevideo
    Club Nacional Montevideo
    Deportivo Maldonado
    Deportivo Maldonado
    -
    -
    8
    11
    -
    -
    4
    3
    3
    2
    1
    0
    2
    2
    -
    -
    8
    11
    -
    -
    4
    3
    W
    15.10.26
    Copa Uruguay
    Club Nacional Montevideo
    Club Nacional Montevideo
    1
    Rentistas
    Rentistas
    -
    -
    9
    3
    3
    5
    0
    4
    3
    0
    1
    0
    2
    0
    -
    -
    9
    3
    3
    5
    0
    4
    W
    11.10.26
    Primera Division
    Central Espanol
    Central Espanol
    Club Nacional Montevideo
    Club Nacional Montevideo
    -
    -
    3
    7
    -
    -
    2
    2
    0
    1
    0
    1
    0
    0
    -
    -
    3
    7
    -
    -
    2
    2
    W
    05.10.26
    Primera Division
    Club Nacional Montevideo
    Club Nacional Montevideo
    Montevideo City Torque
    Montevideo City Torque
    -
    -
    4
    5
    -
    -
    4
    4
    2
    0
    1
    0
    1
    0
    -
    -
    4
    5
    -
    -
    4
    4
    W
    26.09.26
    Primera Division
    Cerro Largo
    Cerro Largo
    Club Nacional Montevideo
    Club Nacional Montevideo
    -
    -
    6
    3
    -
    -
    2
    2
    0
    2
    0
    1
    0
    1
    -
    -
    6
    3
    -
    -
    2
    2
    W
    Empty
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    Progreso Team Overview

    Progreso sit sixth in the table with six points. Last round they picked up a vital clean sheet win over Deportivo Maldonado, 1-0. Manager Tabáre Silva has the side set up in a strict 4-4-2 with two defensive midfielders - a shape that lets them close off the central zones and absorb pressure. Away from home, they'll need to hold their nerve against the early momentum of a bigger club.

    Match Results: Progreso

    Last matches
    17.10.26
    Primera Division
    Progreso
    Progreso
    Juventud de Las Piedras
    Juventud de Las Piedras
    -
    -
    4
    10
    -
    -
    3
    0
    2
    0
    0
    0
    2
    0
    -
    -
    4
    10
    -
    -
    3
    0
    W
    10.10.26
    Primera Division
    Penarol Montevideo
    Penarol Montevideo
    Progreso
    Progreso
    -
    -
    4
    2
    -
    -
    2
    0
    1
    1
    0
    1
    1
    0
    -
    -
    4
    2
    -
    -
    2
    0
    D
    03.10.26
    Primera Division
    Liverpool Montevideo
    Liverpool Montevideo
    Progreso
    Progreso
    -
    -
    3
    4
    -
    -
    4
    4
    3
    2
    1
    0
    2
    2
    -
    -
    3
    4
    -
    -
    4
    4
    L
    26.09.26
    Primera Division
    Progreso
    Progreso
    Racing Montevideo
    Racing Montevideo
    1
    -
    -
    5
    6
    -
    -
    2
    2
    2
    1
    1
    0
    1
    1
    -
    -
    5
    6
    -
    -
    2
    2
    W
    19.09.26
    Primera Division
    Boston River
    Boston River
    Progreso
    Progreso
    -
    -
    6
    5
    -
    -
    1
    3
    1
    2
    0
    1
    1
    1
    -
    -
    6
    5
    -
    -
    1
    3
    W
    Empty
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    ⭐ Editor's Pick

    Nacional come into this match carrying some fatigue after a tough midweek cup run. Progreso under Tabaré Silva are known for their defensive discipline - compact, organized, hard to break down. Two defensive midfielders in the visitors' setup will likely choke the central zone and cut off space for the hosts. The favourite won't take unnecessary risks either, wary of getting caught on the counter by a motivated underdog. Given all that, total goals under 2.5 looks like the sensible call here. A 1-0 scoreline wouldn't surprise anyone.
    Total goals Under (2,5)
    Everygame
    Place a bet+100
    Published: 01/08/2026, 05:32
    Rasim Akhmedov
    Rasim Akhmedov
    Scores24 Editor
    30
    0
    23
    53 predictions
    Statistics for October 2026

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    Betting Tips: Club Nacional Montevideo - Progreso

    Progreso have lost the 1st half:
    ca-progresoin 6 of last 7 away games (Primera Division).
    1st Half Club Nacional Montevideo to Win
    Bovada
    -110
    Under 3.5 goals scored:
    nacional-montevideoin last 10 Club Nacional Montevideo games.
    nacional-montevideoin last 6 Club Nacional Montevideo games (Primera Division).
    ca-progresoin last 12 Progreso games (Primera Division).
    ca-progresoin last 8 Progreso away games (Primera Division).
    Total goals Under (3,5)
    Everygame
    -303
    Progreso have conceded:
    ca-progresoin 14 of last 15 games (Primera Division).
    ca-progresoin 11 of last 12 away games (Primera Division).
    Club Nacional Montevideo will score goal
    Everygame
    -833
    Club Nacional Montevideo have scored under 2.5 goals:
    nacional-montevideoin last 10 games.
    nacional-montevideoin last 6 home games.
    Club Nacional Montevideo Total goals Under (2,5)
    Everygame
    -278
    View more facts

    Comparison of Teams Stats

    10 matches
    8 - Wins
    2 - Draws
    0 - Losses
    Wins - 5
    Draw - 1
    Losses - 4
    10 matches
    Scored - 21
    Conceded - 9
    +12
    +1
    13 - Scored
    12 - Conceded
    8
    Wins
    5
    2
    Draws
    1
    0
    Losses
    4
    Goal difference
    21
    Scored
    13
    9
    Conceded
    12
    3
    Average total per match
    2.5
    2.1
    Goals scored per match on average
    1.3
    0.9
    Goals conceded per match on average
    1.2
    5
    Both teams scored
    6
    43'
    Minutes / Goal scored
    69'
    View all stats