Mirassol vs Fluminense Prediction 23 May 2026

Details
Key points

    🔊 Mirassol come into this fixture from a noticeably weaker position in the table - they sit 19th, while Fluminense are firmly established in third. The contrast is further highlighted by recent form: Mirassol have picked up just six wins and suffered two defeats in their last ten outings, whereas Fluminense have delivered consistent results throughout the season and continue to collect points on a regular basis. Several trends also point to the visitors' pragmatic approach on the road and underline the absence of a clear favourite in this matchup.

    Head-to-Head

    The most recent official meeting between these sides took place on 06 November 2025 and ended in a 1-0 result. Here’s a comparative breakdown from that match, with Fluminense playing at home:

    • Possession: 43% vs 57%;
    • Corners: 4 vs 3;
    • Fouls committed: 24 vs 10;
    • Yellow cards: 4 vs 2;
    • Shots on target: 4 vs 2.

    📊 Mirassol and Fluminense have only met twice in official competitions. Their most recent head-to-head took place at Fluminense's home ground on 06 November 2025, with the hosts edging a 1-0 victory.

    Head-to-head statistics Mirassol - Fluminense

    67%
    2 Wins
    0%
    0 Draws
    33%
    1 Win
    Total games
    3
    Total Goals Avg
    1.67
    Both teams scored
    33%
    1
    Total average
    0.67
    4
    Corner
    4.67
    2.33
    Yellow cards
    4
    11.67
    Fouls
    17
    Last matches
    23.05.26
    Serie A
    Mirassol
    Mirassol
    Fluminense
    Fluminense
    0.55
    0.7
    4
    5
    12
    14
    2
    3
    1
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    0.55
    0.7
    4
    5
    12
    14
    2
    3
    06.11.25
    Serie A
    Fluminense
    Fluminense
    Mirassol
    Mirassol
    2.63
    1.53
    4
    3
    24
    10
    4
    2
    1
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    2.63
    1.53
    4
    3
    24
    10
    4
    2
    09.10.25
    Serie A
    Mirassol
    Mirassol
    Fluminense
    Fluminense
    1.27
    0.9
    5
    5
    13
    13
    3
    4
    2
    1
    1
    0
    1
    1
    1.27
    0.9
    5
    5
    13
    13
    3
    4
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    Mirassol Team Overview

    The team's most recent official match took place on in the Copa Libertadores, with Always Ready hosting Mirassol. The game ended 2-1 in favor of the visitors.

    Here are the key match stats (Mirassol vs Always Ready):

    • Possession: 49% vs 51%;
    • Corners: 3 vs 3;
    • Fouls committed: 9 vs 18;
    • Yellow cards: 2 vs 4;
    • Shots on target: 4 vs 2.

    🟡 Mirassol are struggling this season, having picked up just three wins and suffered eight defeats in their fifteen outings. Over their last five matches, the team have managed three victories, one draw, and one loss. They average 1.13 goals scored per game while conceding 1.53, highlighting their defensive frailties. On home turf, Mirassol rarely get the job done: the current trend shows the hosts have failed to win six of their last seven home fixtures in the league.

    Match Results: Mirassol

    Last matches
    19.09.26
    Serie A
    Mirassol
    Mirassol
    Botafogo FR
    Botafogo FR
    1.47
    1.71
    3
    4
    8
    7
    0
    1
    2
    0
    2
    0
    0
    0
    1.47
    1.71
    3
    4
    8
    7
    0
    1
    W
    13.09.26
    Serie A
    Mirassol
    Mirassol
    Vitoria
    Vitoria
    1.76
    0.69
    12
    5
    14
    17
    5
    5
    2
    2
    0
    2
    2
    0
    1.76
    0.69
    12
    5
    14
    17
    5
    5
    D
    06.09.26
    Serie A
    Coritiba FC PR
    Coritiba FC PR
    Mirassol
    Mirassol
    2.19
    1.75
    5
    7
    13
    10
    2
    4
    1
    2
    0
    0
    1
    2
    2.19
    1.75
    5
    7
    13
    10
    2
    4
    W
    02.09.26
    Serie A
    Flamengo
    Flamengo
    Mirassol
    Mirassol
    1.84
    0.51
    9
    7
    7
    11
    0
    2
    2
    0
    2
    0
    0
    0
    1.84
    0.51
    9
    7
    7
    11
    0
    2
    L
    30.08.26
    Serie A
    Mirassol
    Mirassol
    Palmeiras
    Palmeiras
    1
    0.84
    1.42
    3
    4
    16
    11
    2
    1
    1
    1
    0
    0
    1
    1
    0.84
    1.42
    3
    4
    16
    11
    2
    1
    D
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    Fluminense Team Overview

    The visitors last played an official match on in the Copa Libertadores, facing Fluminense away from home. The game ended in a 2-1 victory for Fluminense.

    Here’s a breakdown of the key stats (Fluminense vs Club Bolivar):

    • Possession: 74% vs 26%;
    • Corners: 5 vs 1;
    • Fouls committed: 14 vs 9;
    • Yellow cards: 5 vs 2;
    • Shots on target: 8 vs 2.

    🟢 Fluminense are among the frontrunners in the league, boasting an impressive attacking output with an average of 1.69 goals scored per match while maintaining a solid defensive record, conceding just 1.31 on average. Over their last five fixtures, the visitors have picked up three wins and two draws, and their ten-game form shows a well-balanced side-five victories, three draws, and only two defeats. However, their away form remains a concern: Fluminense have failed to win in seven of their last eight matches on the road.

    Match Results: Fluminense

    Last matches
    20.09.26
    Serie A
    Corinthians
    Corinthians
    Fluminense
    Fluminense
    2.02
    2.16
    11
    1
    16
    21
    3
    5
    1
    3
    0
    1
    1
    2
    2.02
    2.16
    11
    1
    16
    21
    3
    5
    W
    15.09.26
    libertadores
    Platense
    Platense
    Fluminense
    Fluminense
    1.58
    0.85
    12
    0
    19
    10
    3
    2
    2
    1
    2
    0
    0
    1
    1.58
    0.85
    12
    0
    19
    10
    3
    2
    L
    12.09.26
    Serie A
    Atletico Mineiro
    Atletico Mineiro
    Fluminense
    Fluminense
    1.52
    0.43
    5
    2
    8
    11
    1
    2
    3
    1
    0
    0
    3
    1
    1.52
    0.43
    5
    2
    8
    11
    1
    2
    L
    08.09.26
    libertadores
    Fluminense
    Fluminense
    Platense
    Platense
    0.46
    1.13
    2
    7
    7
    10
    2
    1
    2
    0
    2
    0
    0
    0
    0.46
    1.13
    2
    7
    7
    10
    2
    1
    W
    06.09.26
    Serie A
    Fluminense
    Fluminense
    Vasco da Gama
    Vasco da Gama
    1.39
    0.9
    6
    6
    11
    20
    4
    4
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    0
    1.39
    0.9
    6
    6
    11
    20
    4
    4
    W
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    Match Outcome Prediction

    Head-to-head record:

    • Matches played - 2;
    • Home wins - 1, Away wins - 1, Draws - 0.

    Stats: Mirassol vs Fluminense

    • Matches in the competition: 15 vs 16;
    • Wins: 3 vs 9;
    • Win percentage: 20% vs 56%;
    • Losses: 8 vs 4;
    • Draws: 4 vs 3.

    Last 10 matches:

    • Wins: 6 vs 5;
    • Losses: 2 vs 2;
    • Draws: 2 vs 3.
    👉Prediction: Fluminense Handicap (+1) (odds: 1.13)

    Total Goals Prediction

    Head-to-head (average total goals):

    • Home side - 1, Away side - 1;
    • Average total in H2H - 2;
    • Both teams scored: all-time - once; at Mirassol’s ground - once.

    Average total goals stats: Mirassol vs Fluminense

    • In this tournament: 2.67 vs 3;
    • Goals scored per match: 1.13 vs 1.69;
    • First half: 0.67 vs 0.81;
    • Second half: 0.47 vs 0.88;
    • Mirassol, home matches in this competition - 1.25;
    • Fluminense, away matches in this competition - 1.43;
    • Last 10 matches: 1.5 (home - 1.8) vs 1.4 (away - 0.8).
    Trends
    • Mirassol have scored in seven consecutive matches.
    • Fluminense have conceded in eight straight league games (Serie A).
    👉Prediction: Mirassol will score goal (odds: 1.35)

    Corners Prediction

    Head-to-head

    • Average corners in H2H - 8.5 (4 for the home side, 4.5 for the visitors);
    • Average corners at Mirassol’s ground - 10 (5 for each team).

    Mirassol: Stats

    • This season: average corners per match - 5.93; at home - 7;
    • Last 10 matches: average - 4.3; at home - 5.

    Fluminense: Stats

    • This season: average corners per match - 5.63, away - 5.86;
    • Last 10 matches: average - 3.7; away - 2.2.
    Trends
    • Fluminense have registered fewer than 4.5 corners away from home in five consecutive matches.
    👉Prediction: Corners - Fluminense Total Under (4,5) (odds: 1.9)

    Both Teams to Score Prediction

    Head-to-head:

    • Matches played - 2;
    • Both teams have scored once overall;
    • At Mirassol’s ground - once.

    Stats: Mirassol vs Fluminense

    • Matches played in the tournament: 15 vs 16;
    • Games with both teams scoring (BTTS): 10 vs 12;
    • Mirassol, BTTS at home - 6 (75%);
    • Fluminense, BTTS away - 5 (71%).

    Last 10 matches:

    • Games with BTTS: 7 vs 7;
    • Mirassol, BTTS at home - 3 (60%);
    • Fluminense, BTTS away - 2 (40%).
    Trends
    • Fluminense have both scored and conceded in seven of their last eight league fixtures (Serie A).
    • Fluminense have scored and conceded in five straight matches.
    👉Prediction: Both Teams to Score – (Yes) (odds: 1.84)

    Correct Score Prediction

    Most frequent scorelines (current season):

    • The most common result in the competition: 1-1 (24/157, 15.3%);
    • Mirassol’s most frequent home results: 0-1, 2-1, 2-2 (each occurred twice in eight games, 25%);
    • Fluminense’s most common away scoreline: 1-1 (twice in seven matches, 28.6%).

    The algorithm’s top three predicted outcomes based on stats and probability distribution:

    1-1 - 14.07% (odds: 6)
    0-1 - 9.1% (odds: 7.5)
    1-0 - 8.51% (odds: 7.5)

    👉Prediction: Correct Score (1:1) (odds: 6)

    ⭐ Editorial Prediction

    The match centers on a clash between one of the league’s frontrunners and a relegation-threatened side, with neither team showing much consistency at home or away. Mirassol rarely manage to secure wins in front of their own fans, while Fluminense, despite their attacking strength, often drop points on the road. The visitors’ away fixtures tend to be low-scoring affairs: under 2.5 goals have been recorded in six of their last seven away matches. Our main prediction is under 2.5 goals.

    Total goals Under (2,5)
    Everygame
    Place a bet-161
    Published: 22/05/2026, 10:14

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    Betting Tips: Mirassol - Fluminense

    Mirassol have lost the 2nd half:
    mirassol-fc-sp-2in 6 of last 7 games (Serie A).
    mirassol-fc-sp-2in 5 of last 6 home games (Serie A).
    2nd Half Fluminense to Win
    Everygame
    +225
    Mirassol have not won:
    mirassol-fc-sp-2in 6 of last 7 home games (Serie A).
    Fluminense will not lose
    Everygame
    -204
    Fluminense have not won:
    fluminense-rj-1in 7 of last 8 away games.
    Mirassol will not lose
    Everygame
    -250
    Over 1.5 goals scored:
    mirassol-fc-sp-2in 11 of last 12 Mirassol games.
    mirassol-fc-sp-2in last 6 Mirassol home games.
    fluminense-rj-1in 12 of last 13 Fluminense games (Serie A).
    fluminense-rj-1in last 8 Fluminense games.
    in 20 of last 21 Savio Pereira Sampaio games.
    in 12 of last 13 Savio Pereira Sampaio games (in the Serie A).
    Total goals Over (1,5)
    Everygame
    -222
    View more facts

    Mirassol - Fluminense Table position

    Brasileiro Serie A 2026
    gWDLGDPForm
    3.
    Atletico Paranaense
    Atletico Paranaense
    28147743-3249
    4.
    Fluminense
    Fluminense
    28139644-3648
    5.
    Bahia
    Bahia
    281210643-3546
    14.
    Corinthians
    Corinthians
    28881229-3232
    15.
    Mirassol
    Mirassol
    28881233-4232
    16.
    Vasco da Gama
    Vasco da Gama
    27871234-4131

    Comparison of Teams Stats

    10 matches
    2 - Wins
    4 - Draws
    4 - Loses
    Wins - 6
    Draws - 2
    Loses - 2
    10 matches
    Scored - 11
    Conceded - 16
    -5
    +4
    17 - Scored
    13 - Conceded
    2
    Wins
    6
    4
    Draws
    2
    4
    Loses
    2
    Goal difference
    11
    Scored
    17
    16
    Conceded
    13
    2.7
    Match goals average
    3
    1.1
    Goals scored per match on average
    1.7
    1.6
    Goals conceded per match on average
    1.3
    7
    Both teams scored
    7
    85'
    Minutes / Goal scored
    53'
    View all stats