Mozambique vs Senegal Prediction 25 September 2026
🔊 This match between Mozambique and Senegal opens the Africa Cup of Nations qualifying campaign for both sides. Senegal have been more consistent in their recent official matches, though the hosts have had their own productive spells in previous games. The main contrast between the two teams is the difference in their average number of goals scored.
Mozambique have yet to win in head-to-head meetings
📊 Mozambique and Senegal have met four times in official matches in the 21st century. Senegal won three of those games, while the fourth was drawn after normal time and decided by a penalty shootout in Senegal's favour. Across those four meetings, the hosts scored just two goals while Senegal scored eight.
Head-to-head statistics Mozambique - Senegal
Mozambique have lost their last four matches
Mozambique head into the start of qualifying in poor form, having lost their last four matches in a row. Across their last ten games, they have lost more than they have won - just three victories against six defeats. Their scoring rate is low, averaging 0.9 goals per game, while conceding nearly twice that figure at 1.8. These numbers reflect Mozambique's cautious approach in important matches and their tendency towards pragmatic football against stronger opponents.
Match Results: Mozambique
Senegal are focused on getting results
Senegal go into the start of qualifying with six wins, one draw and three defeats from their last ten matches. Their average scoring rate is notably high at 2.0 goals per game, with a reasonably solid defence conceding 1.1. In Africa Cup of Nations matches, however, there is a consistent trend towards low scoring: Total Goals - Under 2.5 came in in 8 of Senegal's last 9 games in that competition, and they scored more than two goals just once during that period.
Match Results: Senegal
Correct Score Prediction
According to the algorithm's calculations, the top three most likely outcomes are 1-2 (10.51%), 0-1 (9.76%) and 0-2 (9.14%). The 1-2 scoreline has the highest probability, though the gap between all three options is small, which reflects the expected competitiveness and caution in attack.
Risky Bet
Senegal have scored no more than one goal in five consecutive away matches. Mozambique also concede an average of 1.4 goals at home, while Senegal average 1.8 goals per away match - figures that do not guarantee a high scoring return for the visitors. A bet on Senegal Team Total - Under 1.5 at odds of 2.46 is a justified risky option.
*Odds are indicative and may vary across different bookmakers.
⭐️ Editor's Prediction
In 8 of Senegal's last 9 matches at the Africa Cup of Nations, no more than two goals were scored. Senegal average 1.8 goals per game away from home, while Mozambique average just 1.0 at home. These figures point to a moderately low-scoring match and support the bet on Total Goals - Under 2.5.
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Betting Tips: Mozambique - Senegal
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